New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm, Forsyth Barr

Forsyth Barr

New Zealand Professional Investment Services Firm

We are proud to be a New Zealand owned firm, with 21 offices throughout the country and over 300 employees. We assist personal, institutional and corporate clients providing a full range of investment services.

Forsyth Barr is a foundation New Zealand Exchange firm (NZX) and accredited market participant. We have been confirmed by the Financial Markets Authority as a Qualifying Financial Entity (QFE).

Research is the cornerstone of our advice. We have one of New Zealand's leading teams of analysts. Our global affiliations ensure comprehensive research coverage of all major investment markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Significant impact from Cyclone Gabrielle: Cyclone Gabrielle created significant disruption to NPH's key cargo trades due to damage to regional infrastructure (in particular road and rail) and export commodities.</li><li>First half trade volumes mixed; cruise resumption supportive: 1H23 volume data for NPH shows mixed performance against a very weak comparative</li><li>Valuation discount to POT has narrowed: NPH's one year forward EV/EBITDA discount to POT is currently -40% on our adjusted estimates.</li></ul>

Significant impact from Cyclone Gabrielle: Cyclone Gabrielle created significant disruption to NPH's key cargo trades due to damage to regional infrastructure (in particular road and rail) and export commodities.First half trade volumes mixed; cruise resumption supportive: 1H23 volume data for NPH shows mixed performance against a very weak comparativeValuation discount to POT has narrowed: NPH's one year forward EV/EBITDA discount to POT is currently -40% on our adjusted estimates.

<ul><li>NPH reported a subdued FY22 result in-line with expectations and issued first time FY23 EBITDA guidance, implying robust growth, but materially lower than we had anticipated</li><li>Earnings growth will be driven by the return of cruise and more normalised cargo volumes</li><li>NPH now trades at a one year forward PE of ~27x on our estimates and ~13x EV/EBITDA</li></ul>

NPH reported a subdued FY22 result in-line with expectations and issued first time FY23 EBITDA guidance, implying robust growth, but materially lower than we had anticipatedEarnings growth will be driven by the return of cruise and more normalised cargo volumesNPH now trades at a one year forward PE of ~27x on our estimates and ~13x EV/EBITDA

Napier Port: FY22 — Wall of Wood Logjam

<ul><li>Napier Port (NPH) reported a soft FY22 result with EBITDA down -8% reflecting an -8% drop in cargo volumes and rapidly increasing costs, partly mitigated by strong pricing gains.</li><li>EBITDA of NZ$40.1m was in the middle of management’s guidance range NZ$38m-NZ$42m.</li><li>The company will pay a fully imputed final dividend of 4.7c per share.</li></ul>

Napier Port (NPH) reported a soft FY22 result with EBITDA down -8% reflecting an -8% drop in cargo volumes and rapidly increasing costs, partly mitigated by strong pricing gains.EBITDA of NZ$40.1m was in the middle of management’s guidance range NZ$38m-NZ$42m.The company will pay a fully imputed final dividend of 4.7c per share.

Napier Port: FY22 Result Initial Thoughts

<div><ul><li>Subdued volume backdrop: Third quarter volumes were solid in an unfavourable environment and represented a sequential improvement after a difficult first half</li><li>Cost pressures: Cost inflation is significant for NPH currently</li><li>Cruise coming back: NPH has 89 cruise vessels scheduled to visit during the 2022–23 season</li></ul><p></p></div>

Subdued volume backdrop: Third quarter volumes were solid in an unfavourable environment and represented a sequential improvement after a difficult first halfCost pressures: Cost inflation is significant for NPH currentlyCruise coming back: NPH has 89 cruise vessels scheduled to visit during the 2022–23 season

Napier Port: Third Quarter Highlights Cost Pressures

<ul><li>Napier Port’s (NPH) third quarter showed a return to growth with underlying EBITDA +4%, after a challenging first half</li><li>Profit growth was driven by pricing initiatives more than offsetting cost inflation, while cargo volumes were subdued</li><li>Management has retained its FY22 EBITDA guidance of NZ$38m-NZ$42m (FB: NZ$43m)</li></ul>

Napier Port’s (NPH) third quarter showed a return to growth with underlying EBITDA +4%, after a challenging first halfProfit growth was driven by pricing initiatives more than offsetting cost inflation, while cargo volumes were subduedManagement has retained its FY22 EBITDA guidance of NZ$38m-NZ$42m (FB: NZ$43m)

Napier Port (NPH): Nine Month Trading Update

New Zealand

Napier Port Holdings Limited provides shipping services. The Company offers transportation for cargo and passenger. Napier Port Holdings serves customers in New Zealand.

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Napier Port (NPH NZ)

Napier Port: After the Storm

Napier Port's (NPH) near-term earnings will suffer materially from Cyclone Gabrielle, with its two biggest trades, forestry and pip-fruit, both...

Forsyth Barr

Napier Port: FY22 — Wall of Wood Logjam

NPH reported a subdued FY22 result in-line with expectations and issued first time FY23 EBITDA guidance, implying robust growth, but materially...

Forsyth Barr

Napier Port: FY22 Result Initial Thoughts

Napier Port (NPH) reported a soft FY22 result with EBITDA down -8% reflecting an -8% drop in cargo volumes and rapidly increasing costs, partly...

Forsyth Barr

Napier Port: Third Quarter Highlights Cost Pressures

Napier Port's (NPH) 3Q22 result showed sequential improvement following a tough first half

Forsyth Barr

Napier Port (NPH): Nine Month Trading Update

Napier Port’s (NPH) third quarter showed a return to growth with underlying EBITDA +4%, after a challenging first half

Forsyth Barr

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