Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Commonwealth Bank of Australia / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: In Australia, currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across five sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: In Australia, currently seven pair trade opportunities persist across five sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 June 2026)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently 17 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently 17 pair trade opportunities persist across six markets and nine sectors.


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 June 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jun 19th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD47.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 19th): Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

* ECB Potentially Killing Dividends: The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to make a final decision next week on whether to allow banks to pay dividends in 2020 from 2019 results. The ECB leaning towards not allowing banks to pay dividends;*Asia-Pacific Likely To Follow: The financial sectors of Japan, Australia, mainland China, and India had been experiencing feeling capital pressures prior to COVID-19, now the entire Asia-Pacific regions would appear to be in the same boat. As such, we look for the entire region to follow the ECB’s lead on dividends – possibly even some of the ECB’s more ridiculous capital forbearance moves; and    *Europeans Banks Not Likely At Risk: BNP Paribas (BNP.FP) and Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP.IM) likely have the best lobbying power to pay a dividend in the event that national regulators are given the discretion to allow dividends. On a regulatory capital basis, as noted in our “DNB ASA – Window to Be Constructive Is Now Open” report dated July 13, 2020, DNB ASA (DNB.NO) remains best positioned to resume dividend payment and share buybacks, as CET1 is already back in compliance with pre-COV-19 capital target excluding all regulatory forbearance.

* ECB Potentially Killing Dividends: The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to make a final decision next week on whether to allow banks to pay dividends in 2020 from 2019 results. The ECB leaning towards not allowing banks to pay dividends;*Asia-Pacific Likely To Follow: The financial sectors of Japan, Australia, mainland China, and India had been experiencing feeling capital pressures prior to COVID-19, now the entire Asia-Pacific regions would appear to be in the same boat. As such, we look for the entire region to follow the ECB’s lead on dividends – possibly even some of the ECB’s more ridiculous capital forbearance moves; and    *Europeans Banks Not Likely At Risk: BNP Paribas (BNP.FP) and Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP.IM) likely have the best lobbying power to pay a dividend in the event that national regulators are given the discretion to allow dividends. On a regulatory capital basis, as noted in our “DNB ASA – Window to Be Constructive Is Now Open” report dated July 13, 2020, DNB ASA (DNB.NO) remains best positioned to resume dividend payment and share buybacks, as CET1 is already back in compliance with pre-COV-19 capital target excluding all regulatory forbearance.

ECB Dividend Action Likely Leads to Similar Moves In Asia

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 15th June, published on the 19th June.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into "Diversified Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$79mn out of "Internet Services". Net shorts increased A$2.3bn week-on-week.
</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland (SGP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers (WES AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8570:1" rel="noopener">Nextdc (NXT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-petroleum-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:177:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telix-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26052:1" rel="noopener">Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 15th June, published on the 19th June.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$1.3bn into "Diversified Metals"; the largest industry net decrease was A$79mn out of "Internet Services". Net shorts increased A$2.3bn week-on-week.

Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Stockland (SGP AU), Wesfarmers (WES AU),Nextdc (NXT AU), Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU), Woodside Petroleum (WPL AU), and Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX AU).


Aussie Shorts [15 June 2026]: Stockland, Wesfarmers, Nextdc, Sigma Healthcare, Woodside, Telix Pharm

Australia

National Australia Bank Limited is an international banking group which operates in Australia, New Zealand, Europe, Asia and the United States.  The Group offers banking services, credit and access card facilities, leasing, housing and general finance, international and investment banking, wealth and funds management, life insurance and custodian, trustee and nominee services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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National Australia Bank (NAB AU)

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 June 2026)

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 June 2026)

Discover 17 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 19th): Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECB Dividend Action Likely Leads to Similar Moves In Asia

* ECB Potentially Killing Dividends: The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to make a final decision next week on whether to allow banks to pay...

Thomas J. Monaco

Aussie Shorts [15 June 2026]: Stockland, Wesfarmers, Nextdc, Sigma Healthcare, Woodside, Telix Pharm

Net shorts increased A$2.3bn week-on-week. Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Stockland, Wesfarmers, Nextdc, Sigma...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Australia: Relative Value Opportunities and Pair Trades (29 June 2026)

​Discover seven pair trade opportunities across five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (29 June 2026)

​Discover 17 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jun 19th): Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources, Cochlear

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Aristocrat Leisure, Brambles, CSL, Regis Resources,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ECB Dividend Action Likely Leads to Similar Moves In Asia

* ECB Potentially Killing Dividends: The European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to make a final decision next week on whether to allow banks to pay...

Thomas J. Monaco

Aussie Shorts [15 June 2026]: Stockland, Wesfarmers, Nextdc, Sigma Healthcare, Woodside, Telix Pharm

Net shorts increased A$2.3bn week-on-week. Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Stockland, Wesfarmers, Nextdc, Sigma...

David Blennerhassett

Discover seven pair trade opportunities across five sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Discover 17 pair trade opportunities across six markets and nine sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.