Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Memory Market Diverges: AI Demand Continues to Surges While Legacy Segments Struggle in November</li>
<li>Diverging Demand Trends Highlight Market Decoupling -- AI Driving HBM, Server DRAM, QLC NAND Demand</li>
<li>Outlook for the Memory Market -- Decoupling Trade: Long SK Hynix vs. Short Nanya Tech Trade</li>
</ul>


Memory Market Diverges: AI Demand Continues to Surges While Legacy Segments Struggle in November
Diverging Demand Trends Highlight Market Decoupling -- AI Driving HBM, Server DRAM, QLC NAND Demand
Outlook for the Memory Market -- Decoupling Trade: Long SK Hynix vs. Short Nanya Tech Trade


Memory Monitor: Decoupling Trade Long SK Hynix Vs. Short Nanya Tech

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

<ul><li>Microsoft Azure partners with Nvidia to use GB200 AI server chips, staying ahead in cloud innovation.</li><li>Hong Kong's October tech fairs will showcase electronics and lighting innovations from 6,000+ global exhibitors.</li><li>Middle East pager explosions heighten concerns about Western V2X security, while China's advances in silicon photonics may boost AI development.</li></ul>

Microsoft Azure partners with Nvidia to use GB200 AI server chips, staying ahead in cloud innovation.Hong Kong's October tech fairs will showcase electronics and lighting innovations from 6,000+ global exhibitors.Middle East pager explosions heighten concerns about Western V2X security, while China's advances in silicon photonics may boost AI development.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Oct-2024): Azure leads in Nvidia's GB200 AI chips, fueling cloud innovation.

<ul>
<li>Nanya Tech's 3Q24 results missed expecations by a wide margin, coming in with a net loss instead of the consensus expectation for a profit.</li>
<li>Nanya highlighed weakness in non-AI end applications for memory and cut its 2024E Capex guidance by nearly 25%, signaling caution towards the current market cycle.</li>
<li>While the company's new DDR5 capacity ramp-up should support stronger margins into 2025E, Nanya has yet to show a signifcant margin upturn in the cycle. </li>
</ul>


Nanya Tech's 3Q24 results missed expecations by a wide margin, coming in with a net loss instead of the consensus expectation for a profit.
Nanya highlighed weakness in non-AI end applications for memory and cut its 2024E Capex guidance by nearly 25%, signaling caution towards the current market cycle.
While the company's new DDR5 capacity ramp-up should support stronger margins into 2025E, Nanya has yet to show a signifcant margin upturn in the cycle. 


Memory Monitor: Nanya Results Miss; Highlights Weakness in Non-AI Demand

Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd-cec874fc-ef78-403b-8658-7a7298f0a28d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25241:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI)</a> Q3 preliminary Operating Profit results is 12% below consensus. Company issues rare apology, effectively admitting technology competitiveness falls short.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> is powering ahead in HBM memory in our view, securing Nvidia 2025 allocations, and industry leading efficiencies.</li>
<li>A range of factors have created a great opportunity for SK Hynix investment given misunderstood industry dynamics and position at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US).</a>
</li>
</ul>



Samsung Electronics (SMSN LI) Q3 preliminary Operating Profit results is 12% below consensus. Company issues rare apology, effectively admitting technology competitiveness falls short.

SK Hynix (000660 KS) is powering ahead in HBM memory in our view, securing Nvidia 2025 allocations, and industry leading efficiencies.
A range of factors have created a great opportunity for SK Hynix investment given misunderstood industry dynamics and position at NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US).



SAMSUNG: Less About Preliminary Results, More About the Tech Missteps. Samsung Pain Is HYNIX’s Gain

<ul>
<li>Apple Set to Launch iPhone SE 4 and Updated iPad Air in Early 2025: Key Developments to Watch</li>
<li>META's Orion AR Glasses: Next Major Computing Platform After the Smartphone?</li>
<li>Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Key IPhone Suppliers Didn't Rally With Apple; Opportunity for Rebound?</li>
</ul>


Apple Set to Launch iPhone SE 4 and Updated iPad Air in Early 2025: Key Developments to Watch
META's Orion AR Glasses: Next Major Computing Platform After the Smartphone?
Apple Supply Chain Monitor: Key IPhone Suppliers Didn't Rally With Apple; Opportunity for Rebound?


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Shifting AR Strategy After Meta Orion Showcase; Apple Supply Chain Monitor

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Memory Monitor: Decoupling Trade Long SK Hynix Vs. Short Nanya Tech

AI demand is driving growth in memory market, while legacy segments struggle, creating opportunities for investors to capitalize on decoupling...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Oct-2024): Azure leads in Nvidia's GB200 AI chips, fueling cloud innovation.

Microsoft Azure partners with Nvidia for cloud innovation using GB200 AI server chips, Hong Kong tech fairs to feature 6,000+ exhibitors, Middle...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Memory Monitor: Nanya Results Miss; Highlights Weakness in Non-AI Demand

Nanya Tech's 3Q24 results disappoint with net loss, cuts Capex guidance by 25% due to weak non-AI memory demand, but DDR5 capacity ramp-up may...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SAMSUNG: Less About Preliminary Results, More About the Tech Missteps. Samsung Pain Is HYNIX’s Gain

Samsung issues rare apology for Q3 profit miss. Admits to being behind in leading technologies. SK Hynix is ahead in HBM memory and set to win....

Neil Campling

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Shifting AR Strategy After Meta Orion Showcase; Apple Supply Chain Monitor

Apple is set to launch new iPhone SE 4 and iPad Air in 2025, Meta's Orion AR Glasses could be the next big thing, and Apple is being forced to react.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Memory Monitor: Decoupling Trade Long SK Hynix Vs. Short Nanya Tech

​AI demand is driving growth in memory market, while legacy segments struggle, creating opportunities for investors to capitalize on decoupling...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (12-Oct-2024): Azure leads in Nvidia's GB200 AI chips, fueling cloud innovation.

Microsoft Azure partners with Nvidia for cloud innovation using GB200 AI server chips, Hong Kong tech fairs to feature 6,000+ exhibitors, Middle...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Memory Monitor: Nanya Results Miss; Highlights Weakness in Non-AI Demand

​Nanya Tech's 3Q24 results disappoint with net loss, cuts Capex guidance by 25% due to weak non-AI memory demand, but DDR5 capacity ramp-up may...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SAMSUNG: Less About Preliminary Results, More About the Tech Missteps. Samsung Pain Is HYNIX’s Gain

Samsung issues rare apology for Q3 profit miss. Admits to being behind in leading technologies. SK Hynix is ahead in HBM memory and set to win....

Neil Campling

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Shifting AR Strategy After Meta Orion Showcase; Apple Supply Chain Monitor

​Apple is set to launch new iPhone SE 4 and iPad Air in 2025, Meta's Orion AR Glasses could be the next big thing, and Apple is being forced to react.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

AI demand is driving growth in memory market, while legacy segments struggle, creating opportunities for investors to capitalize on decoupling...

Nanya Tech's 3Q24 results disappoint with net loss, cuts Capex guidance by 25% due to weak non-AI memory demand, but DDR5 capacity ramp-up may...

Apple is set to launch new iPhone SE 4 and iPad Air in 2025, Meta's Orion AR Glasses could be the next big thing, and Apple is being forced to react.