Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The recent market tremors sparked by DeepSeek, a Chinese AI firm, have rattled investors, prompting a wave of selling in AI stocks</li>
<li>The long-term AI narrative remains compelling and the current dip could offer compelling opportunities - we highlight the sell-off in Japanese names</li>
<li>The Bank of Japan’s long-standing commitment to ultra-loose monetary policy is looking increasingly untenable</li>
</ul>


The recent market tremors sparked by DeepSeek, a Chinese AI firm, have rattled investors, prompting a wave of selling in AI stocks
The long-term AI narrative remains compelling and the current dip could offer compelling opportunities - we highlight the sell-off in Japanese names
The Bank of Japan’s long-standing commitment to ultra-loose monetary policy is looking increasingly untenable


Japan Strategy Weekly | A Buying Opportunity in the AI Rubble?

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>Limited breadth of winners, even in the SOX, with numerous DeepSeek and capex questions outstanding.</li>
<li>Regardless expect JP SPE to be higher to start; watch Advantest into numbers today after its -19% 2-day drop.</li>
<li>IT/SaaS companies are worth a look here with AI R&amp;D costs now potentially much lower including Fujitsu and NEC.</li>
</ul>


Limited breadth of winners, even in the SOX, with numerous DeepSeek and capex questions outstanding.
Regardless expect JP SPE to be higher to start; watch Advantest into numbers today after its -19% 2-day drop.
IT/SaaS companies are worth a look here with AI R&amp;D costs now potentially much lower including Fujitsu and NEC.


Japan Morning Connection: US Tech and Semi Rebound Feel's like a Dead Cat Bounce

Equity Long-Short Analyst

Pyari Menon

<ul>
<li>Quantum computing's outlook is like Schrödinger’s cat: a varying mix of potential and challenges, with each breakthrough or setback collapsing possibilities and probabilities into a new, uncertain reality.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet (GOOG US)</a>'s  "quantum supremacy" milestone shows quantum computing's transformative potential, but unresolved challenges despite decades of effort risks confining it to niche applications, limiting its broader impact.  </li>
<li>Among pure-plays <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ionq-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36838:1" rel="noopener">IonQ (IONQ US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/d-wave-quantum-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37745:1" rel="noopener">D-Wave Quantum (QBTS US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rigetti-computing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37755:1" rel="noopener">Rigetti Computing (RGTI US)</a> stand out. IonQ's focus on high-fidelity, cloud and practical applications positions it particularly well.</li>
</ul>


Quantum computing's outlook is like Schrödinger’s cat: a varying mix of potential and challenges, with each breakthrough or setback collapsing possibilities and probabilities into a new, uncertain reality.

Alphabet (GOOG US)'s  "quantum supremacy" milestone shows quantum computing's transformative potential, but unresolved challenges despite decades of effort risks confining it to niche applications, limiting its broader impact.  
Among pure-plays IonQ (IONQ US) , D-Wave Quantum (QBTS US) , Rigetti Computing (RGTI US) stand out. IonQ's focus on high-fidelity, cloud and practical applications positions it particularly well.


Quantum Computing – The Future That’s Loading… and Not Loading

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>There is a great opportunity for someone joining an advanced semiconductor manufacturing camp because there could be fewer players in the field.  </li>
<li>For a long time, TSMC production staff have won better bonuses in the company, meaning they might be able to overcome the difficulties in production.  </li>
<li>Rapidus might need another 5 years or more to become profitable if everything runs smoothly for 2nm technology. </li>
</ul>


There is a great opportunity for someone joining an advanced semiconductor manufacturing camp because there could be fewer players in the field.  
For a long time, TSMC production staff have won better bonuses in the company, meaning they might be able to overcome the difficulties in production.  
Rapidus might need another 5 years or more to become profitable if everything runs smoothly for 2nm technology. 


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/get-nice-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29667:1" rel="noopener">Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arcadium-lithium-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40438:1" rel="noopener">Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/esr-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27983:1" rel="noopener">ESR Group (1821 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/goldlion-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12359:1" rel="noopener">Goldlion Holdings (533 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lifestyle-china-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26090:1" rel="noopener">Lifestyle China (2136 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/renewable-japan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35211:1" rel="noopener">Renewable Japan (9522 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc (3978 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-soft-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17504:1" rel="noopener">Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK),  Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), ESR Group (1821 HK), Goldlion Holdings (533 HK). 
Lowest spreads: Lifestyle China (2136 HK), Renewable Japan (9522 JP), Macromill, Inc (3978 JP), Fuji Soft Inc (9749 JP), Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP). 



Merger Arb Mondays (06 Jan) - Vesync, Canvest, Get Nice, Fosun Tourism, GAPack, HKBN, Seven & I

Japan

NEC Corporation manufactures and markets computers, telecommunication equipment, electronic devices, semiconductors, and software.  The Company's products include printers, modems, cellular phones, plasma display panels (PDP), network systems, memory, integrated circuits (IC), thin film transistor-liquid crystal display (TFT-LCD), and printed circuit boards (PCB). NEC operates worldwide.

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NEC Corp (6701 JP)

Japan Strategy Weekly | A Buying Opportunity in the AI Rubble?

Market tremors caused by DeepSeek have led to a sell-off in AI stocks, but long-term opportunities may arise, especially in Japanese names; Bank...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech and Semi Rebound Feel's like a Dead Cat Bounce

Opportunities to watch for higher JP SPE, keep an eye on Advantest after recent drop. IT/SaaS companies like Fujitsu and NEC worth looking at with...

Andrew Jackson

Quantum Computing – The Future That’s Loading… and Not Loading

Quantum computing is like Schrödinger’s cat: a varying mix of potential and challenges. Each breakthrough or setback takes possibilities and...

Pyari Menon

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say.

Joining an advanced semi manufacturing camp could be a lucrative opportunity with fewer competitors, as Rapidus works on licensing IBM's 2nm GAA...

Patrick Liao

Merger Arb Mondays (06 Jan) - Vesync, Canvest, Get Nice, Fosun Tourism, GAPack, HKBN, Seven & I

This week, the highest gross spreads are Seven & I (15.0%), Get Nice Financial (11.6%), Arcadium Lithium (11.0%), ESR (8.9%), Goldlion (7.3%),...

Arun George

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52-week Range

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Japan Strategy Weekly | A Buying Opportunity in the AI Rubble?

​Market tremors caused by DeepSeek have led to a sell-off in AI stocks, but long-term opportunities may arise, especially in Japanese names; Bank...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Morning Connection: US Tech and Semi Rebound Feel's like a Dead Cat Bounce

Opportunities to watch for higher JP SPE, keep an eye on Advantest after recent drop. IT/SaaS companies like Fujitsu and NEC worth looking at with...

Andrew Jackson

Quantum Computing – The Future That’s Loading… and Not Loading

Quantum computing is like Schrödinger’s cat: a varying mix of potential and challenges. Each breakthrough or setback takes possibilities and...

Pyari Menon

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Will Rapidus Threaten TSMC's 2nm Market? We Think It's Too Early to Say.

​Joining an advanced semi manufacturing camp could be a lucrative opportunity with fewer competitors, as Rapidus works on licensing IBM's 2nm GAA...

Patrick Liao

Merger Arb Mondays (06 Jan) - Vesync, Canvest, Get Nice, Fosun Tourism, GAPack, HKBN, Seven & I

This week, the highest gross spreads are Seven & I (15.0%), Get Nice Financial (11.6%), Arcadium Lithium (11.0%), ESR (8.9%), Goldlion (7.3%),...

Arun George

Market tremors caused by DeepSeek have led to a sell-off in AI stocks, but long-term opportunities may arise, especially in Japanese names; Bank...

Joining an advanced semi manufacturing camp could be a lucrative opportunity with fewer competitors, as Rapidus works on licensing IBM's 2nm GAA...