Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Micron released results and its shares are rising U.S. afterhours. The company said that its trough is past, implying the same for other memory chip producers such as Nanya Tech.</li>
<li>Given Nanya Tech recently rallied ahead of Micron, then reverted back most of the gains, we see at least a10% short-term Long trade for Nanya shares here.</li>
<li>Micron also made positive comments about the PC industry inventories. However, Taiwan PC names are already near 52-week highs. Elan Microelectronics could be a yet-to-rally play: See our full piece.</li>
</ul>


Micron released results and its shares are rising U.S. afterhours. The company said that its trough is past, implying the same for other memory chip producers such as Nanya Tech.
Given Nanya Tech recently rallied ahead of Micron, then reverted back most of the gains, we see at least a10% short-term Long trade for Nanya shares here.
Micron also made positive comments about the PC industry inventories. However, Taiwan PC names are already near 52-week highs. Elan Microelectronics could be a yet-to-rally play: See our full piece.


Memory Monitor: Micron Signals Trough Is Past -- Long Nanya Rebound & Elan Micro a Less Obvious Play

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SK Reports Massive Margin Rebound; Nanya Tech's Financial Performance Appears Relatively Weak in Perspective</li>
<li>AI Applications Now Translating Into Rising Solid-State Memory (SSD) Demand</li>
<li>SK Povided Positive Color for Taiwan PC Names; New TSMC Collaboration Highlights TSMC Strength vs. Samsung</li>
</ul>


SK Reports Massive Margin Rebound; Nanya Tech's Financial Performance Appears Relatively Weak in Perspective
AI Applications Now Translating Into Rising Solid-State Memory (SSD) Demand
SK Povided Positive Color for Taiwan PC Names; New TSMC Collaboration Highlights TSMC Strength vs. Samsung


Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC's Strength Vs. Samsung

<ul>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. </li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising </li>
<li>UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. </li>
</ul>


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): US$6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; the Earthquake Impact and the 2nd Japanese Fab. 
Memory Monitor: Nanya's Results to Provide Latest Color on DRAM Post Earthquake; Short Int Rising 
UMC (2303.TT; UMC.US): Some Rush Orders Coming in and 2Q24F Could Post Positive QoQ. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan companies are required to report revenue on a monthly basis. These updates can help us understand how a given quarter is progressing &amp; predict quarterly earnings ahead of time</li>
<li>Initially we focused on MoM %  increase/decrease. This is useful, but one needs to account for anomalies such as seasonality and potential non-linearity month to month within a given quarter </li>
<li>We now also provide the monthly YoY revenue comparison. This eliminates anomalies due to both seasonality and intra-quarter non-linearity, enabling a clearer perspective on where the industry is at. </li>
</ul>


Taiwan companies are required to report revenue on a monthly basis. These updates can help us understand how a given quarter is progressing &amp; predict quarterly earnings ahead of time
Initially we focused on MoM %  increase/decrease. This is useful, but one needs to account for anomalies such as seasonality and potential non-linearity month to month within a given quarter 
We now also provide the monthly YoY revenue comparison. This eliminates anomalies due to both seasonality and intra-quarter non-linearity, enabling a clearer perspective on where the industry is at. 


Semiconductor Real Time Indicators Update

<ul>
<li>Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Delta Electronics Major Winner of Nvidia's Conference</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Raising Growth Target to 25%+ YoY in 2024F</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Micron Leapfrogging Into HBM3E for AI; Nanya Lagging Peers But Poised to Benefit </li>
</ul>


Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Delta Electronics Major Winner of Nvidia's Conference
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Raising Growth Target to 25%+ YoY in 2024F
Memory Monitor: Micron Leapfrogging Into HBM3E for AI; Nanya Lagging Peers But Poised to Benefit 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Raising TSMC Growth Target; Memory Rally

Taiwan

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

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Nanya Technology (2408 TT)

Memory Monitor: Micron Signals Trough Is Past -- Long Nanya Rebound & Elan Micro a Less Obvious Play

Given Nanya Tech recently rallied ahead of Micron, then reverted back most of the gains, we see at least a10% short-term Long trade for Nanya...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC's Strength Vs. Samsung

Major take-aways from SK Hynix's latest industry visibility. The memory industry is likely to achieve a new all-time revenue level in 2025E.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Real Time Indicators Update

Tracking monthly revenues of Taiwan semiconductor companies helps us identify key trends mid-quarter. Initially we tracked the MoM revenue changes....

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Raising TSMC Growth Target; Memory Rally

The market was generally positive after Nvidia's GTC conference last week with key Taiwan server and other AI-linked names rising substantially....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Memory Monitor: Micron Signals Trough Is Past -- Long Nanya Rebound & Elan Micro a Less Obvious Play

Given Nanya Tech recently rallied ahead of Micron, then reverted back most of the gains, we see at least a10% short-term Long trade for Nanya...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Memory Monitor: What SK Hynix Sees For PC and Server Markets Ahead; TSMC's Strength Vs. Samsung

Major take-aways from SK Hynix's latest industry visibility. The memory industry is likely to achieve a new all-time revenue level in 2025E.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC Wins Major U.S. Support; Nanya Results; UMC Rush Orders

​TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Real Time Indicators Update

Tracking monthly revenues of Taiwan semiconductor companies helps us identify key trends mid-quarter. Initially we tracked the MoM revenue changes....

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Key Taiwan Server Names Soar; Raising TSMC Growth Target; Memory Rally

The market was generally positive after Nvidia's GTC conference last week with key Taiwan server and other AI-linked names rising substantially....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC receives $6.6bn from US CHIPS Act; also plans for 2nd Japanese fab; Nanya's results to shed light on DRAM post-earthquake; UMC sees rush...