Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Commodities

<ul><li>Time for your weekly fix of what’s going on at the messy intersection of commodities and geopolitics.</li><li>Energy prices are drifting lower — just as Trump said they would — but I’m not so sure the driver is the one Trump and his team anticipated.</li><li>We’re staring down the barrel of a pretty material manufacturing slump in Q2.</li></ul>

Time for your weekly fix of what’s going on at the messy intersection of commodities and geopolitics.Energy prices are drifting lower — just as Trump said they would — but I’m not so sure the driver is the one Trump and his team anticipated.We’re staring down the barrel of a pretty material manufacturing slump in Q2.

The Drill: A rush for gold amidst a geopolitical circus unfolding

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

<ul><li>President Trump triggered turmoil in the stock and bond markets, sent shockwaves through the global economy, and claimed the U.S. would eliminate the national debt using trillions supposedly generated from his tariffs.</li><li>Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s suddenly starting to back down.</li><li>Trump dropped his country-specific tariffs down to a universal 10% rate for all trade partners except China on Wednesday - for a limited time period of 90 days - presumably to have more time to make deals with each country.</li></ul>

President Trump triggered turmoil in the stock and bond markets, sent shockwaves through the global economy, and claimed the U.S. would eliminate the national debt using trillions supposedly generated from his tariffs.Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s suddenly starting to back down.Trump dropped his country-specific tariffs down to a universal 10% rate for all trade partners except China on Wednesday - for a limited time period of 90 days - presumably to have more time to make deals with each country.

How Commodities React To Trumps New Global Trade Plans

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 04/Apr, U.S. crude inventories rose by 2.6m barrels (vs. expectations of 2.2m rise), and gasoline stockpiles fell less than expected.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose by 57 Bcf for the week ending 04/Apr, missing analyst expectations of a 60 Bcf build. Inventories are 2.1% below the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Trump cancelled BP and Shell’s licenses for gas projects in Venezuela. UBS lowered its price target for Chevron, Exxon, Occidental, Halliburton, and Schlumberger.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 04/Apr, U.S. crude inventories rose by 2.6m barrels (vs. expectations of 2.2m rise), and gasoline stockpiles fell less than expected.
US natural gas inventories rose by 57 Bcf for the week ending 04/Apr, missing analyst expectations of a 60 Bcf build. Inventories are 2.1% below the 5-year seasonal average.
Trump cancelled BP and Shell’s licenses for gas projects in Venezuela. UBS lowered its price target for Chevron, Exxon, Occidental, Halliburton, and Schlumberger.


[ETP 2025/15] Tariff Pause Halts Slide in WTI and Henry Hub but U.S.-China Tensions Weigh on Prices

<ul><li>*YTD our absolute return strategy is up 7,5% Commodities Crash after Trump’s Tariff Nightmare In his mission to re-shore critical industries, raise revenue for the U.S. and narrow the deficit, Trump rolled out aggressive tariffs on virtually all countries (except Russia, Cuba and North Korea).</li><li>The new 10% tariff baseline is roughly triple the average US tariff rate before Trump reclaimed power in January and the calculation behind each tariff rates seems insane.</li><li>“We will charge them approximately half of what they are and have been charging us,” Trump said of the reciprocal tariffs.</li></ul>

*YTD our absolute return strategy is up 7,5% Commodities Crash after Trump’s Tariff Nightmare In his mission to re-shore critical industries, raise revenue for the U.S. and narrow the deficit, Trump rolled out aggressive tariffs on virtually all countries (except Russia, Cuba and North Korea).The new 10% tariff baseline is roughly triple the average US tariff rate before Trump reclaimed power in January and the calculation behind each tariff rates seems insane.“We will charge them approximately half of what they are and have been charging us,” Trump said of the reciprocal tariffs.

Commodities Crash after Trump’s Tariff Nightmare

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research, Steno Research

Mikkel Rosenvold

Geopolitical Analyst, Steno Research

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>President Trump very clearly lost his patience over the weekend and sharpened his rhetoric against Putin sharply (Iran too – more on that later).</li><li>Trump is now threatening third-party tariffs on countries buying Russian oil – namely China and India, of course.</li><li>To me, this is a sign that Putin is dragging out the negotiations, leveraging the fact that he is in no hurry to reach a peace agreement.</li></ul>

President Trump very clearly lost his patience over the weekend and sharpened his rhetoric against Putin sharply (Iran too – more on that later).Trump is now threatening third-party tariffs on countries buying Russian oil – namely China and India, of course.To me, this is a sign that Putin is dragging out the negotiations, leveraging the fact that he is in no hurry to reach a peace agreement.

The Drill: The Commodity Doom-Loop into Liberation Day

United States

Natural gas is a naturally occurring hydrocarbon gas mixture consisting primarily of methane, but commonly including varying amounts of other higher alkanes, and sometimes a small percentage of carbon dioxide, nitrogen, hydrogen sulfide, or helium. It is formed when layers of decomposing plant and animal matter are exposed to intense heat and pressure supplied by existing under the surface of the Earth over millions of years. The energy that the plants originally obtained from the sun is stored in the form of chemical bonds in the gas.

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Natural Gas (NATURAL GAS COMDTY)

The Drill: A rush for gold amidst a geopolitical circus unfolding

Time for your weekly fix of what’s going on at the messy intersection of commodities and geopolitics. Energy prices are drifting lower — just as...

Steno Research

How Commodities React To Trumps New Global Trade Plans

Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s...

The Commodity Report

[ETP 2025/15] Tariff Pause Halts Slide in WTI and Henry Hub but U.S.-China Tensions Weigh on Prices

US oil inventories rise, gasoline stockpiles fall less than expected. Natural gas inventories miss analyst expectations. Trump cancels BP and...

Mint Finance

Commodities Crash after Trump’s Tariff Nightmare

The new 10% tariff baseline is roughly triple the average US tariff rate before Trump reclaimed power in January and the calculation behind each...

The Commodity Report

The Drill: The Commodity Doom-Loop into Liberation Day

President Trump very clearly lost his patience over the weekend and sharpened his rhetoric against Putin sharply (Iran too – more on that...

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

The Drill: A rush for gold amidst a geopolitical circus unfolding

Time for your weekly fix of what’s going on at the messy intersection of commodities and geopolitics. Energy prices are drifting lower — just as...

Steno Research

How Commodities React To Trumps New Global Trade Plans

Just earlier this week, he declared he wouldn’t make a zero-tariff deal with the EU — and now, without any real change in circumstances, he’s...

The Commodity Report

[ETP 2025/15] Tariff Pause Halts Slide in WTI and Henry Hub but U.S.-China Tensions Weigh on Prices

​US oil inventories rise, gasoline stockpiles fall less than expected. Natural gas inventories miss analyst expectations. Trump cancels BP and...

Mint Finance

Commodities Crash after Trump’s Tariff Nightmare

The new 10% tariff baseline is roughly triple the average US tariff rate before Trump reclaimed power in January and the calculation behind each...

The Commodity Report

The Drill: The Commodity Doom-Loop into Liberation Day

President Trump very clearly lost his patience over the weekend and sharpened his rhetoric against Putin sharply (Iran too – more on that...

Steno Research

US oil inventories rise, gasoline stockpiles fall less than expected. Natural gas inventories miss analyst expectations. Trump cancels BP and...