Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group</a>  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha</a> (ChaPanda) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings</a> (Good me) are said to be looking to raise US$300m each.</li>
<li>All three are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, including the Hong Kong listed peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nayuki-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32149:1" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha (ChaPanda) and Guming Holdings (Good me) are said to be looking to raise US$300m each.
All three are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, including the Hong Kong listed peer, Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK).


MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>A mixed CNY, robust topline was likely aided by seasonality while the fall in spending power and price war continued.</li><li>We do agree both passenger flows and overall sales were strong during the CNY holiday, given that the spending power was somewhat diluted by the resumption of outbound tourism.</li><li>But on the other hand, the 2024 CNY holiday was a longer-than-usual one and contained one more Saturday and also the Valentine’s Day, hence the recovery rate after adjustment may just be stable (instead of improvements vs 4Q23).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

A mixed CNY, robust topline was likely aided by seasonality while the fall in spending power and price war continued.We do agree both passenger flows and overall sales were strong during the CNY holiday, given that the spending power was somewhat diluted by the resumption of outbound tourism.But on the other hand, the 2024 CNY holiday was a longer-than-usual one and contained one more Saturday and also the Valentine’s Day, hence the recovery rate after adjustment may just be stable (instead of improvements vs 4Q23).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Sector – CNY Was Mixed and We Stay Conservative

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Great Wall Motor’s revenue increased by 26%, but its profit increased by less than 5% in 2023.</li>
<li>Huawei’s shipments increased 36% YoY in 4Q23 and was the only company to witness an increase among the top five sellers.</li>
<li>Jack Ma, the founder, and Mr. Joe Tsai, the chairman, purchased Alibaba’s shares.</li>
</ul>


Great Wall Motor’s revenue increased by 26%, but its profit increased by less than 5% in 2023.
Huawei’s shipments increased 36% YoY in 4Q23 and was the only company to witness an increase among the top five sellers.
Jack Ma, the founder, and Mr. Joe Tsai, the chairman, purchased Alibaba’s shares.


China Consumption Weekly (29 Jan 2024): Great Wall Motor, Huawei, Alibaba, Mixue, Nayuki

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Guming generates revenue mainly from the sales of goods/equipment to its franchisees (or ToB business). So, Guming’s future growth depends significantly on its ability to operate and expand store network.</li>
<li>China’s freshly-made beverage market is highly competitive. Guming is unlikely to catch up with MIXUE, but Guming will be overtaken by the rest players if it fails to compete effectively.</li>
<li>Due to Guming’s business model, investors're hard to see the real picture of Guming solely based on its revenue/profits. Guming’s valuation should be higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nayuki-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32149:1" rel="noopener">Nayuki </a>but lower than MIXUE.</li>
</ul>


Guming generates revenue mainly from the sales of goods/equipment to its franchisees (or ToB business). So, Guming’s future growth depends significantly on its ability to operate and expand store network.
China’s freshly-made beverage market is highly competitive. Guming is unlikely to catch up with MIXUE, but Guming will be overtaken by the rest players if it fails to compete effectively.
Due to Guming’s business model, investors're hard to see the real picture of Guming solely based on its revenue/profits. Guming’s valuation should be higher than Nayuki but lower than MIXUE.


Pre-IPO Guming Holdings - The Current Market Position Is Not Secure

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight the weekly Hong Kong connect flows for CNOOC, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of January 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight the weekly Hong Kong connect flows for CNOOC, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 12th): CNOOC, Tencent

Hong Kong

Nayuki Holdings Limited operates as a holding compnay. The Company, through its subsidiaries, produces and retails tea and bakery products. Nayuki serves customers in China.

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Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)

MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Mixue is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while ChaPanda and Good me)are said to be looking to raise US$300m each. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

China Consumer Sector – CNY Was Mixed and We Stay Conservative

We do agree both passenger flows and overall sales were strong during the CNY holiday, given that the spending power was somewhat diluted by the...

CMB International

China Consumption Weekly (29 Jan 2024): Great Wall Motor, Huawei, Alibaba, Mixue, Nayuki

Great Wall Motor’s revenue increased by 26%, but its profit increased by less than 5% in 2023. Huawei shipment increased by 36% YoY in 4Q23. The...

Ming Lu

Pre-IPO Guming Holdings - The Current Market Position Is Not Secure

In the context of rapid growth in freshly-made tea beverage market, Guming has performed well. However, due to fierce competition and disadvantages...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jan 12th): CNOOC, Tencent

Highlight: We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight Hong Kong connect flows for CNOOC, Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)