Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels Nz / Event-Driven

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ)

<ul>
<li>Back on the 20th January, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/millennium-copthorne-hotels-nz-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5040:1" rel="noopener">Millennium &amp; Copthorne (MCK NZ)</a>, a Kiwi hotel chain, announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/city-developments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:57:1" rel="noopener">City Developments (CIT SP)</a>, its controlling shareholder, made an Offer for shares not held.</li>
<li>City Dev offered NZ$2.25/share (not final), a 25% premium to last close. City held 75.86% and the Offer was (initially) conditional on a 90% holding, including shares currently held.</li>
<li>The independent advisor recommended shareholders NOT accept the Offer, with a fair value range of NZ$4.40-NZ$5.00/share. City Dev has blinked, and <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/1.MCHNZ-Takeover_offer_update.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=841953" target="_blank" rel="noopener">bumped</a> terms 24.4% to NZ$2.80/share - best and final.
</li>
</ul>


Back on the 20th January, Millennium &amp; Copthorne (MCK NZ), a Kiwi hotel chain, announced that City Developments (CIT SP), its controlling shareholder, made an Offer for shares not held.
City Dev offered NZ$2.25/share (not final), a 25% premium to last close. City held 75.86% and the Offer was (initially) conditional on a 90% holding, including shares currently held.
The independent advisor recommended shareholders NOT accept the Offer, with a fair value range of NZ$4.40-NZ$5.00/share. City Dev has blinked, and bumped terms 24.4% to NZ$2.80/share - best and final.



M & C Hotels (MCK NZ): City Dev Blinks & Bumps

<ul>
<li>Cuscaden Peak, the sponsor of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/paragon-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5994:1" rel="noopener">Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)</a> and 61.5% shareholder, has offered S$0.98/unit, in cash; or S$1.003/unit, a 7% premium to NAV, when including FY24's S$0.0233/unit cash distribution.</li>
<li>The Offer is by way of a Scheme. The Offer price has NOT been declared final. A switch option into a voluntary Offer is afforded should a competing Offer emerge.</li>
<li>Looks pretty clean. Assuming mid-late May payment, pay up to S$0.97/share for a 4%/15% gross/annualised spread. It may trade tighter given the early distribution payment.</li>
</ul>


Cuscaden Peak, the sponsor of Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP) and 61.5% shareholder, has offered S$0.98/unit, in cash; or S$1.003/unit, a 7% premium to NAV, when including FY24's S$0.0233/unit cash distribution.
The Offer is by way of a Scheme. The Offer price has NOT been declared final. A switch option into a voluntary Offer is afforded should a competing Offer emerge.
Looks pretty clean. Assuming mid-late May payment, pay up to S$0.97/share for a 4%/15% gross/annualised spread. It may trade tighter given the early distribution payment.


Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul class=""><li>Lodging in Singapore underperforms in 2017, with value sales of SGD4.9 billon representing a 2% fall from the previous year</li></ul><ul><li>A glut of new hotel rooms and unfavourable regulations have adversely affected sales of hotels and short-term rentals</li></ul><ul><li>Lodging is expected to recover in the long run, but will achieve only a marginal value CAGR at constant 2017 prices over the forecast period, and reach SGD5.0 billion in 2022</li></ul>

Lodging in Singapore underperforms in 2017, with value sales of SGD4.9 billon representing a 2% fall from the previous yearA glut of new hotel rooms and unfavourable regulations have adversely affected sales of hotels and short-term rentalsLodging is expected to recover in the long run, but will achieve only a marginal value CAGR at constant 2017 prices over the forecast period, and reach SGD5.0 billion in 2022

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd / Event-Driven

Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. Ltd (SOL AU)

<ul>
<li>I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">Washington H. Soul Pattinson  (SOL AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brickworks-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2726:1" rel="noopener">Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU)</a>merger; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a>'s Exit Offer. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spartan-resources-ltd-australi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1818:1" rel="noopener">Spartan Resources (SPR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pointsbet-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29102:1" rel="noopener">PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tam-jai-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34227:1" rel="noopener">Tam Jai International (2217 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: the Washington H. Soul Pattinson  (SOL AU) / Brickworks Ltd (BKW AU)merger; and Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)'s Exit Offer. 
Key updates/news took place on: Spartan Resources (SPR AU), PointsBet Holdings (PBH AU), ESR Group (1821 HK), and Tam Jai International (2217 HK).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Soul Patts/ Brickworks, Spartan Resources, PointsBet, ESR Group, Tam Jai

<ul>
<li>For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. </li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. 
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

New Zealand

Millennium & Copthorne Hotels New Zealand Limited is involved in the ownership and operation of hotels in New Zealand and Australia.  The Company also is involved in the purchasing and development of real estate in New Zealand.

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Millennium & Copthorne Hotels Nz (MCK NZ)

M & C Hotels (MCK NZ): City Dev Blinks & Bumps

As this Offer heads towards the technical pointy end, I and some readers had some questions, especially on the likelihood of suspension at the...

David Blennerhassett

Paragon REIT (PGNREIT SP)'s Privatisation Offer

Looks pretty clean. A 7% premium to NAV and a roughly two-year high. If payment on or around late May, I'd pay up to S$0.97/share for a gross...

David Blennerhassett

Lodging in Singapore

Lodging in Singapore underperforms in 2017, with value sales of SGD4.9 billon representing a 2% fall from the previous yearA glut of new hotel...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Soul Patts/ Brickworks, Spartan Resources, PointsBet, ESR Group, Tam Jai

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

For the month of May, 13 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$27bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

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