Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p>Our sell out of Asian longs yesterday was timely. S&amp;P top is in place at 1,940 (futures) after hitting our base case level of 1,938 with risk to 1,950. We failed to short the S&amp;P but now calibrating levels on a bounce to short financials, small caps and the S&amp;P. The fact that we broke below 1,910 implies a top is in place. Weak sector links telegraphing further weakness. Our macro bear targets remains at S&amp;P 1,720 (tactical rise) and then 1,620.</p><div>S&amp;P 1,875 is a level to stage a recovery back to…</div>

Our sell out of Asian longs yesterday was timely. S&amp;P top is in place at 1,940 (futures) after hitting our base case level of 1,938 with risk to 1,950. We failed to short the S&amp;P but now calibrating levels on a bounce to short financials, small caps and the S&amp;P. The fact that we broke below 1,910 implies a top is in place. Weak sector links telegraphing further weakness. Our macro bear targets remains at S&amp;P 1,720 (tactical rise) and then 1,620.S&amp;P 1,875 is a level to stage a recovery back to…

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-media-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3191:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Media Holdings (4676 JP)</a> bought back 61,213,800 shares (29.86% of TSO) in a ToSTNeT-3 buyback at ¥3,839 which was a tiny discount to end-Dec25 book value. </li>
<li>79mm shares were offered. Murakami+Dalton - the two major activists - owned 59mm shares. Another 20mm shares were offered in. That is an oddly large excess. Pro-ration ~76-77%.</li>
<li>That <em>may</em> leave activists with 10% of the new shares out. There's a lot of odd and interesting math to think about here. </li>
</ul>


This morning, Fuji Media Holdings (4676 JP) bought back 61,213,800 shares (29.86% of TSO) in a ToSTNeT-3 buyback at ¥3,839 which was a tiny discount to end-Dec25 book value. 
79mm shares were offered. Murakami+Dalton - the two major activists - owned 59mm shares. Another 20mm shares were offered in. That is an oddly large excess. Pro-ration ~76-77%.
That may leave activists with 10% of the new shares out. There's a lot of odd and interesting math to think about here. 


[Japan Activism?] Fuji Media (4676 JP) Buyback/Accretion Done, Now It's All About the Real Estate

Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

<ul><li>Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) is purchasing 9 floors at Exchange Square in Hong Kong for $810 million, marking the top deal of the year.</li><li>The California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) fund has acquired an office tower near Shanghai Xintiandi for $316 million.</li><li>Mitsubishi Estate has started construction on a $1.7 billion office project in London, further solidifying its presence in the city's real estate market.</li></ul>

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) is purchasing 9 floors at Exchange Square in Hong Kong for $810 million, marking the top deal of the year.The California Public Employees' Retirement System (CalPERS) fund has acquired an office tower near Shanghai Xintiandi for $316 million.Mitsubishi Estate has started construction on a $1.7 billion office project in London, further solidifying its presence in the city's real estate market.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Apr-2025): HKEX buys 9 floors at Exchange Square for $810M.

<ul><li>Warburg Pincus and Wide Creek JV have acquired GreenFort, a Korean logistic asset, marking their second investment in the country.</li><li>Gaw Capital is set to discuss a joint venture with MTD TV for the development of 1,200 homes in an upcoming interview on Wednesday.</li><li>Mitsubishi Estate has sold its stake in a Shinjuku office tower to a J-REIT for $190 million, continuing its strategic real estate transactions.</li></ul>

Warburg Pincus and Wide Creek JV have acquired GreenFort, a Korean logistic asset, marking their second investment in the country.Gaw Capital is set to discuss a joint venture with MTD TV for the development of 1,200 homes in an upcoming interview on Wednesday.Mitsubishi Estate has sold its stake in a Shinjuku office tower to a J-REIT for $190 million, continuing its strategic real estate transactions.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Mar-2025): Warburg Pincus JV acquires second Korean asset.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-mall-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5262:1" rel="noopener">AEON Mall (8905 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> announced a MoU for the potential privatisation of Aeon Mall through a share exchange offer.</li>
<li>The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. </li>
<li>Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding facilitates passing the Aeon Mall shareholder vote. My analysis suggests a potential share exchange (Aeon Mall/Aeon) ratio range of 0.60x-0.69x.</li>
</ul>



AEON Mall (8905 JP) and Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) announced a MoU for the potential privatisation of Aeon Mall through a share exchange offer.
The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. 
Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding facilitates passing the Aeon Mall shareholder vote. My analysis suggests a potential share exchange (Aeon Mall/Aeon) ratio range of 0.60x-0.69x.


Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Potential Share Exchange Offer

Japan

Mitsubishi Estate Company Ltd. invests in real estate properties in Japan.  The Company leases, manages, and develops commercial buildings in central Tokyo. Mitsubishi Estate also develops and sells residential properties and parking lots and manages recreational facilities including golf courses and tennis clubs.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Mitsubishi Estate (8802 JP)

Increasing Shorts on Strength

Our sell out of Asian longs yesterday was timely. S&P top is in place at 1,940 (futures) after hitting our base case level of 1,938 with risk...

Thomas Schroeder

[Japan Activism?] Fuji Media (4676 JP) Buyback/Accretion Done, Now It's All About the Real Estate

Fuji Media HD did a bigly buyback this AM - 30% of TSO. Now it is about selling the real estate and cross-holdings and fixing media. It's cheap...

Travis Lundy

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Apr-2025): HKEX buys 9 floors at Exchange Square for $810M.

HKEX buys 9 floors at Hongkong Land's Exchange Square, CalPERS fund purchases office tower near Shanghai Xintiandi, and Mitsubishi Estate starts...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Mar-2025): Warburg Pincus JV acquires second Korean asset.

Warburg Pincus and Wide Creek JV acquire Korean logistic asset, Gaw Capital plans 1,200-home JV, Mitsubishi Estate sells Shinjuku office tower...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Increasing Shorts on Strength

Our sell out of Asian longs yesterday was timely. S&P top is in place at 1,940 (futures) after hitting our base case level of 1,938 with risk...

Thomas Schroeder

[Japan Activism?] Fuji Media (4676 JP) Buyback/Accretion Done, Now It's All About the Real Estate

Fuji Media HD did a bigly buyback this AM - 30% of TSO. Now it is about selling the real estate and cross-holdings and fixing media. It's cheap...

Travis Lundy

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Apr-2025): HKEX buys 9 floors at Exchange Square for $810M.

HKEX buys 9 floors at Hongkong Land's Exchange Square, CalPERS fund purchases office tower near Shanghai Xintiandi, and Mitsubishi Estate starts...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker (25-Mar-2025): Warburg Pincus JV acquires second Korean asset.

Warburg Pincus and Wide Creek JV acquire Korean logistic asset, Gaw Capital plans 1,200-home JV, Mitsubishi Estate sells Shinjuku office tower...

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Potential Share Exchange Offer

The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. My analysis suggests a potential share...

Arun George