Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Offering priced today at ¥7,338/share vs ¥8,039/share traded at the close on the day of the announcement. That's an 8.7% discount for no dilution. </li>
<li>Compared to a broad basket of Peer Baskets (yes, a basket of baskets), the stock has underperformed by 4.2%, and the 3% discount today puts it at 7+% move.</li>
<li>Given the relative cheapness, one should be comfortable putting this on if it gets sold off. This is not different to my initial opinion.</li>
</ul>


The Offering priced today at ¥7,338/share vs ¥8,039/share traded at the close on the day of the announcement. That's an 8.7% discount for no dilution. 
Compared to a broad basket of Peer Baskets (yes, a basket of baskets), the stock has underperformed by 4.2%, and the 3% discount today puts it at 7+% move.
Given the relative cheapness, one should be comfortable putting this on if it gets sold off. This is not different to my initial opinion.


Nippon Express (9147 JP) - Buying the Overhang

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> was hoping for better luck with its listing this time around.</li>
<li>For placements, it was a very busy week for a change with most regions, apart from Hong Kong, chipping in.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, Trial Holdings (5882 JP) was hoping for better luck with its listing this time around.
For placements, it was a very busy week for a change with most regions, apart from Hong Kong, chipping in.


ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36821:1" rel="noopener">Trial Holdings (5882 JP)</a> IPO, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-express-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18582:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP)</a> placement and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> lock-up expiry.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alumina-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:939:1" rel="noopener">Alumina Ltd (AWC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genex-power-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29079:1" rel="noopener">Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinda-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:475:1" rel="noopener">Vinda International (3331 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Trial Holdings (5882 JP) IPO, Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP) placement and ARM Holdings (ARM US) lock-up expiry.
Event-Driven developments: JSR Corp (4185 JP), Alumina Ltd (AWC AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Genex Power Ltd (GNX AU), Vinda International (3331 HK). 


Weekly Deals Digest (10 Mar) - Trial, ARM, JSR, Nippon Express, Alumina, Azure, Genex, Vinda

Nippon Express Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$260 million secondary placement announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-express-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18582:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP)</a> shares are down 5.3% from the undisturbed price of JPY8,039 per share (1 March).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Nippon Express shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$260 million secondary placement announcement, Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP) shares are down 5.3% from the undisturbed price of JPY8,039 per share (1 March).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, Nippon Express shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.


Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>A group of shareholders are looking to raise US$220m from selling their stakes in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-express-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18582:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Overall, the deal would be a relatively large one to digest at 11 days of Nippon Express’ three month ADV, and 4.8% of the firm’s total shares outstanding.</li>
<li>Together with the announcement, the firm has also guided towards a share buyback program which should provide some share price support a month post-deal,  in our view.</li>
</ul>


A group of shareholders are looking to raise US$220m from selling their stakes in Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP).
Overall, the deal would be a relatively large one to digest at 11 days of Nippon Express’ three month ADV, and 4.8% of the firm’s total shares outstanding.
Together with the announcement, the firm has also guided towards a share buyback program which should provide some share price support a month post-deal,  in our view.


Nippon Express Placement - Lukewarm Track Record, Although Buyback Could Lift Share Price

Japan

Nippon Express Holdings, Inc. offers logistics services. The Company provides freight vehicle transportation, railway transportation, air transportation, sea transportation, port transportation, warehousing, and other services. Nippon Express Holdings provides its services throughout Japan.

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Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP)

Nippon Express (9147 JP) - Buying the Overhang

NX (9147) saw its Offering price today. It priced down nearly 9% from pre-announcement. No dilution, and net mitigants are half the offering. It...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (10 Mar) - Trial, ARM, JSR, Nippon Express, Alumina, Azure, Genex, Vinda

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (JSR, Alumina, Azure, Genex, Vinda) and ECM (ARM, Trial Holdings, Nippon Express).

Arun George

Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Nippon Express (9147 JP) - Buying the Overhang

NX (9147) saw its Offering price today. It priced down nearly 9% from pre-announcement. No dilution, and net mitigants are half the offering. It...

Travis Lundy

ECM Weekly (11th Mar 2024) - Oriental Land, ARM, Tuhu, Wiwynn, Macrotech, Zomato, Trial Holding

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (10 Mar) - Trial, ARM, JSR, Nippon Express, Alumina, Azure, Genex, Vinda

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (JSR, Alumina, Azure, Genex, Vinda) and ECM (ARM, Trial Holdings, Nippon Express).

Arun George

Nippon Express (9147 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 11 March. Investors who have participated in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.

Arun George

Nippon Express Placement - Lukewarm Track Record, Although Buyback Could Lift Share Price

A group of shareholders are looking to raise US$220m from selling their stakes in Nippon Express Holdings (9147 JP). The firm has also guided...

Clarence Chu