HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Jenscare Scientific / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The main bottleneck in this market in China is the severe shortage of doctors and limited qualified hospitals to carry out such surgery, leading to lower-than-expected market penetration/sales performance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jenscare-scientific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33525:1" rel="noopener">Jenscare Scientific (JCS HK)</a>’s products have to face fierce competition, without obvious advantage of development progress, or the progress has already lagged behind the competitors. </li>
<li>Overall, good valuation cannot be supported without promising commercialization outlook. We are not sure whether Jenscare can finally achieve the ideal return in the case of unfriendly external environment.</li>
</ul>


The main bottleneck in this market in China is the severe shortage of doctors and limited qualified hospitals to carry out such surgery, leading to lower-than-expected market penetration/sales performance.

Jenscare Scientific (JCS HK)’s products have to face fierce competition, without obvious advantage of development progress, or the progress has already lagged behind the competitors. 
Overall, good valuation cannot be supported without promising commercialization outlook. We are not sure whether Jenscare can finally achieve the ideal return in the case of unfriendly external environment.


Pre-IPO Jenscare Scientific - Difficult to Achieve Expected Commercialization Results

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.</li>
<li>The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.</li>
<li>Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.</li>
</ul>


While AI has had a profound impact in image recognition,there has been little comparable progress in drug discovery, far from the current levels of investment and expectations in this sector.
The success of license-in model must be based on the appropriate valuation level. The ultimate parameter to measure a drug company based on license-in model is its cash flow status.
Pet medical equipment is not subject to the negative policy impact of centralized procurement. Together with high demand, it is expected to become the second growth curve of enterprises.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>’s 2021 performance missed expectations. </li>
<li>Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.</li>
<li>Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.</li>
</ul>


Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, Microport Scientific (853 HK)’s 2021 performance missed expectations. 
Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.
Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.


Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>Recently a note on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shockwave-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28730:1" rel="noopener">Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US)</a> was published on SK. Being a potential game changer, we analyzed technical publications to see how well the company is positioned</li>
<li>Currently, Shockwave Medical is likely the only player in the intravascular lithotripsy market. As the intravascular device deals with calcified lesions, its primary competition is from the atherectomy market </li>
<li>Despite being a recent company with a new technology it ranks third in innovating in the area of - removing/modifying obstructions, calculi and pre-procedure preparation for intravascular intervention.</li>
</ul>


Recently a note on Shockwave Medical Inc (SWAV US) was published on SK. Being a potential game changer, we analyzed technical publications to see how well the company is positioned
Currently, Shockwave Medical is likely the only player in the intravascular lithotripsy market. As the intravascular device deals with calcified lesions, its primary competition is from the atherectomy market 
Despite being a recent company with a new technology it ranks third in innovating in the area of - removing/modifying obstructions, calculi and pre-procedure preparation for intravascular intervention.


Datamining Tech Publications to Assess Shockwave's Paradigm Shift Solution In Vascular Interventions

OrbusNeich Medical Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orbusneich-medical-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34918:1" rel="noopener">OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK)</a> has a rich pipeline with a leadership position in the PCI balloon markets.</li>
<li>Its global business layout would also help the Company “hedge” the negative domestic policy impact or regulation changes.</li>
<li>However, the fierce competition, market pattern, industry characteristics, centralized procurement and other concerns should not be neglected.</li>
</ul>



OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK) has a rich pipeline with a leadership position in the PCI balloon markets.
Its global business layout would also help the Company “hedge” the negative domestic policy impact or regulation changes.
However, the fierce competition, market pattern, industry characteristics, centralized procurement and other concerns should not be neglected.


Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

China

Microport Cardioflow Medtech Corporation develops and sells medical devices. The Company manufactures and sells vitaflow aortic valve system, alwide balloon catheter, and other products. Microport Cardioflow Medtech markets its products throughout China.

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Microport Cardioflow Medtech (2160 HK)

Pre-IPO Jenscare Scientific - Difficult to Achieve Expected Commercialization Results

Jenscare’s products have to face fierce competition, with slow development progress. The severe shortage of doctors and limited qualified hospitals...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.12)-AI Drug Discovery, License-In Mode Valuation, Pet Medical Equipment

AI drug discovery is far from meeting the current investment level and expectations. The success of license-in mode must be based on appropriate...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Microport’s 2021 performance missed expectations due to VBP and pandemic. Its “unique” development mode will lead to lower-than...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Datamining Tech Publications to Assess Shockwave's Paradigm Shift Solution In Vascular Interventions

Shockwave’s intravascular lithotripsy product could become a game changer in dealing with coronary calcium and may offer a more effective solution...

Pyari Menon

Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

The rich pipeline and large global business will help OrbusNeich “hedge” negative domestic policy impact. But fierce competition, slow progress in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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