Asia Real Estate News Tracker, Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Asia Real Estate News Tracker

Tracking developments across Asia's regional real estate markets

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>KKR has sold Seiyu to Trial Holdings for $2.5 billion, marking a significant deal in the retail industry.</li><li>Real estate firm Savills has appointed Mitsui Fudosan veteran Eiichiro Onozawa to head its Japan business.</li><li>70% of Senior Directors express confidence in data centres, despite concerns over a worsening talent shortage in the sector.</li></ul>

KKR has sold Seiyu to Trial Holdings for $2.5 billion, marking a significant deal in the retail industry.Real estate firm Savills has appointed Mitsui Fudosan veteran Eiichiro Onozawa to head its Japan business.70% of Senior Directors express confidence in data centres, despite concerns over a worsening talent shortage in the sector.

Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-Mar-2025): KKR sells Seiyu to Trial Holdings for $2.5B.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-mall-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5262:1" rel="noopener">AEON Mall (8905 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP)</a> announced a MoU for the potential privatisation of Aeon Mall through a share exchange offer.</li>
<li>The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. </li>
<li>Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding facilitates passing the Aeon Mall shareholder vote. My analysis suggests a potential share exchange (Aeon Mall/Aeon) ratio range of 0.60x-0.69x.</li>
</ul>



AEON Mall (8905 JP) and Aeon Co Ltd (8267 JP) announced a MoU for the potential privatisation of Aeon Mall through a share exchange offer.
The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. 
Aeon’s 58.16% shareholding facilitates passing the Aeon Mall shareholder vote. My analysis suggests a potential share exchange (Aeon Mall/Aeon) ratio range of 0.60x-0.69x.


Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Potential Share Exchange Offer

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Shopping malls have finally recovered to pre-Covid sales levels now that consumers are travelling freely (at least inside Japan) and spending more on discretionary items in some segments.</li>
<li>But development of new malls is slow due to falling demand from tenants, saturation in the best locations, higher costs and the labour shortage.  </li>
<li>The outlook remains muted, with little prospect of a major change in investment schedules although some larger developments are in the pipeline.</li>
</ul>


Shopping malls have finally recovered to pre-Covid sales levels now that consumers are travelling freely (at least inside Japan) and spending more on discretionary items in some segments.
But development of new malls is slow due to falling demand from tenants, saturation in the best locations, higher costs and the labour shortage.  
The outlook remains muted, with little prospect of a major change in investment schedules although some larger developments are in the pipeline.


Japan's Malls up 2.7% but New Builds Down

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.</li>
<li>Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.</li>
<li>Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.</li>
</ul>


Echoes of August with Japan looking to start the day very weak on the lead from US semi related.
Expect heavy selling for recent retail margin favourites e.g. Mercari, IHI, KHI and Socionext, and SPE winners such as Kokusai and Advantest, although the sector will start under heavy pressure.
Nothing from Nikkei Inc. yet on their NKY225 rebalance decision, but expect outsized volatility today with many multi-strategy pods shuttered during the August sell off.


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

<ul>
<li>Good retailer numbers and outlooks by Target and TJX setting a positive tone for the likes of Mercari on the read for consumer spending.</li>
<li>Toll Bros numbers from the day before lifting US Homebuilders should see the likes of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sumitomo-forestry-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sumitomo Forestry</a> rebound off yesterdays weak price action.</li>
<li>Japanese R/E names look increasingly vulnerable to downside ahead of Ueda's speech tomorrow which should point to a BoJ trajectory for future rate hikes.</li>
</ul>


Good retailer numbers and outlooks by Target and TJX setting a positive tone for the likes of Mercari on the read for consumer spending.
Toll Bros numbers from the day before lifting US Homebuilders should see the likes of Sumitomo Forestry rebound off yesterdays weak price action.
Japanese R/E names look increasingly vulnerable to downside ahead of Ueda's speech tomorrow which should point to a BoJ trajectory for future rate hikes.


Japan Morning Connection: Mercari, Sumitomo Forestry, Anritsu

Japan

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. provides overall real estate services such as leasing, subdivision, construction, sales, and maintenance of office buildings and residential houses.  The Company also manufactures building materials, operates commercial facilities including hotels and golf places, and provides financial services such as securitization of real estate properties.

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Mitsui Fudosan (8801 JP)

Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-Mar-2025): KKR sells Seiyu to Trial Holdings for $2.5B.

KKR sells Seiyu, Savills hires Eiichiro Onozawa, data centre confidence high but talent shortage a concern.

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Japan's Malls up 2.7% but New Builds Down

Shopping malls in Japan have rebounded to pre-Covid sales levels but new development is hindered by falling demand, location saturation, high...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Mercari, Sumitomo Forestry, Anritsu

Positive retail numbers from Target and TJX bode well for consumer spending, while Toll Bros' strong performance lifts Homebuilders. Japanese R/E...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia Real Estate Tracker (07-Mar-2025): KKR sells Seiyu to Trial Holdings for $2.5B.

KKR sells Seiyu, Savills hires Eiichiro Onozawa, data centre confidence high but talent shortage a concern.

Asia Real Estate Tracker

Aeon Mall (8905 JP): Aeon (8267 JP)’s Potential Share Exchange Offer

The terms of the share exchange are expected to be announced in early April and be implemented in July. My analysis suggests a potential share...

Arun George

Japan's Malls up 2.7% but New Builds Down

​Shopping malls in Japan have rebounded to pre-Covid sales levels but new development is hindered by falling demand, location saturation, high...

Michael Causton

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Volatility with Retail and SPE Stocks Under Pressure

​Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Mercari, Sumitomo Forestry, Anritsu

​Positive retail numbers from Target and TJX bode well for consumer spending, while Toll Bros' strong performance lifts Homebuilders. Japanese R/E...

Andrew Jackson

Shopping malls in Japan have rebounded to pre-Covid sales levels but new development is hindered by falling demand, location saturation, high...

Japan's market set to open weak following US semi-related lead, heavy selling expected for retail margin favorites and SPE winners, potential...

Positive retail numbers from Target and TJX bode well for consumer spending, while Toll Bros' strong performance lifts Homebuilders. Japanese R/E...