Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.</li>
<li>Recco or Ascendant for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys (HOLI US)</a>? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12385:1" rel="noopener">Sankyo (6417 JP)</a> is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.</li>
</ul>


The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.
Recco or Ascendant for Hollysys (HOLI US)? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. 

Sankyo (6417 JP) is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener">Digital Garage (4819 JP)</a> is coming up "cheap" versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a>; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> is trading "rich" to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:810:1" rel="noopener">Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US)</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on DG and Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Digital Garage (4819 JP) is coming up "cheap" versus Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP); and Melco International Development (200 HK) is trading "rich" to Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US).
Preceding my comments on DG and Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Digital Garage Looking "Cheap". Melco's Consensus-Missing Results

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Star Entertainment Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement.</li>
<li>SGR undertook a similar sized raising earlier this year in Feb 2023, at a price which was double the current deal price.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement.
SGR undertook a similar sized raising earlier this year in Feb 2023, at a price which was double the current deal price.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics.


Star Entertainment Entitlement+Placement - Would You Rescue Me? Again?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> moved 96mn shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> into CCASS. Tencent shares fell hard. If the share price fell because of a block offering, that would be unwarranted. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19029:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro (086520 KS)</a> is up an eye-watering 590% in the past three months, primarily on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ecopro-bm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27873:1" rel="noopener">Ecopro BM (247540 KS)</a>'s outperformance, together with sentiment towards soon-to-be-listed 52.8% held Ecopro Materials. </li>
<li>Japan's Finance Minister said that companies need to improve their PBRs, and that "increasing corporate value of listed companies would allow for Japan to realise sustainable growth."</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA) moved 96mn shares of Tencent (700 HK) into CCASS. Tencent shares fell hard. If the share price fell because of a block offering, that would be unwarranted. 

Ecopro (086520 KS) is up an eye-watering 590% in the past three months, primarily on Ecopro BM (247540 KS)'s outperformance, together with sentiment towards soon-to-be-listed 52.8% held Ecopro Materials. 
Japan's Finance Minister said that companies need to improve their PBRs, and that "increasing corporate value of listed companies would allow for Japan to realise sustainable growth."


Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent, Ecopro, Japan’s Governance, Jardines, Citizen

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.</li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.</li>
<li>Stocks mentioned in this insight include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cmge-technology-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:451:1" rel="noopener"> CMGE Tech (302 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/differ-group-auto-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3479:1" rel="noopener">Differ Group Auto (6878 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sino-biopharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:230:1" rel="noopener">Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website.
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. Or pledging. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute.
Stocks mentioned in this insight include: Melco International Development (200 HK),  CMGE Tech (302 HK), Differ Group Auto (6878 HK), and Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK)



Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (13 Apr): Melco, CMGE, Differ, Sino Biopharmaceutical

Hong Kong

Melco International Development Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates investment banking, financial services, technology, fine-dining, leisure and tourism, property investment, and investment businesses. The Company carries on financial service businesses under the VC CFN and VC CEF brand names.  Melco also customizes and sells trading and back office systems under the iAsia name.

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Melco International Development (200 HK)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Digital Garage Looking "Cheap". Melco's Consensus-Missing Results

I see Melco's discount to NAV at 22% versus a 12-month average of 38%. The NAV discount and implied stub have narrowed nicely since mid-July. For...

David Blennerhassett

Star Entertainment Entitlement+Placement - Would You Rescue Me? Again?

Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) (SGR) plans to raise around US$480m (A$750m) via an entitlement offer cum institutional placement. This will be...

Sumeet Singh

Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent, Ecopro, Japan’s Governance, Jardines, Citizen

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings (13 Apr): Melco, CMGE, Differ, Sino Biopharmaceutical

The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. These insights also flag those companies where...

David Blennerhassett

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