Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Urbem (HK) Limited

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Microsoft's 17× under Satya Nadella was a double play: EPS rose about 6.6× while the P/E more than doubled from a value-trap 13.8×.</li>
<li>It was a relay: the Ballmer era built the enterprise channel and incubated Azure; Nadella removed the anchors and redirected capital toward cloud and AI.</li>
<li>The next setup pairs a re-founder with an inherited distribution channel and an unpriced option; IBM had a franchise and an insider CEO but lacked the option and the reallocation.</li>
</ul>


Microsoft's 17× under Satya Nadella was a double play: EPS rose about 6.6× while the P/E more than doubled from a value-trap 13.8×.
It was a relay: the Ballmer era built the enterprise channel and incubated Azure; Nadella removed the anchors and redirected capital toward cloud and AI.
The next setup pairs a re-founder with an inherited distribution channel and an unpriced option; IBM had a franchise and an insider CEO but lacked the option and the reallocation.


The Relay Behind Microsoft's 17-Bagger: How to Find the Next Nadella

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The Mobile World Congress had a record attendance of 110,000 people this year, but some are questioning its relevance in the semiconductor industry</li><li>Major chip companies had reduced presence at the event, signaling a shift away from semiconductor topics towards other emerging technologies like AI and data centers</li><li>The telecom industry, which the event primarily caters to, is facing challenges with stagnant growth and operators are hesitant to upgrade to 6G, leading to a downbeat atmosphere for equipment suppliers at the event.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

The Mobile World Congress had a record attendance of 110,000 people this year, but some are questioning its relevance in the semiconductor industryMajor chip companies had reduced presence at the event, signaling a shift away from semiconductor topics towards other emerging technologies like AI and data centersThe telecom industry, which the event primarily caters to, is facing challenges with stagnant growth and operators are hesitant to upgrade to 6G, leading to a downbeat atmosphere for equipment suppliers at the event.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 108: MWC Observations, MRVL and AVGO Earnings, Apple's new Devices

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.</li>
<li>Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI) with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 holding above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As long as these base supports hold, we would use any election-related pullback as an opportunity to add exposure.
Following the election, we see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end.


Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.</li>
<li>As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.</li>
<li>The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI -- ACWI-US) and the U.S. (S&amp;P 500) remain topside their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670.
As discussed last week (October 17, 2024 Int'l Compass), we upgraded our outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) to bullish, saying to use any pre-election pullback as opportunity to buy.
The pullback appears to be underway, and we are buyers as long as ACWI-US and S&amp;P 500 remain above their aforementioned bases


Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Rubber News Specialist, Helixtap

Vinod Nedumudy

Rubber News Specialist

Global Commodities Alternative Data and Insights

Helixtap

Helixtap collects, processes and distributes proprietary data, analyses and forecasts for the rubber, latex and automotive markets

Commodities

<ul><li>EUR 650 mn Oradea plant to start commercial production in 2025</li><li>EUR 250 million for plant comes in EC-approved state aid and EIB loan </li><li>Nokian sets up new production line for heavy tire inner tubes at Nokia </li></ul>

EUR 650 mn Oradea plant to start commercial production in 2025EUR 250 million for plant comes in EC-approved state aid and EIB loan Nokian sets up new production line for heavy tire inner tubes at Nokia 

Nokian Gifts Romania World’s First Zero CO2 Emission Tire Factory

Finland

Nokia Oyj is a global communications company. The Company produces a broad range of technological devices and software, and operates networks, sales ,and communication channels worldwide.

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Nokia Oyj (NOK US)

The Relay Behind Microsoft's 17-Bagger: How to Find the Next Nadella

Microsoft's 17-bagger under a hired CEO was a relay: the Ballmer era built the enterprise engine and incubated Azure; Nadella changed its direction...

Urbem Capital

Episode 108: MWC Observations, MRVL and AVGO Earnings, Apple's new Devices

Overall, the speaker reflects on the changing landscape of Mobile World Congress, with a decreased emphasis on semiconductors and a growing focus...

The Circuit

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI ACWI & SPX; Buys in Services, Technology, Discretionary, Gold Miners

Bullish Outlook Intact on MSCI $ACWI and $SPX as they hold above their respective bases at $117 and 5650-5670; Buys in Services, Technology,...

Vermilion Research

Buying Global Technology; SPX and MSCI ACWI Above Base Supports; Sea, TSMC, SAP, Luxshare, & More

Buying Global Technology; $SPX and MSCI $ACWI Remain Above Base Supports at 5650-5670 and $117; Buying Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM $SE $SAP $GRAB...

Vermilion Research

Nokian Gifts Romania World’s First Zero CO2 Emission Tire Factory

Giving sustainability a big push, Finnish firm Nokian Tyres has opened the world’s first full-scale tire factory with zero CO2 emissions in Oradea,...

Helixtap

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