Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>-backed hypermarket play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808)</a> is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.</li>
<li>Reportedly, SASAC-backed COFCO Group may acquire Alibaba’s <a href="https://di.hkex.com.hk/di/NSForm2.aspx?fn=CS20210312E00462&amp;sa2=as&amp;sid=62065&amp;corpn=Sun+Art+Retail+Group+Ltd.&amp;sd=27%2f09%2f2023&amp;ed=27%2f09%2f2024&amp;cid=0&amp;sa1=cl&amp;scsd=27%2f09%2f2023&amp;sced=27%2f09%2f2024&amp;sc=6808&amp;src=MAIN&amp;lang=EN&amp;g_lang=en&amp;" target="_blank" rel="noopener">78.7% stake</a>. Sun Art's shares are up 45% since the middle of the month.</li>
<li>Alibaba exiting - if true - follows <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> (and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dfi-retail-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7427:1" rel="noopener">DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)</a>) selling their respective stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui Superstores Co., (601933 CH)</a> earlier this week.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)-backed hypermarket play Sun Art Retail (6808) is currently suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code.
Reportedly, SASAC-backed COFCO Group may acquire Alibaba’s 78.7% stake. Sun Art's shares are up 45% since the middle of the month.
Alibaba exiting - if true - follows JD.com (9618 HK) (and DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)) selling their respective stakes in Yonghui Superstores Co., (601933 CH) earlier this week.


<ul>
<li>Low-Cost retailer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO (9896 HK)</a> has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0923/2024092301478.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered into SPAs to acquire a 29.4% stake</a> in supermarket chain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui (601933 CH)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dfi-retail-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7427:1" rel="noopener">DFI (DFI SP)</a> and two units of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Upon the completion of this US$890mn transaction, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, MINISO would become Yonghui's largest shareholder. And DFI would exit its entire stake.</li>
<li>Ye Guofu, MINISO's founder/chairman, views the transaction “<a href="https://thelowdown.momentum.asia/miniso-spends-us890-million-to-challenge-sams-club-in-china/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">With a brave heart, start a new world!</a>”. Yonghui has been spilling red ink since FY21. Perhaps "brave soul" is more apt.</li>
</ul>


Low-Cost retailer MINISO (9896 HK) has entered into SPAs to acquire a 29.4% stake in supermarket chain Yonghui (601933 CH) from DFI (DFI SP) and two units of JD.com (9618 HK). 
Upon the completion of this US$890mn transaction, which is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, MINISO would become Yonghui's largest shareholder. And DFI would exit its entire stake.
Ye Guofu, MINISO's founder/chairman, views the transaction “With a brave heart, start a new world!”. Yonghui has been spilling red ink since FY21. Perhaps "brave soul" is more apt.


DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO</a>'s  acquisition of a 29.4% stake in the loss-making supermarket chain <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui</a>  for USD 890 million has been viewed negatively by investors, leading to a sharp decline in Miniso's stock.</li>
<li>The deal's size, combined with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yonghui-superstores-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15910:1" rel="noopener">Yonghui Superstores (601933 CH)</a> unprofitable track record and   <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/miniso-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36659:1" rel="noopener">MINISO(9896 HK)</a> 's unexpected move into the low-margin, highly competitive supermarket space, has likely fueled investor concerns.</li>
<li>However, we believe the acquisition provides Miniso with a strategic opportunity for growth and diversification to a sector that remains vital in the offline retail landscape at undemanding valuations.  </li>
</ul>



MINISO's  acquisition of a 29.4% stake in the loss-making supermarket chain Yonghui  for USD 890 million has been viewed negatively by investors, leading to a sharp decline in Miniso's stock.
The deal's size, combined with Yonghui Superstores (601933 CH) unprofitable track record and   MINISO(9896 HK) 's unexpected move into the low-margin, highly competitive supermarket space, has likely fueled investor concerns.
However, we believe the acquisition provides Miniso with a strategic opportunity for growth and diversification to a sector that remains vital in the offline retail landscape at undemanding valuations.  


MINISO Bets Big on Yonghui. Should Investors Be Concerned About the Acquisition?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 6th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015 HK), Tencent (700 HK). 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$29.7bn on small two-way volumes. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-china-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:656:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of China Ltd (H) (3988 HK)</a> dropped to #4 this week but SOE buying dominated.</li>
<li>It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, and the KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, but it continues.</li>
<li>Valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was again a net buyer for HK$29.7bn on small two-way volumes. Bank Of China Ltd (H) (3988 HK) dropped to #4 this week but SOE buying dominated.
It is not clear how much of this is H/A discounts, expected dividend tax removal, and the KPIs for SOE CEOs to raise prices and payout ratios, but it continues.
Valuations are acceptable. Flows are good. Policy changes are afoot. SOUTHBOUND may continue to see inflows - national team and otherwise.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 31 May 2024); Private Tech, Energy/Financial SOEs See BIG Net Buys

China

MINISO Group Holding Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, retails home decor, small electronics, textile, accessories, beauty tools, toys, cosmetics, personal care, snacks, fragrance and perfumes, and stationery and gifts. MINISO Group Holding serves customers worldwide.

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MINISO Group Holding (9896 HK)

Sun Art Retail (6808 HK): COFCO Offer?

Alibaba exiting - if true - follows JD.com (9618 HK) (and DFI Retail Group Holdings (DFI SP)) selling their respective stake in Yonghui Superstores...

David Blennerhassett

DFI Exits Yonghui, MINISO Enters: Who Got The Short End Of The Stick?

DFI doesn't appear too demanding here; but has already run up ~9% on the news. I 'd get involved on any weakness. JMH does look attractive here....

David Blennerhassett

MINISO Bets Big on Yonghui. Should Investors Be Concerned About the Acquisition?

Acquisition upsides worth considering - inexpensive valuation for a supermarket chain with turnaround potential, diversification to a segment that...

Devi Subhakesan

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 6th): Inflows into ETF, Li Auto, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for HSI ETF (2800 HK), HSCEI ETF (2828 HK), Li Auto (2015...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 31 May 2024); Private Tech, Energy/Financial SOEs See BIG Net Buys

HK SOUTHBOUND Connect sees big flows, yet again, and net buying every day, yet again. This week was Energy and Finance SOEs but every sector saw...

Travis Lundy

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