Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are many stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn).</li>
<li>The adds have been floundering versus the deletes over the last few months and there could be some outperformance heading into implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are many stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn).
The adds have been floundering versus the deletes over the last few months and there could be some outperformance heading into implementation of the changes.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: 45 Adds; 39 Deletes; US$9bn Trade

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. US Equities down again as Bostic, Kaskari call for higher rates; US10 Yr touches 4%; China Drives Energy and Materials Bid; Awaiting TESLA IR Day (as we write)</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2 flat; Japan caught btw US rate hike Narrative vs China Recovery;  JP firms to hire more; ARM listing: UK loses to US</li>
<li>NUGGET.  As Tesla's Investor day in Focus;  Time to Refocus on their premier US battery supplier Panasonic, and the MASSIVE impact that IRA will have on earnings</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. US Equities down again as Bostic, Kaskari call for higher rates; US10 Yr touches 4%; China Drives Energy and Materials Bid; Awaiting TESLA IR Day (as we write)
JAPAN. NKY Futs flat vs Cash; USDJPY 136.2 flat; Japan caught btw US rate hike Narrative vs China Recovery;  JP firms to hire more; ARM listing: UK loses to US
NUGGET.  As Tesla's Investor day in Focus;  Time to Refocus on their premier US battery supplier Panasonic, and the MASSIVE impact that IRA will have on earnings


Good Morning Japan |Down as Fed Hawks Soar; China Drives Resources; Tesla IR Day; NUGGET: Panasonic

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  
DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? 


Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  US stocks rally on Fed paus(ing); Duration gets extended spurring +5% SOX move; AMD results provide comfort for Semis; Meta Beats !  Off to the races!</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.2% vs Cash; Yen Stronger at USDJPY 129.02 post Fed;  BOJ shows commitment buying  $180 bn JGBs in Jan;   Earnings: Positive Keyence; Negative Kyocera; Disaster Sumi Chemicals. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. Race for Talent. Japan retail major lifts wages, as (wage) hike momentum gathers. Issue for Japan is lack of workers !</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  US stocks rally on Fed paus(ing); Duration gets extended spurring +5% SOX move; AMD results provide comfort for Semis; Meta Beats !  Off to the races!
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +0.2% vs Cash; Yen Stronger at USDJPY 129.02 post Fed;  BOJ shows commitment buying  $180 bn JGBs in Jan;   Earnings: Positive Keyence; Negative Kyocera; Disaster Sumi Chemicals. 
DAILY NUGGETS. Race for Talent. Japan retail major lifts wages, as (wage) hike momentum gathers. Issue for Japan is lack of workers !


Good Morning Japan | Blast off ! "Disinflation Process Has Started";AMD Spurs Tech Rally; Meta Beats

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022
DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. 


Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

Japan

MITSUI & CO., LTD. is a general trading company.  The Company has operating groups including Iron and Steel, Non-Ferrous Metals, Machinery, Chemicals, Foods, Energy, Textiles, and General Merchandise.  Mitsui also operates real estate and overseas development projects.

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Mitsui & Co Ltd (8031 JP)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: 45 Adds; 39 Deletes; US$9bn Trade

There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn)....

Brian Freitas

Good Morning Japan |Down as Fed Hawks Soar; China Drives Resources; Tesla IR Day; NUGGET: Panasonic

US down again as US10 Yield touch 4%; Japan caught btw US rate hike Narrative vs China Recovery; JP firms to hire more; ARM listing: UK loses to...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

North Korea launches 2 more missiles as Japan cries foul; Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise? . STOCK FOCUS TODAY: Toto the...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Blast off ! "Disinflation Process Has Started";AMD Spurs Tech Rally; Meta Beats

NKY Futs +0.2% vs Cash;USDJPY 129.02 post-Fed. Watch our homegrown SPE names today to follow the lead of the SOX. Today, Sony is on tap. Watching...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally. NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; JP CORE Inflation hits 4%; Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy...

Mark Chadwick

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