Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>UST yields were little changed at the close yesterday, as earlier yield declines were pared after Amazon announced a USD 15 bn sixpart notes offering.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST remained at 3.61%, while the yield on the 10Y UST declined 1 bp to 4.14%.</li>
<li>Equities slumped, ahead of Nvidia Corp’s widely anticipated earnings release tomorrow and amid market concerns over high AI valuations. </li>
</ul>


UST yields were little changed at the close yesterday, as earlier yield declines were pared after Amazon announced a USD 15 bn sixpart notes offering.
The yield on the 2Y UST remained at 3.61%, while the yield on the 10Y UST declined 1 bp to 4.14%.
Equities slumped, ahead of Nvidia Corp’s widely anticipated earnings release tomorrow and amid market concerns over high AI valuations. 


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Japfa Comfeed, New World Development, Softbank Group</li>
<li>UST yields declined yesterday, with the curve bull-flattening for the second day. The yield on the 2Y UST was stable at 3.46%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.96%.</li>
<li>Equities halted a two-day rally, while gold and silver retreated from near record-high levels. The S&amp;P 500 was unchanged at 6,735, while the Nasdaq declined 0.2% to 22,954.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Japfa Comfeed, New World Development, Softbank Group
UST yields declined yesterday, with the curve bull-flattening for the second day. The yield on the 2Y UST was stable at 3.46%, while the yield on the 10Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.96%.
Equities halted a two-day rally, while gold and silver retreated from near record-high levels. The S&amp;P 500 was unchanged at 6,735, while the Nasdaq declined 0.2% to 22,954.


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chow-tai-fook-jewellery-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:549:1" rel="noopener">Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK)</a> is one of the best-performing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> constituents YTD, but it is time to take some money off the table.</li>
<li>At 5%, its 12-month forward dividend yield is about the lowest in the last five years, implying limited share price upside. Valuations have run ahead of earnings momentum.</li>
<li>The recent recovery in Hong Kong jewellery retail sales is partly due to the low base effect. Additionally, a higher gold price will weigh on demand for gold products. </li>
</ul>



Chow Tai Fook Jewellery (1929 HK) is one of the best-performing Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) constituents YTD, but it is time to take some money off the table.
At 5%, its 12-month forward dividend yield is about the lowest in the last five years, implying limited share price upside. Valuations have run ahead of earnings momentum.
The recent recovery in Hong Kong jewellery retail sales is partly due to the low base effect. Additionally, a higher gold price will weigh on demand for gold products. 


Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): A Lot Has Been Priced In

Listed Real Estate Asia, KT Capital Group

Jacob Cheng

Listed Real Estate Asia

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>New World announced FY25 results, market reaction was initially negative, due to losses to shareholders.  Stock was down 10% post open but rebounded quickly to recover all the losses</li>
<li>However, we think the market has neglected the other positives: strong contract sales, resilient IP earnings, improved total debt, stabilized gearing and lower borrow cost</li>
<li>Market is forward-looking, we think NWD, as a leveraged play, will benefit the most in rate cut cycle.  At current valuation (0.12x PB) – we continue to stay bullish</li>
</ul>


New World announced FY25 results, market reaction was initially negative, due to losses to shareholders.  Stock was down 10% post open but rebounded quickly to recover all the losses
However, we think the market has neglected the other positives: strong contract sales, resilient IP earnings, improved total debt, stabilized gearing and lower borrow cost
Market is forward-looking, we think NWD, as a leveraged play, will benefit the most in rate cut cycle.  At current valuation (0.12x PB) – we continue to stay bullish


A Contrarian View on New World: Market Is Forward-Looking, Bet on Leveraged Play in Rate Cut Cycle

<ul>
<li>New World Development's (NWD) FY 2024-25 results were weak, with the company reporting another large net loss of HKD 16.3 bn (after the HKD 19.7 bn loss in FY 2023-24), mainly driven by impairment losses.</li>
<li>Underlying business performance was also soft, as core operating profit (excluding one-off items) fell 13% y-o-y.</li>
<li>That said, OCF was strong and FCF was positive. This was supported by higher property deliveries in Hong Kong, lower capex (for land and construction) and G&amp;A expenses, as well as the stoppage of dividend payments and perpetual distributions.</li>
</ul>


New World Development's (NWD) FY 2024-25 results were weak, with the company reporting another large net loss of HKD 16.3 bn (after the HKD 19.7 bn loss in FY 2023-24), mainly driven by impairment losses.
Underlying business performance was also soft, as core operating profit (excluding one-off items) fell 13% y-o-y.
That said, OCF was strong and FCF was positive. This was supported by higher property deliveries in Hong Kong, lower capex (for land and construction) and G&amp;A expenses, as well as the stoppage of dividend payments and perpetual distributions.


New World Development - Earnings Flash - FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

Hong Kong

New World Development is a Hong Kong-based conglomerate primarily engaged in property development and investment, hotels, infrastructure and services, and department stores in Greater China, particularly the Greater Bay Area. Its portfolio includes residential, retail, office, and industrial properties, as well as hotel operations and various infrastructure projects. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Central, Hong Kong.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

New World Development (17 HK)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Longfor Group, Bharti Airtel, New World...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Vanke, Japfa Comfeed, New World...

Lucror Analytics

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK): A Lot Has Been Priced In

CTF is a top-performing HSI constituent YTD, but with low dividend yield and high valuations, it may be time to sell. Recovery in HK jewellery...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A Contrarian View on New World: Market Is Forward-Looking, Bet on Leveraged Play in Rate Cut Cycle

After FY25 results, NWD was down 10% post Monday's open but recovered all the losses. We are forward looking and think the worst is behind us -...

Jacob Cheng

New World Development - Earnings Flash - FY 2024-25 Results - Lucror Analytics

New World Development's (NWD) FY 2024-25 results were weak, with the company reporting another large net loss of HKD 16.3 bn (after the HKD...

Lucror Analytics

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)