Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a> ’s share price has been volatile during the last few months despite the company reporting a strong set of results for 1QFY10/2025. </li>
<li>Timee is the market leader in Japan while Mercari Hallo is still attempting to build its business. Our analysis shows that there is further room for Timee’s earnings to expand. </li>
<li>Some of Japanese high-growth companies (incl. Monotaro, GMO Payment and Shift) have traded at exorbitant multiples during their high growth phase and we think Timee’s valuation multiples are justified.</li>
</ul>



Timee Inc (215A JP) ’s share price has been volatile during the last few months despite the company reporting a strong set of results for 1QFY10/2025. 
Timee is the market leader in Japan while Mercari Hallo is still attempting to build its business. Our analysis shows that there is further room for Timee’s earnings to expand. 
Some of Japanese high-growth companies (incl. Monotaro, GMO Payment and Shift) have traded at exorbitant multiples during their high growth phase and we think Timee’s valuation multiples are justified.


Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genda-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39911:1" rel="noopener">GENDA (9166 JP),</a> along with a selling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$190m to partly fund its M&amp;A.</li>
<li>Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



GENDA (9166 JP), along with a selling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$190m to partly fund its M&amp;A.
Genda develops and operates amusement facilities in Japan, primarily operating under its Genda GiGO Entertainment subsidiary.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


GENDA Placement - Good Track Record & Sort off Well Flagged but Relatively Large

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted capped index composed of 400 constituents.</li>
<li>The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.</li>
<li>Below is a look at the rankings of potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 August 2025 rebalance based on trading data as of end-February 2025.</li>
</ul>


JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted capped index composed of 400 constituents.
The annual index review takes place in August every year. We look at the latest rankings of potential ADDs/DELs every month.
Below is a look at the rankings of potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei 400 August 2025 rebalance based on trading data as of end-February 2025.


Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2025: End-Feb 2025 Ranks

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/timee-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43690:1" rel="noopener">Timee Inc (215A JP)</a> listed in Japan on 26th July 2024 after raising US$300m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 21st Jan 2025.</li>
<li>Timee operates an on-demand staffing platform that connects part-time jobseekers with businesses in Japan.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Timee Inc (215A JP) listed in Japan on 26th July 2024 after raising US$300m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 21st Jan 2025.
Timee operates an on-demand staffing platform that connects part-time jobseekers with businesses in Japan.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Timee US$280m Lockup Expiry - Scattered List of Financial Investors Coming Unlocked

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Mercari Q1 FY25: Stock Down 16%; Revenues up +2% y/y, but core OP down -13% y/y</li>
<li>This quarter was a rough one for Mercari’s core Marketplace business. GMV growth slowed to mid-single digits</li>
<li>Fintech segment continues to power ahead. Revenue here jumped +37%, fueled by more customers and higher credit balances.</li>
</ul>


Mercari Q1 FY25: Stock Down 16%; Revenues up +2% y/y, but core OP down -13% y/y
This quarter was a rough one for Mercari’s core Marketplace business. GMV growth slowed to mid-single digits
Fintech segment continues to power ahead. Revenue here jumped +37%, fueled by more customers and higher credit balances.


Mercari (4385) | Q1 FY25 Results: Stock Down 16%

Japan

Mercari, Inc. operates as an electronic commercial company. The Company offers electronic commercial software, operation management, marketing planning, and other marketplace services. Mercari serves customers worldwide.

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Mercari (4385 JP)

GENDA Placement - Good Track Record & Sort off Well Flagged but Relatively Large

GENDA (9166 JP), along with a selling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$190m to partly fund its M&A. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2025: End-Feb 2025 Ranks

There are 45 Potential ADDs and 44 Potential DELs (unique names) presented in the current Quiddity Leaderboard. The High and Medium conviction ADDs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Timee US$280m Lockup Expiry - Scattered List of Financial Investors Coming Unlocked

Timee Inc (215A JP) listed in Japan on 26th July 2024 after raising US$300m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 21st Jan 2025.

Clarence Chu

Mercari (4385) | Q1 FY25 Results: Stock Down 16%

Mercari's Q1 FY25 sees stock drop 16% as Marketplace business struggles with slowing growth, while Fintech segment thrives with 37% revenue increase.

Mark Chadwick

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Timee: Recent Setback in Share Price Offers an Attractive Entry Point

Timee will report 2Q earnings on 12th June and this insight offers a glimpse into the company's 1Q earnings and our view on the stock

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

GENDA Placement - Good Track Record & Sort off Well Flagged but Relatively Large

GENDA (9166 JP), along with a selling shareholder, is looking to raise around US$190m to partly fund its M&A. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Quiddity JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2025: End-Feb 2025 Ranks

There are 45 Potential ADDs and 44 Potential DELs (unique names) presented in the current Quiddity Leaderboard. The High and Medium conviction ADDs...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Timee US$280m Lockup Expiry - Scattered List of Financial Investors Coming Unlocked

Timee Inc (215A JP) listed in Japan on 26th July 2024 after raising US$300m. Its six-month lockup will expire on 21st Jan 2025.

Clarence Chu

Mercari (4385) | Q1 FY25 Results: Stock Down 16%

​Mercari's Q1 FY25 sees stock drop 16% as Marketplace business struggles with slowing growth, while Fintech segment thrives with 37% revenue increase.

Mark Chadwick

Mercari's Q1 FY25 sees stock drop 16% as Marketplace business struggles with slowing growth, while Fintech segment thrives with 37% revenue increase.