Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Cerebras Systems / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Cerebras Systems, founder-led AI infrastructure decacorn that designs and manufactures AI compute platform, has once again filed their S-1 to go public on the Nasdaq.</li>
<li>The AI chipmaker will likely begin trading sometime in May and will be one of the most anticipated IPOs in recent memory given its focus on “red-hot” AI inference market.</li>
<li>Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Barclays and UBS are the lead bankers on the IPO. In February, Cerebras closed a $1B Series H financing at a ~$23B post-money valuation, according to Pitchbook.</li>
</ul>


Cerebras Systems, founder-led AI infrastructure decacorn that designs and manufactures AI compute platform, has once again filed their S-1 to go public on the Nasdaq.
The AI chipmaker will likely begin trading sometime in May and will be one of the most anticipated IPOs in recent memory given its focus on “red-hot” AI inference market.
Morgan Stanley, Citigroup, Barclays and UBS are the lead bankers on the IPO. In February, Cerebras closed a $1B Series H financing at a ~$23B post-money valuation, according to Pitchbook.


Cerebras IPO Valuation Update: OpenAI Deal Powers AI Decacorn Toward ~$2.5B Revenue in 2027.

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

MetaX Integrated Circuits / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in June.</li>
<li>Estimated turnover is 6.7% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 13.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 20.15bn (US$2.95bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and months. The forecast deletes have been pressured by ETF redemptions as momentum continues in the adds.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in June.
Estimated turnover is 6.7% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 13.9% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 20.15bn (US$2.95bn).
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last few weeks and months. The forecast deletes have been pressured by ETF redemptions as momentum continues in the adds.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance, ETF Redemptions & Fast Entry Conundrum

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>STAR 50 and STAR 100 are tech-focused, blue-chip indices in Mainland China which track the largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming June 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect over US$2bn combined one-way flows for STAR 50 and STAR 100 during the June 2026 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


STAR 50 and STAR 100 are tech-focused, blue-chip indices in Mainland China which track the largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs and DELs for the upcoming June 2026 index rebal event.
We expect over US$2bn combined one-way flows for STAR 50 and STAR 100 during the June 2026 index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Jun26: Fate of Large IPO Fast-Track Additions Still a Question Mark

<ul>
<li>The March 2026 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 27th February 2026.</li>
<li>There will be three changes for the STAR 50 index and ten changes for the STAR 100 index.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flows of approximately US$1.6bn and US$547mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events respectively.</li>
</ul>


The March 2026 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 27th February 2026.
There will be three changes for the STAR 50 index and ten changes for the STAR 100 index.
We expect one-way flows of approximately US$1.6bn and US$547mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events respectively.


Quiddity STAR 50/100 Mar26 Results: 6/6 STAR 50 Changes Correctly Predicted; Some STAR 100 Surprises

Cambricon Technologies  Lt / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>, 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50 INDEX</a> resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.</li>
<li>With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX), 10 changes for the STAR100 Index and 2 changes for the STAR Chip Index at the March rebalance.
We estimate one-way turnover of 9% for the STAR50 INDEX resulting in a round-trip trade of CNY 27.6bn (US$4bn). One-way turnover for the STAR100 Index is 9.2%.
With the National Team redeeming ETFs, the adds have outperformed the deletes for all the indices and that could continue ahead of implementation of the changes.


STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

China

Moore Threads Technology Co., Ltd. develops application products. The Company provides visual computing applications, edge computing servers, artificial intelligence applications, and other products. Moore Threads Technology offers its services throughout China.

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Moore Threads Technology (688795 CH)

Cerebras IPO Valuation Update: OpenAI Deal Powers AI Decacorn Toward ~$2.5B Revenue in 2027.

Cerebras Systems has once again filed their S-1 to go public. Given their $20B contract with OpenAI, hyper-growth profile and solid balance sheet,...

Andrei Zakharov

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance, ETF Redemptions & Fast Entry Conundrum

There could be 4 changes for the STAR50 and 10 for the STAR100 in June. Fast Entry inclusions depend on the index committee. ETF redemptions...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50/100 Jun26: Fate of Large IPO Fast-Track Additions Still a Question Mark

Recent large IPOs Moore Threads (688795 CH) and MetaX (688802 CH) could get added on a fast-track basis unless the index provider overrules them...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity STAR 50/100 Mar26 Results: 6/6 STAR 50 Changes Correctly Predicted; Some STAR 100 Surprises

We correctly predicted 6/6 STAR 50 changes and 16/20 STAR 100 changes. We expected one more ADD/DEL for STAR 50 which did not materialize. There...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STAR50/STAR100/STAR Chip Index Rebalance: Adds Outperform Deletes as Trade Nears US$6bn

There are 3 changes for the STAR50, 10 changes for the STAR100, 2 changes for the STAR Chip in March. The adds have outperformed the deletes across...

Brian Freitas

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