Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD29,092m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Seikoh Giken, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Create Restaurants, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Yoshinoya, Nintendo, Mizuho Financial, Bic Camera.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 28th. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD29,092m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Seikoh Giken, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest, Create Restaurants, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Yoshinoya, Nintendo, Mizuho Financial, Bic Camera.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 28th): Kioxia, Seikoh Giken, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$0.7 billion secondary offering, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lintec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5564:1" rel="noopener">Lintec Corp (7966 JP)</a>’s shares have declined 3.7% to the undisturbed price of JPY5,730 per share (20 August).</li>
<li>It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Lintec's share decline is lower than the median of recent large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 1 September. Since 2021, the average large Japanese placement has tended to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$0.7 billion secondary offering, Lintec Corp (7966 JP)’s shares have declined 3.7% to the undisturbed price of JPY5,730 per share (20 August).
It is instructive to look at recent large Japanese placements to understand the potential trading pattern. Lintec's share decline is lower than the median of recent large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 1 September. Since 2021, the average large Japanese placement has tended to generate positive returns.


<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,184m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Murata Manufacturing, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Toyota Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Aug 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD28,184m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Murata Manufacturing, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial, Mizuho Financial, Lasertec, SoftBank, Tokyo Electron, Toyota Motor.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 21st): Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Lasertec

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Technical Analysis

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.</li>
<li>We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.</li>
<li>Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.</li>
</ul>


We believe there is significant evidence that global equities (MSCI ACWI) have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. Buys highlighted in global Technology, Discretionary, Real Estate, and Steel/Mining.
We discussed in our prior Int'l Compass (11/2/23) how the false breakdown in MSCI ACWI (local currency) was bullish, and a potent rally has ensued. We expect more upside ahead.
Now getting bullish 3+ month downtrend reversals and false breakdowns in the EURO STOXX 50, ACWI-US, MSCI ACWI ex-US (ACWX-US), MSCI EM (EEM-US), and EAFE (EFA-US). Major risk-on signals everywhere.


Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lintec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5564:1" rel="noopener">Lintec Corp (7966 JP)</a> has announced a secondary offering of 17.1 million shares (19.7 million including overallotment), valued at around US$0.6 billion (US$0.7 billion including overallotment).</li>
<li>The offering will enable <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-paper-industries-co-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:557:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Paper Industries Co L (3863 JP)</a>, the largest shareholder, to sell all its directly owned shares.</li>
<li>The offering, as a percentage of outstanding shares, is the sixth-highest, and, in terms of ADV, the fifth-highest among large Japanese placements since 2021.</li>
</ul>



Lintec Corp (7966 JP) has announced a secondary offering of 17.1 million shares (19.7 million including overallotment), valued at around US$0.6 billion (US$0.7 billion including overallotment).
The offering will enable Nippon Paper Industries Co L (3863 JP), the largest shareholder, to sell all its directly owned shares.
The offering, as a percentage of outstanding shares, is the sixth-highest, and, in terms of ADV, the fifth-highest among large Japanese placements since 2021.


Lintec (7966 JP): A US$0.7 Billion Secondary Offering

Japan

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

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Nintendo (7974 JP)

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 28th): Kioxia, Seikoh Giken, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Advantest

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), Seikoh Giken (6834 JP), Mitsubishi UFJ...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Lintec (7966 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 1 September. Since 2021, the average large Japanese placement has tended to generate positive returns.

Arun George

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Aug 21st): Kioxia, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Taiyo Yuden, Lasertec

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted Kioxia (285A JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Financial (8306 JP), Taiyo Yuden...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Year-End Rally Underway; Many Bullish Reversals/False Breakdowns; Buys: Tech, Cons. Disc., RE, Steel

There is significant evidence that global equities $ACWI have bottomed, and a year-end rally has begun. It all started when we discussed that the...

Vermilion Research

Lintec (7966 JP): A US$0.7 Billion Secondary Offering

The offering, as a percentage of outstanding shares, is the sixth-highest, and, in terms of ADV, the fifth-highest among large Japanese placements...

Arun George

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