Smartkarma AI Primers, Smartkarma

αSK Primers

Smartkarma AI Primers

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

Nine Entertainment Co Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
 <li>Nine Entertainment is successfully navigating the structural shift from traditional to digital media, with digital revenue streams now accounting for a significant and growing portion of the group's total revenue.</li>
 <li>The company's streaming service, Stan, continues to be a key growth engine, exhibiting strong subscriber and revenue growth, and has become a profitable, significant player in the competitive Australian SVOD market.</li>
 <li>While the company faces headwinds from a cyclical and structurally challenged advertising market, its diversified portfolio across broadcast, streaming, publishing, and digital provides a more resilient business model compared to its traditional media peers.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  Nine Entertainment is successfully navigating the structural shift from traditional to digital media, with digital revenue streams now accounting for a significant and growing portion of the group's total revenue.
  The company's streaming service, Stan, continues to be a key growth engine, exhibiting strong subscriber and revenue growth, and has become a profitable, significant player in the competitive Australian SVOD market.
  While the company faces headwinds from a cyclical and structurally challenged advertising market, its diversified portfolio across broadcast, streaming, publishing, and digital provides a more resilient business model compared to its traditional media peers.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Primer: Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU) - Aug 2026

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> merger should complete mid-November while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/steadfast-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8181:1" rel="noopener">Steadfast (SDF AU)</a>'s acquisition could complete by end-November.</li>
<li>There will be ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 Index</a> following the merger and the acquisition to maintain the number of index constituents.</li>
<li>Then there will be more changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 Index</a> at the December rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)/ Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) merger should complete mid-November while Steadfast (SDF AU)'s acquisition could complete by end-November.
There will be ad hoc inclusions for the S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 Index following the merger and the acquisition to maintain the number of index constituents.
Then there will be more changes for the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 Index at the December rebalance.


S&P/ASX Indices: M&A-Driven Ad Hoc Changes in Nov & Impact on the Dec Rebalance

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we present our expectations for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 for the December 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 100 and six changes for ASX 200. We do not see any changes for ASX 20 and ASX 50.</li>
<li>There could also be intra-review index changes over the next few months. By our current measure, those will be quite big in dollar terms and ADV impact.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we present our expectations for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 for the December 2026 index rebal event.
We expect one change for ASX 100 and six changes for ASX 200. We do not see any changes for ASX 20 and ASX 50.
There could also be intra-review index changes over the next few months. By our current measure, those will be quite big in dollar terms and ADV impact.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec26: Multiple Changes During the Rebal + Some Intra-Review Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On the 13th July 2026, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a>, Australia's No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced three NBIOs (I-Squared, Pacific Equity Partners (PEP), and Oaktree), and due diligence was afforded.</li>
<li>On 10 August 2026, OML and I-Squared announced a Scheme Implementation Deed under which I-Squared would acquire OML for A$1.70/share in cash. Reportedly, neither PEP nor Oaktree lodged final bids</li>
<li>
<a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260929/pdf/074nmxczhqcflz.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Booklet is now out</a>, with a 2nd November Scheme Meeting, and expected implementation on the 26th November. The IE (Grant Samuel) concluded " fair and reasonable". Clean deal.</li>
</ul>


On the 13th July 2026, oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU), Australia's No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced three NBIOs (I-Squared, Pacific Equity Partners (PEP), and Oaktree), and due diligence was afforded.
On 10 August 2026, OML and I-Squared announced a Scheme Implementation Deed under which I-Squared would acquire OML for A$1.70/share in cash. Reportedly, neither PEP nor Oaktree lodged final bids

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a 2nd November Scheme Meeting, and expected implementation on the 26th November. The IE (Grant Samuel) concluded " fair and reasonable". Clean deal.


OOh!Media (OML AU): 2nd November Vote On I-Squared's A$1.70/Share Fair Offer

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>I Squared won the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a>'s auction with a binding A$1.70 offer (A$1.68 cash plus a A$0.02 dividend). That is a 100% premium to the undisturbed A$0.85 price.</li>
<li>No shareholder holds a blocking stake, and substantial holders should support the premium. The independent expert found the scheme fair and reasonable, valuing oOh! at A$1.59–A$1.78 per share.</li>
<li>The ACCC cleared the deal unconditionally. For FIRB and NZ OIO approval, the risk is timing, not outcome. A 0.9% gross spread points to a done deal. </li>
</ul>


I Squared won the oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)'s auction with a binding A$1.70 offer (A$1.68 cash plus a A$0.02 dividend). That is a 100% premium to the undisturbed A$0.85 price.
No shareholder holds a blocking stake, and substantial holders should support the premium. The independent expert found the scheme fair and reasonable, valuing oOh! at A$1.59–A$1.78 per share.
The ACCC cleared the deal unconditionally. For FIRB and NZ OIO approval, the risk is timing, not outcome. A 0.9% gross spread points to a done deal. 


OOh!media (OML AU): Tight Spread, Low Risk, with Scheme Vote on 2 November

Australia

Nine Entertainment Company Holdings Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, broadcast news and current affairs, sporting events, comedy, entertainment, and lifestyle programs. Nine Entertainment serves customers throughout Australia.

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Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU)

Primer: Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU) - Aug 2026

Nine Entertainment is successfully navigating the structural shift from traditional to digital media, with digital revenue streams now...

αSK Primers

S&P/ASX Indices: M&A-Driven Ad Hoc Changes in Nov & Impact on the Dec Rebalance

The Genesis/Vault merger and the Steadfast acquisition are expected to complete in Nov. That leads to adhoc index inclusions and other flows. Then...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec26: Multiple Changes During the Rebal + Some Intra-Review Changes

Although we currently see zero changes for ASX 50, there are multiple potential DELs close to the deletion border. If they underperform other...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

OOh!media (OML AU): Tight Spread, Low Risk, with Scheme Vote on 2 November

I Squared's A$1.70 bid (100% premium) won a three-way auction. ACCC cleared; FIRB is a timing risk; 0.9% spread signals a done deal. No blocking...

Arun George

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52-week Range

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Primer: Nine Entertainment Co Holdings (NEC AU) - Aug 2026

Nine Entertainment is successfully navigating the structural shift from traditional to digital media, with digital revenue streams now...

αSK Primers

S&P/ASX Indices: M&A-Driven Ad Hoc Changes in Nov & Impact on the Dec Rebalance

The Genesis/Vault merger and the Steadfast acquisition are expected to complete in Nov. That leads to adhoc index inclusions and other flows. Then...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Dec26: Multiple Changes During the Rebal + Some Intra-Review Changes

Although we currently see zero changes for ASX 50, there are multiple potential DELs close to the deletion border. If they underperform other...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

OOh!Media (OML AU): 2nd November Vote On I-Squared's A$1.70/Share Fair Offer

Trading super tight at 0.9%/5.9%, gross/annualised. Unless already in and/or can take advantage of the franking credits, I'd be looking elsewhere.

David Blennerhassett

OOh!media (OML AU): Tight Spread, Low Risk, with Scheme Vote on 2 November

I Squared's A$1.70 bid (100% premium) won a three-way auction. ACCC cleared; FIRB is a timing risk; 0.9% spread signals a done deal. No blocking...

Arun George