Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With a few weeks to go in the review period, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cgn-power-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58:1" rel="noopener">CGN Power (1816 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yankuang-energy-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK)</a> could be added to the ETF in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-resources-beer-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:399:1" rel="noopener">China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> are potential deletions while there is another stock close to deletion zone.</li>
<li>There are a lot of shorts on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yankuang-energy-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:384:1" rel="noopener">Yankuang Energy</a> in terms of days of ADV and as a percentage of float while short interest on the other stocks is lower.</li>
</ul>


With a few weeks to go in the review period, CGN Power (1816 HK) and Yankuang Energy Group (1171 HK) could be added to the ETF in March.

China Resources Beer Holdings (291 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) are potential deletions while there is another stock close to deletion zone.
There are a lot of shorts on Yankuang Energy in terms of days of ADV and as a percentage of float while short interest on the other stocks is lower.


FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows showing momentum tendencies this past week on a single-stock basis, still. Hs gave up some ground vs As in Week One.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND saw HK$14.4bn of net IN-flows in the 4-day week to 5 Jan 2024. Total flows were HK$96bn.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND start the year by buying ETFs, high-div SOEs like China Mobile and CNOOC, coal names, and sports/consumer names.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND flows showing momentum tendencies this past week on a single-stock basis, still. Hs gave up some ground vs As in Week One.
SOUTHBOUND saw HK$14.4bn of net IN-flows in the 4-day week to 5 Jan 2024. Total flows were HK$96bn.
SOUTHBOUND start the year by buying ETFs, high-div SOEs like China Mobile and CNOOC, coal names, and sports/consumer names.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Still Strongly Bought

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 22nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 22nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-dx-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5198:1" rel="noopener">Posco DX (022100 KS)</a> continues to drop following its section transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Short interest in the stock nearly halved in December.</li>
<li>There were big net inflows to China ETFs with creations in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> ETFs and redemptions in ETFs tracking the CSI 500 Index and CSI 1000 Index.</li>
<li>Creations continued in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US)</a> ETF with units outstanding reaching a new high.</li>
</ul>



Posco DX (022100 KS) continues to drop following its section transfer from the KOSDAQ market to the KOSPI market. Short interest in the stock nearly halved in December.
There were big net inflows to China ETFs with creations in CSI 300 Index ETFs and redemptions in ETFs tracking the CSI 500 Index and CSI 1000 Index.
Creations continued in the iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US) ETF with units outstanding reaching a new high.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, KRX New Deal, NIFTY50, NEXT50, CNXBANK

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Bytedance/3690 HK: Douyin in-store GMV increased 256% YoY in 2023, miss target by 5% (+)</li>
<li>PDD: AliExpress to focus on expanding in the US market this year (-)</li>
<li>NTES: The latest developments about the reconciliation between NetEase and Blizzard (+)</li>
</ul>


Bytedance/3690 HK: Douyin in-store GMV increased 256% YoY in 2023, miss target by 5% (+)
PDD: AliExpress to focus on expanding in the US market this year (-)
NTES: The latest developments about the reconciliation between NetEase and Blizzard (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: NTES/3690 HK/Bytedance/PDD

China

Meituan operates as a web based shopping platform for locally found consumer products and retail services. The Company offers deals of the day by selling vouchers on local services and entertainment, dining, delivery, and other services. Meituan provides its services throughout China.

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Meituan (3690 HK)

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

There could be 2 changes for the FXI in March with CGN Power and Yankuang Energy replacing CR Beer and Wuxi Bio. Impact on the potential adds is...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Still Strongly Bought

Strong net buying in the first week of the year by SOUTHBOUND investors in HK Connect. Big buys in ETFs (they go back and forth every week), China...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 22nd and highlight short interest changes in Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, KRX New Deal, NIFTY50, NEXT50, CNXBANK

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: NTES/3690 HK/Bytedance/PDD

Bytedance's Douyin in-store GMV grows 256% YoY, slightly missing target. AliExpress to prioritize US expansion. NetEase and Blizzard reconcile,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Potential Changes in March

There could be 2 changes for the FXI in March with CGN Power and Yankuang Energy replacing CR Beer and Wuxi Bio. Impact on the potential adds is...

Brian Freitas

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 5 Jan 2024); High Div SOEs Still Strongly Bought

Strong net buying in the first week of the year by SOUTHBOUND investors in HK Connect. Big buys in ETFs (they go back and forth every week), China...

Travis Lundy

HK Short Interest Weekly: Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes, Wuxi Bio

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 22nd and highlight short interest changes in Link Reit, Kuaishou, Ntes,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSCEI, HSCI, KRX New Deal, NIFTY50, NEXT50, CNXBANK

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: NTES/3690 HK/Bytedance/PDD

​Bytedance's Douyin in-store GMV grows 256% YoY, slightly missing target. AliExpress to prioritize US expansion. NetEase and Blizzard reconcile,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Bytedance's Douyin in-store GMV grows 256% YoY, slightly missing target. AliExpress to prioritize US expansion. NetEase and Blizzard reconcile,...