Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Essilor’s investment underscores Nikon’s undervalued potential, spotlighting its advanced optical technologies as strategic growth drivers in emerging high-tech sectors like AR.</li>
<li>Nikon’s established expertise in precision optics is highly adaptable for AR applications, positioning the company to capitalize on rising demand for wearable and immersive technology.</li>
<li>Increased collaboration with EssilorLuxottica may enhance Nikon’s R&amp;D capabilities, promising new innovations and potential revenue streams, which could strengthen Nikon’s profitability and share value long-term.</li>
</ul>


Essilor’s investment underscores Nikon’s undervalued potential, spotlighting its advanced optical technologies as strategic growth drivers in emerging high-tech sectors like AR.
Nikon’s established expertise in precision optics is highly adaptable for AR applications, positioning the company to capitalize on rising demand for wearable and immersive technology.
Increased collaboration with EssilorLuxottica may enhance Nikon’s R&amp;D capabilities, promising new innovations and potential revenue streams, which could strengthen Nikon’s profitability and share value long-term.


Nikon (7731) | Eyeing the Future? Nikon and Essilor's Partnership in AR

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>TSMC and ASML reported 1Q24 results last week; both stocks have fallen post results, impacted by global concerns despite a strong outlook for these two leaders into 2025E.</li>
<li>TSMC guided for strong growth not just in 2024E, but if one digs into management's comments, they actually provided strong visibility into their 2028E internal revenue expectations.</li>
<li>For ASML, its EUV product business is the key indicator to watch. We believe TSMC shares will continue to re-rate even through a period of global economic softness.</li>
</ul>


TSMC and ASML reported 1Q24 results last week; both stocks have fallen post results, impacted by global concerns despite a strong outlook for these two leaders into 2025E.
TSMC guided for strong growth not just in 2024E, but if one digs into management's comments, they actually provided strong visibility into their 2028E internal revenue expectations.
For ASML, its EUV product business is the key indicator to watch. We believe TSMC shares will continue to re-rate even through a period of global economic softness.


TSMC Just Provided Substantial Visibility into Their Long-Term Growth Estimate; ASML Adds Color

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

<ul>
<li>FY'23 growth forecast increased despite push outs in the EUV order book and lower than expected IBB revenues.</li>
<li>Broad-Based recovery is now looking more like a H1'24 scenario with lingering uncertainty as to how it quickly it will unfold thereafter</li>
<li>System sales to China increased from 8% of revenues in Q1'23 to 24% in Q2'23. Non-China DUV order cancellations are being snapped up by China at an unprecedented rate. </li>
</ul>


FY'23 growth forecast increased despite push outs in the EUV order book and lower than expected IBB revenues.
Broad-Based recovery is now looking more like a H1'24 scenario with lingering uncertainty as to how it quickly it will unfold thereafter
System sales to China increased from 8% of revenues in Q1'23 to 24% in Q2'23. Non-China DUV order cancellations are being snapped up by China at an unprecedented rate. 


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Japan Petroleum Exploration / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.</li>
<li>The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.</li>
<li>In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.</li>
</ul>


Japanese companies are buying back more stock than ever before, and recent moves by the TSE and METI are effectively pushing for more.
The new goal is to lift PBR and ROE. The easiest way to lift ROE is reduce E. Low-PBR Cos with excess assets and cross-holdings (outbound and inbound) are targets.
In this insight I look at several possible rankings for potential large buyback targets.


JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Coherent, SMCI, Entegris all posting solid gains, while Skyworks priced in its poor outlook for its Apple biz.</li>
<li>Monolithic as much as +19% post market setting a better tone for power/analog semi related. Renesas +12.6% yesterday also.</li>
<li>Tokyo Electron numbers mixed but positive overall and any weakness at the open a good chance for dip buying.</li>
</ul>


Coherent, SMCI, Entegris all posting solid gains, while Skyworks priced in its poor outlook for its Apple biz.
Monolithic as much as +19% post market setting a better tone for power/analog semi related. Renesas +12.6% yesterday also.
Tokyo Electron numbers mixed but positive overall and any weakness at the open a good chance for dip buying.


Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher

Japan

NIKON CORPORATION manufactures and sells cameras, lenses, semiconductor-related equipment, eyeglasses, microscopes, and measuring instruments.

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Nikon Corp (7731 JP)

Nikon (7731) | Eyeing the Future? Nikon and Essilor's Partnership in AR

Essilor's investment in Nikon highlights its potential in advanced optical technologies for emerging sectors like AR, with collaboration...

Mark Chadwick

TSMC Just Provided Substantial Visibility into Their Long-Term Growth Estimate; ASML Adds Color

If you dig into the details, TSMC provided substantial insight into the company's internal estimates for long-term revenue. For ASML, we discuss...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASML. Sanctions? Moi?

FY'23 growth forecast increased despite push outs in the EUV order book and lower IBB revenues. Semi recovery now a H1'24 scenario with uncertainty...

William Keating

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

JAPAN GOVERNANCE: There is a buyback story coming. It will be big. Bigger than the past year or two, and it will continue. What to buy?

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher

Skyworks priced in poor outlook for its Apple business. Market sets a better tone for power/anolog semi related. Any weakness in Tokyo Electron a...

Andrew Jackson

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Nikon (7731) | Eyeing the Future? Nikon and Essilor's Partnership in AR

​Essilor's investment in Nikon highlights its potential in advanced optical technologies for emerging sectors like AR, with collaboration...

Mark Chadwick

TSMC Just Provided Substantial Visibility into Their Long-Term Growth Estimate; ASML Adds Color

If you dig into the details, TSMC provided substantial insight into the company's internal estimates for long-term revenue. For ASML, we discuss...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

ASML. Sanctions? Moi?

FY'23 growth forecast increased despite push outs in the EUV order book and lower IBB revenues. Semi recovery now a H1'24 scenario with uncertainty...

William Keating

JAPAN GOVERNANCE CHANGES II - Who Could Surprise on Buybacks? Quant Rankings

JAPAN GOVERNANCE: There is a buyback story coming. It will be big. Bigger than the past year or two, and it will continue. What to buy?

Travis Lundy

Japan Morning Connection: Mixed Read from the US but Direction Pointing Higher

Skyworks priced in poor outlook for its Apple business. Market sets a better tone for power/anolog semi related. Any weakness in Tokyo Electron a...

Andrew Jackson

Essilor's investment in Nikon highlights its potential in advanced optical technologies for emerging sectors like AR, with collaboration...