HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Jenscare Scientific / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The main bottleneck in this market in China is the severe shortage of doctors and limited qualified hospitals to carry out such surgery, leading to lower-than-expected market penetration/sales performance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jenscare-scientific-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33525:1" rel="noopener">Jenscare Scientific (JCS HK)</a>’s products have to face fierce competition, without obvious advantage of development progress, or the progress has already lagged behind the competitors. </li>
<li>Overall, good valuation cannot be supported without promising commercialization outlook. We are not sure whether Jenscare can finally achieve the ideal return in the case of unfriendly external environment.</li>
</ul>


The main bottleneck in this market in China is the severe shortage of doctors and limited qualified hospitals to carry out such surgery, leading to lower-than-expected market penetration/sales performance.

Jenscare Scientific (JCS HK)’s products have to face fierce competition, without obvious advantage of development progress, or the progress has already lagged behind the competitors. 
Overall, good valuation cannot be supported without promising commercialization outlook. We are not sure whether Jenscare can finally achieve the ideal return in the case of unfriendly external environment.


Pre-IPO Jenscare Scientific - Difficult to Achieve Expected Commercialization Results

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microport-scientific-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4487:1" rel="noopener">Microport Scientific (853 HK)</a>’s 2021 performance missed expectations. </li>
<li>Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.</li>
<li>Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.</li>
</ul>


Due to the centralized procurement in PRC market and decreasing volume of operations in overseas markets during pandemic, Microport Scientific (853 HK)’s 2021 performance missed expectations. 
Even if Microport could finally digest the negative impact of centralized procurement, its “unique” development mode would still put pressure and uncertainties on future performance/outlook, leading to lower-than-expected results.
Our earnings estimate of Microport in 2022 could be about HK$-1.7, and revenue estimate could be about HK$7.3 billion. It’s quite possible that the Company will not end up profitable.


Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orbusneich-medical-group-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34918:1" rel="noopener">OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK)</a> has a rich pipeline with a leadership position in the PCI balloon markets.</li>
<li>Its global business layout would also help the Company “hedge” the negative domestic policy impact or regulation changes.</li>
<li>However, the fierce competition, market pattern, industry characteristics, centralized procurement and other concerns should not be neglected.</li>
</ul>



OrbusNeich Medical Group (NEICHZ HK) has a rich pipeline with a leadership position in the PCI balloon markets.
Its global business layout would also help the Company “hedge” the negative domestic policy impact or regulation changes.
However, the fierce competition, market pattern, industry characteristics, centralized procurement and other concerns should not be neglected.


Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Venus Medtech (Hangzhou) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/venus-medtech-hangzhou-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28257:1" rel="noopener">Venus MedTech (2500 HK)</a> is facing competition in China TAVR market and its market share has deteriorated to 70% in 2021 from 79.3% in 2018.</li>
<li>Due to declining ASP and low pricing power, the company’s gross profit margin has declined to 78% in 2021 from 86% in 2018.</li>
<li>During 2021, the company’s loss expanded 103% y/y to RMB372 million, mainly due to elevated selling and distribution expenses and R&amp;D costs.</li>
</ul>



Venus MedTech (2500 HK) is facing competition in China TAVR market and its market share has deteriorated to 70% in 2021 from 79.3% in 2018.
Due to declining ASP and low pricing power, the company’s gross profit margin has declined to 78% in 2021 from 86% in 2018.
During 2021, the company’s loss expanded 103% y/y to RMB372 million, mainly due to elevated selling and distribution expenses and R&amp;D costs.


Venus MedTech (2500 HK): Overcrowded Market, Margin Pressure, Expanding Loss

<ul>
<li>Even starting late,Peijia took the lead in the number of hospitals entered and sales volume in the 1st year after product launch.It could be a dark horse to achieve corner overtaking. </li>
<li>The ceiling of China TAVR market is obvious due to high surgery cost and severe shortage of doctors/qualified hospitals. Future price war due to fierce competition is also a concern.</li>
<li>Related TAVR companies’ high valuation cannot be supported without sufficient incremental markets. So, if companies hope to break the ceiling, they have to develop global markets.</li>
</ul>


Even starting late,Peijia took the lead in the number of hospitals entered and sales volume in the 1st year after product launch.It could be a dark horse to achieve corner overtaking. 
The ceiling of China TAVR market is obvious due to high surgery cost and severe shortage of doctors/qualified hospitals. Future price war due to fierce competition is also a concern.
Related TAVR companies’ high valuation cannot be supported without sufficient incremental markets. So, if companies hope to break the ceiling, they have to develop global markets.


Venus MedTech (2500.HK) Vs Peijia Medical (9996.HK) Vs CardioFlow (2160.HK) - Dilemma of TAVR Market

China

MicroPort CardioFlow Medtech Corporation is a medical device company specializing in the research, development, and commercialization of transcatheter and surgical solutions for structural heart diseases. Its product portfolio includes transcatheter aortic valves, left atrial appendage closure systems, and cardiac rhythm management devices like pacemakers and implantable cardioverter-defibrillators. The company was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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MicroPort CardioFlow (2160 HK)

Pre-IPO Jenscare Scientific - Difficult to Achieve Expected Commercialization Results

Jenscare’s products have to face fierce competition, with slow development progress. The severe shortage of doctors and limited qualified hospitals...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Microport Scientific (853.HK)-The “unique” Development Mode Leads to Lower-Than-Expected Performance

Microport’s 2021 performance missed expectations due to VBP and pandemic. Its “unique” development mode will lead to lower-than...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO OrbusNeich Medical Group - The Industry, the Business and the Concerns

The rich pipeline and large global business will help OrbusNeich “hedge” negative domestic policy impact. But fierce competition, slow progress in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Venus MedTech (2500 HK): Overcrowded Market, Margin Pressure, Expanding Loss

Despite shares plunged 82% from highs, Venus MedTech is not a bottom-fishing idea, as unfavorable competitive landscape in its operating market...

Tina Banerjee

Venus MedTech (2500.HK) Vs Peijia Medical (9996.HK) Vs CardioFlow (2160.HK) - Dilemma of TAVR Market

The high surgery cost and severe shortage of qualified doctors hospitals are two main bottlenecks for China TAVR market. Entering global markets is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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