IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Nec Networks & System Integr / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-networks-system-integr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16396:1" rel="noopener">Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP)</a> has recommended a tender offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17084:1" rel="noopener">NEC Corp (6701 JP)</a> at JPY3,250, 21.5% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY2,675 (28 October).</li>
<li>The tender offer runs from 30 October to 11 December (30 business days), with payment commencing from 18 December. The offer represents an all-time high. </li>
<li>While below the midpoint IFA DCF range, the offer is attractive vs peer multiples and historical trading ranges. This is a done deal. </li>
</ul>



Nec Networks &amp; System Integr (1973 JP) has recommended a tender offer from NEC Corp (6701 JP) at JPY3,250, 21.5% premium to the undisturbed price of JPY2,675 (28 October).
The tender offer runs from 30 October to 11 December (30 business days), with payment commencing from 18 December. The offer represents an all-time high. 
While below the midpoint IFA DCF range, the offer is attractive vs peer multiples and historical trading ranges. This is a done deal. 


NESIC (1973 JP): NEC (6701 JP)’s JPY3,250 Tender Offer

Research Coverage of Japanese Listed Companies, Shared Research Inc

Shared Research

Research Coverage of Japanese Listed Companies

Shared Research Inc

Pioneering research coverage of Japanese listed companies. Now customizable and interactive for global institutional investors. Corporate access reimagined.

Equity Bottom-Up

Nec Networks & System Integr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Q1 progress rates versus full-year forecast: 25.7% for orders, 21.7% for revenue, 8.2% for operating profit, 8.4% for net income.</li><li>Orders: JPY97.5bn (+1.0% YoY); Revenue: JPY79.1bn (+10.4% YoY); Operating profit: JPY2.4bn (+113.2% YoY); Net income: JPY1.5bn (+734.1% YoY).</li><li>Segment performance: DX Solutions orders +18.6% YoY, Network Solutions orders -3.3% YoY, Environmental & Social Solutions orders -11.9% YoY.</li></ul>

Q1 progress rates versus full-year forecast: 25.7% for orders, 21.7% for revenue, 8.2% for operating profit, 8.4% for net income.Orders: JPY97.5bn (+1.0% YoY); Revenue: JPY79.1bn (+10.4% YoY); Operating profit: JPY2.4bn (+113.2% YoY); Net income: JPY1.5bn (+734.1% YoY).Segment performance: DX Solutions orders +18.6% YoY, Network Solutions orders -3.3% YoY, Environmental & Social Solutions orders -11.9% YoY.

Nec Networks & System Integr (1973 JP): Q1 FY03/25 flash update

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On 28 April 2022, with full-year earnings, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitsu-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16968:1" rel="noopener">Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP)</a> announced a buyback programme to buy back up to 12mm shares (6.11% of shares out) for up to ¥150bn</li>
<li>That was when the shares were ¥18,540. The shares popped 10% in 2 days. Then fell 25% into end-September. Yesterday, they announced they'd bought back 1.9mm shares in November.</li>
<li>Those were the first shares bought back under the Programme. And that leaves 4 months and a lot of stock to buy. </li>
</ul>


On 28 April 2022, with full-year earnings, Fujitsu Ltd (6702 JP) announced a buyback programme to buy back up to 12mm shares (6.11% of shares out) for up to ¥150bn
That was when the shares were ¥18,540. The shares popped 10% in 2 days. Then fell 25% into end-September. Yesterday, they announced they'd bought back 1.9mm shares in November.
Those were the first shares bought back under the Programme. And that leaves 4 months and a lot of stock to buy. 


Fujitsu (6702) Buyback Just Getting Started

Equity Capital Markets

Nomura Research Institute / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>On 25 November <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-research-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18129:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP)</a> announced that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jafco-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8848:1" rel="noopener">Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nomura-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:742:1" rel="noopener">Nomura Holdings (8604 JP)</a> would conduct a Secondary Offering of NRI Shares. </li>
<li>The sale is 36.97mm shares plus a greenshoe. It's a big deal ($1bn) including greenshoe after JPY has just strengthened, but underperformance both before and after announcement sets up well. </li>
<li>Expect weakness today, but the stock is now at a two-year low, and the PER multiple premium is now at the lowest 3mo average premium in 5yrs. Expect retail buying.</li>
</ul>


On 25 November Nomura Research Institute Ltd (4307 JP) announced that Jafco Co Ltd (8595 JP) and Nomura Holdings (8604 JP) would conduct a Secondary Offering of NRI Shares. 
The sale is 36.97mm shares plus a greenshoe. It's a big deal ($1bn) including greenshoe after JPY has just strengthened, but underperformance both before and after announcement sets up well. 
Expect weakness today, but the stock is now at a two-year low, and the PER multiple premium is now at the lowest 3mo average premium in 5yrs. Expect retail buying.


NRI (4307) Likely Prices Today - Expect Weakness Then Strength

Japan

NEC Networks & System Integration Corporation designs, constructs, and maintains communication systems.  The Company's services include system integration services for digital switching, local area network (LAN), and mobile communication systems.  NEC Networks & System Integration also constructs information infrastructure and intelligent building facilities.

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Nec Networks & System Integr (1973 JP)

NESIC (1973 JP): NEC (6701 JP)’s JPY3,250 Tender Offer

While below the midpoint IFA DCF range, the offer is attractive vs peer multiples and historical trading ranges. This is a done deal.

Arun George