Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks (1973 JP)</a>'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-post-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:150:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Post (SPOST SP)</a>'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. </li>
<li>The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kroger-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20824:1" rel="noopener">Kroger Co (KR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albertsons-cos-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33026:1" rel="noopener">Albertsons Cos (ACI US)</a> spells trouble for ACT and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Nec Networks (1973 JP)'s own FA didn't include any measure of transaction synergies to be created about which NEC and NESIC were so sure. This is not being done right.

Singapore Post (SPOST SP)'s muted price action after announcing the ~S$900mn FMH sale is illustrative. But expect more value to be unlocked from divesting non-core ops going forward. 
The FTC' blocking the giant grocery merger of Kroger Co (KR US) and Albertsons Cos (ACI US) spells trouble for ACT and Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

<ul>
<li>I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Five new deals this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fosun-tourism-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27439:1" rel="noopener">Fosun Tourism (1992 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vcredit-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27143:1" rel="noopener">VCredit Holdings (2003 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a> also in the crosshairs. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dexus" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:403:1" rel="noopener">Dexus Property (DXS AU)</a> 
</li>
</ul>


I tally 51 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Five new deals this week: Insignia Financial (IFL AU), Fosun Tourism (1992 HK), and Lifestyle China (2136 HK). VCredit Holdings (2003 HK) and Vesync (2148 HK) also in the crosshairs. 
Key updates/news took place on: Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), and Dexus Property (DXS AU) 



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Insignia, Fosun Tourism, GJS/Haitong, Fuji Soft, Dexus Property

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>Yesterday, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> extended its Tender Offer to buy controlled subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a> for another 10 days. It did not have enough shares.</li>
<li>As discussed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nec-network-1973-jp-tender-offer-the-landscape-has-fully-changed" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> 4wks ago, then <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nec-networks-1973-jp-final-showdown-i-extendy-extendy-but-not-yet-bumpity-bumpity" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> yesterday, NEC might not get enough shares unless it offers a higher price. There's a reason. It is not a high enough price. </li>
<li>METI Fair M&amp;A Guidelines and Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers define fair. Guarantees of a floor price and a fair allocation of synergies. One is questionable. The other is not there.</li>
</ul>


Yesterday, NEC Corp (6701 JP) extended its Tender Offer to buy controlled subsidiary Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP) for another 10 days. It did not have enough shares.
As discussed here 4wks ago, then here yesterday, NEC might not get enough shares unless it offers a higher price. There's a reason. It is not a high enough price. 
METI Fair M&amp;A Guidelines and Guidelines for Corporate Takeovers define fair. Guarantees of a floor price and a fair allocation of synergies. One is questionable. The other is not there.


NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II - Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered

<ul>
<li>Two days before the close of its TOB on subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> announced it had no plans to raise the price. </li>
<li>The next day, the second largest shareholder reported a stake increase from 11.68% to 13.12%. That changes the dynamic further, and a change in terms was likely. </li>
<li>Today post-close, NEC extended the Tender Offer by 10 days. It is worthwhile understanding the likely current disposition of shares. </li>
</ul>


Two days before the close of its TOB on subsidiary Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP), NEC Corp (6701 JP) announced it had no plans to raise the price. 
The next day, the second largest shareholder reported a stake increase from 11.68% to 13.12%. That changes the dynamic further, and a change in terms was likely. 
Today post-close, NEC extended the Tender Offer by 10 days. It is worthwhile understanding the likely current disposition of shares. 


NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown I - Extendy-Extendy, But Not Yet Bumpity Bumpity

<ul>
<li>On 29-October, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> announced a low-ball TOB to buy out subsidiary <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>. It deserved activism, but finding an activist was tough.</li>
<li>On 7 November, it got an activist, and I wrote on 8-November the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nec-network-system-integration-1973-gets-more-interesting-the-landscape-has-changed" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Landscape Had Changed</a> that they might have bought 6mm shares more in 5 days. They bought 8.4mm.</li>
<li>The Landscape Has FULLY Changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable. But Target Advisor DCF was ¥3,073-4,688 without synergies.</li>
</ul>


On 29-October, NEC Corp (6701 JP) announced a low-ball TOB to buy out subsidiary Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP). It deserved activism, but finding an activist was tough.
On 7 November, it got an activist, and I wrote on 8-November the Landscape Had Changed that they might have bought 6mm shares more in 5 days. They bought 8.4mm.
The Landscape Has FULLY Changed. The details now matter quite a bit. NEC has two basic choices. Neither are that palatable. But Target Advisor DCF was ¥3,073-4,688 without synergies.


NEC Network (1973 JP) Tender Offer - The Landscape Has Fully Changed

Japan

NEC Corporation manufactures and markets computers, telecommunication equipment, electronic devices, semiconductors, and software.  The Company's products include printers, modems, cellular phones, plasma display panels (PDP), network systems, memory, integrated circuits (IC), thin film transistor-liquid crystal display (TFT-LCD), and printed circuit boards (PCB). NEC operates worldwide.

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NEC Corp (6701 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: NEC Network, SingPost, Seven & I, CPMC, Exedy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown II - Synergies Not Included, So Fair Value Not Offered

NEC extended its TOB for ICT subsidiary NESIC (1973). It wasn't a fair price before. They don't want to raise. They may not get done. This piece...

Travis Lundy

NEC Networks (1973 JP) Final Showdown I - Extendy-Extendy, But Not Yet Bumpity Bumpity

After warning they wouldn't pay more and begging holders to tender, NEC today extended their TOB for NEC Networks. There are 3-4 possible outcomes....

Travis Lundy

NEC Network (1973 JP) Tender Offer - The Landscape Has Fully Changed

2 days before the Tender Offer closes, NEC put out a PR saying NEC thought the TOB was good for them and the future of NESIC. I don't care about...

Travis Lundy

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