Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.</li>
<li>There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.</li>
<li>With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.</li>
</ul>


There could be 4 constituent changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Top 50 ETF in December as positioning for buying by one set of index trackers pushes stocks into other indices.
There will be passive inflows in some of the forecast adds week after next and the flows from these index trackers will come a few weeks later.
With large AUMs tracking the dividend indices, stocks that have moved up a lot now have low dividend yields and there could be opposite flows from those index trackers.


Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,377.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,766mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial, Nanya Technology, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Delta Electronics, Mediatek, Nanya Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,377.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,766mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial, Nanya Technology, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Delta Electronics, Mediatek, Nanya Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 7th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated short interest was USD27.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology, Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated short interest was USD27.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology, Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 31st. The aggregated short interest was USD28.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, Yageo, TECO Electric &amp; Machinery, WT Microelectronics, Nanya Technology, Lite-On Technology, Yageo, TECO Electric &amp; Machinery, WT Microelectronics, Nanya Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Oct 31st. The aggregated short interest was USD28.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, Yageo, TECO Electric &amp; Machinery, WT Microelectronics, Nanya Technology, Lite-On Technology, Yageo, TECO Electric &amp; Machinery, WT Microelectronics, Nanya Technology.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 31st): Lite-On Technology, Yageo, TECO Electric & Machinery

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
In our prior Int'l Compass (Oct. 16) we discussed how the pullback was testing the uptrend, and we were buyers; this worked out well with indexes back at all-time highs.
Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S. remain our only overweights, but India is becoming more attractive as well -- add selective exposure. Many buy ideas highlighted in these countries.


India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Taiwan Top 50 ETF Rebalance Preview: Plenty of Big Overlapping Flows Coming Up

We currently forecast 4 changes for the ETF in Dec. That could increase to 5. Multiple stocks will have same-way flow from other index trackers...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 7th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Delta Electronics (2308 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Yageo (2327 TT), Macronix Intl (2337 TT), WT...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Oct 31st): Lite-On Technology, Yageo, TECO Electric & Machinery

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lite-On Technology (2301 TT), Yageo (2327 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

India Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

India's $SENSEX Finally Showing Signs of Life; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI; Actionable...

Vermilion Research

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