Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Market Reaction: The announcement of US reciprocal tariffs led to significantly lower market open throughout Asia-Pacific. In the US, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500</a> futures dropped -3.5%, with the VIX spiking to 23.45.</li>
<li>
Impact on Japan: Japan faces a 24% tariff, with specific sectors like automobiles hit with 25%. This led to a 4.5% drop in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>, stabilizing at 34,600 (-3.2%).</li>
<li>
Volatility Increase: The Nikkei 225 VIX index jumped from previous levels in the low 20's to rise above 38 before retreating to 32.8, indicating the 99th percentile of implied volatility.</li>
</ul>



Market Reaction: The announcement of US reciprocal tariffs led to significantly lower market open throughout Asia-Pacific. In the US, S&amp;P 500 futures dropped -3.5%, with the VIX spiking to 23.45.

Impact on Japan: Japan faces a 24% tariff, with specific sectors like automobiles hit with 25%. This led to a 4.5% drop in the Nikkei 225, stabilizing at 34,600 (-3.2%).

Volatility Increase: The Nikkei 225 VIX index jumped from previous levels in the low 20's to rise above 38 before retreating to 32.8, indicating the 99th percentile of implied volatility.


Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) Drops Amid US Tariffs: Implied Volatility Hits Extreme Levels

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan, Vantage Capital Markets Japan

François-Xavier Pustoc'h

Equity Derivatives Broker - Delta One Japan

Independent Financial Broker

Vantage Capital Markets Japan

We provide world class financial solutions to our extensive institutional client base including rapidly growing corporations, leading investment banks, commercial banks, asset managers, private equity funds, family offices and hedge funds.

Our services include capital market offerings and placements, wholesale brokerage and execution of cash and derivative products (both listed and OTC) across a range of asset classes.

VCM has offices in London, Hong Kong, Tokyo and Dubai from where we service our global client base. Our strength lies in the experience and quality of our teams, supported by excellent operations and infrastructure.

<ul><li>1M Implied volatility slightly up 0.49 at 22.35 as the Nikkei 225 index softens.</li><li>High correlation to USDJPY is remaining elevated.</li><li>Nikkei 225 implied volatility rich against realized but trading on its 3M average.</li></ul>

1M Implied volatility slightly up 0.49 at 22.35 as the Nikkei 225 index softens.High correlation to USDJPY is remaining elevated.Nikkei 225 implied volatility rich against realized but trading on its 3M average.

Nikkei Volatility Update (Mar 21st – Mar 28th)

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei 225 dividend curve unchanged over the week                                          </li>
<li>Thin volumes mostly in 2025 and 2016 dividend futures.</li>
<li>Nikkei 225 dividend yield is stabilizing at 2.12%.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 dividend curve unchanged over the week                                          
Thin volumes mostly in 2025 and 2016 dividend futures.
Nikkei 225 dividend yield is stabilizing at 2.12%.


Nikkei Dividends Update (Mar 21st – Mar 28th)

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

<ul>
<li>A weekly recap of volatility and price metrics, covering option volumes, volatility trends, the spot/implied relationship, and open interest statistics.</li>
<li>USD/JPY and Nikkei moved in opposite directions, with the index underperforming its historical relationship to FX.</li>
<li>Options volume increased throughout the week, peaking on Friday’s move lower.</li>
</ul>


A weekly recap of volatility and price metrics, covering option volumes, volatility trends, the spot/implied relationship, and open interest statistics.
USD/JPY and Nikkei moved in opposite directions, with the index underperforming its historical relationship to FX.
Options volume increased throughout the week, peaking on Friday’s move lower.


Nikkei Index Options Weekly (Mar 24 – 28): Weak Finish Despite USD/JPY Strength

<ul><li>1M Implied volatility down again 3.23 at 21.54 as the Nikkei 225 index stabilizes.</li><li>High correlation to USDJPY is remaining elevated.</li><li>Increasing interest in short-term upside calls to play the recovery towards the end of the week.</li></ul>

1M Implied volatility down again 3.23 at 21.54 as the Nikkei 225 index stabilizes.High correlation to USDJPY is remaining elevated.Increasing interest in short-term upside calls to play the recovery towards the end of the week.

Nikkei Volatility Update (Mar 14th – Mar 21st)

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)