Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daimler-truck-holding-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35551:1" rel="noopener">Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR)</a> (DT) are looking to raise up to US$1.7bn via selling around 35% of their stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/archion-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47577:1" rel="noopener">Archion (543A JP)</a>.</li>
<li>The news of the possible deal was already out last week and the deal terms are somewhat along expected lines.</li>
<li>We have looked at most aspects of the deal in our earlier note. In this note, we will talk about the recent updates.</li>
</ul>



Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR) (DT) are looking to raise up to US$1.7bn via selling around 35% of their stake in Archion (543A JP).
The news of the possible deal was already out last week and the deal terms are somewhat along expected lines.
We have looked at most aspects of the deal in our earlier note. In this note, we will talk about the recent updates.


Aequitas: Archion Placement - As Expected, Some of the past Large Deals Have Been Mixed

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Headline Developments Facebook’s (FB) Reality Labs have provided a glimpse of a wrist-worn AR interface concept that would allow users to more fluidly interact with augmented environments, as in the video below.  More specifically, the device uses electromyography (EMG) sensors to interpret nerve signals and interact with the environment.</p>

Headline Developments Facebook’s (FB) Reality Labs have provided a glimpse of a wrist-worn AR interface concept that would allow users to more fluidly interact with augmented environments, as in the video below.  More specifically, the device uses electromyography (EMG) sensors to interpret nerve signals and interact with the environment.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daimler-truck-holding-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35551:1" rel="noopener">Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR)</a> could look to raise JPY200-300bn (US$1.3-1.9bn) via a secondary in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/archion-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47577:1" rel="noopener">Archion (543A JP)</a>, as per media reports.</li>
<li>Post the news break on Friday, the company clarified that it is exploring various options, including a secondary.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR) could look to raise JPY200-300bn (US$1.3-1.9bn) via a secondary in Archion (543A JP), as per media reports.
Post the news break on Friday, the company clarified that it is exploring various options, including a secondary.
In this note, we will talk about the possible deal dynamics.


Aequitas: Archion Possible Placement - Large, ~US$1.6bn, but Well Flagged Secondary

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<p>With the Nikkei 225 index breaking 30k this month, we thought it pertinent to look in more detail at Japan positioning among Global fund managers.  Our data shows that Japan is underowned by Global managers versus its own history and held underweight versus the benchmark MSCI All Country World index.  Current positioning levels are towards their lowest ever levels, yet we are not seeing a sweeping reversal of sentiment in our data just yet, merely a stalling of the declines. </p><p>However, the outperformance of MSCI Japan versus the AC World index over the last 6-months and the psychological breaking of 30,000 in the Nikkei 225 index are both signs that momentum is gathering steam.   We see rising ownership levels in a number of key companies, led by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:563:1" rel="noopener">Sony Corp (6758 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nintendo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5415:1" rel="noopener">Nintendo Co Ltd (7974 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-electron-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:280:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Electron (8035 JP)</a> and high conviction in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keyence-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3077:1" rel="noopener">Keyence Corp (6861 JP)</a> among Global investors.  Outside of these 4 stocks, we would highlight the largest index weight, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> as a laggard and a stock that has the potential to play a much greater role in Global portfolios going forwards.</p><p><em>Analysis taken from our Global active fund research, covering 386 managers with combined AUM of $960bn </em></p>

With the Nikkei 225 index breaking 30k this month, we thought it pertinent to look in more detail at Japan positioning among Global fund managers.  Our data shows that Japan is underowned by Global managers versus its own history and held underweight versus the benchmark MSCI All Country World index.  Current positioning levels are towards their lowest ever levels, yet we are not seeing a sweeping reversal of sentiment in our data just yet, merely a stalling of the declines. However, the outperformance of MSCI Japan versus the AC World index over the last 6-months and the psychological breaking of 30,000 in the Nikkei 225 index are both signs that momentum is gathering steam.   We see rising ownership levels in a number of key companies, led by Sony Corp (6758 JP) , Nintendo Co Ltd (7974 JP) and Tokyo Electron (8035 JP) and high conviction in Keyence Corp (6861 JP) among Global investors.  Outside of these 4 stocks, we would highlight the largest index weight, Toyota Motor (7203 JP) as a laggard and a stock that has the potential to play a much greater role in Global portfolios going forwards.Analysis taken from our Global active fund research, covering 386 managers with combined AUM of $960bn 

Global Fund Positioning in Japan:  Underweight and Underowned

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• RESULTS &amp; REVISIONS SUMMARY - 1st FEBRUARY •</strong></p></div><div><p>Of Monday's 76 results announcements, 79% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 5.2% on average and a 2.6 percentage point decline in operating margins. 11% of companies were in the red for the quarter.  65% of the 48 annual forecasts/revision announcements scored positively and the average Forecast/Revision score was +2.6 points.</p></div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p><p style="text-align: left;">Monday's best and worst large-cap pairing is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM (6963 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shionogi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19535:1" rel="noopener">Shionogi (4507 JP)</a>. We would also note the declining momentum at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lasertec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4126:1" rel="noopener">Lasertec (6920 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nintendo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5415:1" rel="noopener">Nintendo (7974 JP)</a>.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/186/154/original/2021-02-02_05-32-51.png?1612211584" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="186154"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/186/155/original/2021-02-02_05-33-53.png?1612211646" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="186155"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/186/156/original/2021-02-02_05-34-39.png?1612211691" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="186156"></figure></section><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/186/157/original/2021-02-02_05-35-09.png?1612211734" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="186157"></figure></section><div class="content-caption">    Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics</div>

• RESULTS &amp; REVISIONS SUMMARY - 1st FEBRUARY •Of Monday's 76 results announcements, 79% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 5.2% on average and a 2.6 percentage point decline in operating margins. 11% of companies were in the red for the quarter.  65% of the 48 annual forecasts/revision announcements scored positively and the average Forecast/Revision score was +2.6 points.• BEST &amp; WORST •Monday's best and worst large-cap pairing is ROHM (6963 JP) and Shionogi (4507 JP). We would also note the declining momentum at Lasertec (6920 JP) and Nintendo (7974 JP).    Source for all charts &amp; tables: Japan Analytics

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​02/​​​​​​​​​​​​​01 - Rohm, Shionogi..

Japan

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

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Nintendo (7974 JP)

Aequitas: Archion Placement - As Expected, Some of the past Large Deals Have Been Mixed

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR) (DT) are looking to raise up to US$1.7bn via selling around 35% of their stake in Archion...

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #23

Headline Developments Facebook’s (FB) Reality Labs have provided a glimpse of a wrist-worn AR interface concept that would allow users to more...

Granite Bay Capital

Aequitas: Archion Possible Placement - Large, ~US$1.6bn, but Well Flagged Secondary

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR) could look to raise JPY200-300bn (US$1.3-1.9bn) via a secondary in Archion (543A JP), as...

Sumeet Singh

Global Fund Positioning in Japan: Underweight and Underowned

With the Nikkei 225 index breaking 30k this month, Global managers remain under-invested and underweight Japan versus the benchmark MSCI All...

Steven Holden

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 02/01 - Rohm, Shionogi..

Of Monday's 76 results announcements, 79% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 5.2% on average and a 2.6...

Campbell Gunn

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Aequitas: Archion Placement - As Expected, Some of the past Large Deals Have Been Mixed

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR) (DT) are looking to raise up to US$1.7bn via selling around 35% of their stake in Archion...

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #23

Headline Developments Facebook’s (FB) Reality Labs have provided a glimpse of a wrist-worn AR interface concept that would allow users to more...

Granite Bay Capital

Aequitas: Archion Possible Placement - Large, ~US$1.6bn, but Well Flagged Secondary

Toyota Motor (7203 JP) and Daimler Truck Holding (DTG GR) could look to raise JPY200-300bn (US$1.3-1.9bn) via a secondary in Archion (543A JP), as...

Sumeet Singh

Global Fund Positioning in Japan: Underweight and Underowned

With the Nikkei 225 index breaking 30k this month, Global managers remain under-invested and underweight Japan versus the benchmark MSCI All...

Steven Holden

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions ​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​02/​​​​​​​​​​​​​01 - Rohm, Shionogi..

Of Monday's 76 results announcements, 79% scored positively for earnings momentum despite trailing revenues falling by 5.2% on average and a 2.6...

Campbell Gunn

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 02/01 - Rohm, Shionogi..