Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-platforms-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50269:1" rel="noopener">Jio Platforms</a> is looking to list later this month by selling 270m shares at up to INR 1119/share, raising INR 302bn (US$3.1bn) and valuing the company at INR 10,305bn (US$106.5bn).</li>
<li>The small float (2.93% of shares out) will result in the stock missing Fast Entry to global indices. The pre-IPO lock-up expiry in April could result in global index inclusion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-platforms-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50269:1" rel="noopener">Jio Platforms Ltd (1797135D IN)</a> will be added to some local indices in March, though inclusion in the headline indices will need to wait till at least June.</li>
</ul>



Jio Platforms is looking to list later this month by selling 270m shares at up to INR 1119/share, raising INR 302bn (US$3.1bn) and valuing the company at INR 10,305bn (US$106.5bn).
The small float (2.93% of shares out) will result in the stock missing Fast Entry to global indices. The pre-IPO lock-up expiry in April could result in global index inclusion.

Jio Platforms Ltd (1797135D IN) will be added to some local indices in March, though inclusion in the headline indices will need to wait till at least June.


Jio Platforms IPO: Index Entry Timeline & Flow for India's (Possibly) Largest IPO

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 constituent change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in September.</li>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ended 31 July, the announcement of the changes will take place later today and implemented at the close of trading on 29 September.</li>
<li>The adds outperformed the deletes in April and May but there has been a narrowing of the spread since then. The spread could widen following the announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 constituent change for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and 5 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in September.
The review period for the September rebalance ended 31 July, the announcement of the changes will take place later today and implemented at the close of trading on 29 September.
The adds outperformed the deletes in April and May but there has been a narrowing of the spread since then. The spread could widen following the announcement of the changes.


NIFTY50/ NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Today After Market Close

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption</li>
<li>The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.</li>
<li>With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.</li>
</ul>


India is set for its biggest GST overhaul since 2017, with a shift to a dual-slab GST system (5% and 18%) to simplify tax structures, reduce consumer prices, boost consumption
The proposed rate cuts are likely to drive increased consumption, benefiting sectors like automobiles, cement, and consumer durables, and provide a multi-engine growth boost for the economy.
With the GST reform potentially lowering inflation, raising private sector investments, and stimulating discretionary spending, we see a positive impact on GDP growth by around 1.6-2% in the medium term.


Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>India's thriving trade relationship with the US has come under scrutiny following the announcement of the Reciprocal Tariff Plan by the US administration.</li>
<li>As the world's largest economy considers levelling tariff imbalances with trade partners, India — despite enjoying a trade surplus — faces only moderate risk. </li>
<li>Here's a detailed look into the numbers, categories, and sectors that matter</li>
</ul>


India's thriving trade relationship with the US has come under scrutiny following the announcement of the Reciprocal Tariff Plan by the US administration.
As the world's largest economy considers levelling tariff imbalances with trade partners, India — despite enjoying a trade surplus — faces only moderate risk. 
Here's a detailed look into the numbers, categories, and sectors that matter


Thematic Report : India–US Trade; Assessing the Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs on Indian Exports

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The real policy rate is +1.28% (using CPI; +4.13% using WPI). High real rates are a hindrance to the real economy, especially with core inflation below 4%YoY for 13 months.</li>
<li>F&amp;B inflation moderated to 7.69%YoY in Dec'24 (from 9.69%YoY in Oct'24), as vegetable inflation eased to 26.6%YoY (from 42.2%YoY). All other key food and non-food inflation categories abated. </li>
<li>Bountiful winter and spring crops should dampen inflation further, allowing the first rate cut in 2 years (Feb'25), and 25bp rate cuts at each of the next 2 MPC meetings. </li>
</ul>


The real policy rate is +1.28% (using CPI; +4.13% using WPI). High real rates are a hindrance to the real economy, especially with core inflation below 4%YoY for 13 months.
F&amp;B inflation moderated to 7.69%YoY in Dec'24 (from 9.69%YoY in Oct'24), as vegetable inflation eased to 26.6%YoY (from 42.2%YoY). All other key food and non-food inflation categories abated. 
Bountiful winter and spring crops should dampen inflation further, allowing the first rate cut in 2 years (Feb'25), and 25bp rate cuts at each of the next 2 MPC meetings. 


India: Still on Track for Rate Cuts to Begin in Feb'25; Continue at Next 2 MPC Meetings

India

The Nifty Junior Index is a free-float capitalization weighted index of the most liquid stocks excluded from the Nifty Index.

NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX EQUITY)

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NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX EQUITY)

Jio Platforms IPO: Index Entry Timeline & Flow for India's (Possibly) Largest IPO

Jio Platforms is looking to list in Oct after raising US$3.1bn at a valuation of US$106.5bn. No index Fast Entry given the low float. Passive...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50/ NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Today After Market Close

The Nifty family of indices rebalances at the close today. BSE is down 30% from its high in May and down 14% since the announcement of the NIFTY50...

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

Thematic Report : India–US Trade; Assessing the Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs on Indian Exports

India's trade relationship with the US faces scrutiny with the Reciprocal Tariff Plan, but India's moderate risk due to trade surplus is analyzed...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India: Still on Track for Rate Cuts to Begin in Feb'25; Continue at Next 2 MPC Meetings

High real policy rates are hindering the economy. But with core inflation low and the bountiful winter harvest, food inflation should ease...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Jio Platforms IPO: Index Entry Timeline & Flow for India's (Possibly) Largest IPO

Jio Platforms is looking to list in Oct after raising US$3.1bn at a valuation of US$106.5bn. No index Fast Entry given the low float. Passive...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50/ NEXT50 Index Rebalance Preview: Announcement Today After Market Close

The Nifty family of indices rebalances at the close today. BSE is down 30% from its high in May and down 14% since the announcement of the NIFTY50...

Brian Freitas

Thematic Report: Can Proposed GST Rate Cuts Revive Consumption Growth in India?

​India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

Nimish Maheshwari

Thematic Report : India–US Trade; Assessing the Impact of Reciprocal Tariffs on Indian Exports

​India's trade relationship with the US faces scrutiny with the Reciprocal Tariff Plan, but India's moderate risk due to trade surplus is analyzed...

Sudarshan Bhandari

India: Still on Track for Rate Cuts to Begin in Feb'25; Continue at Next 2 MPC Meetings

​High real policy rates are hindering the economy. But with core inflation low and the bountiful winter harvest, food inflation should ease...

Prasenjit K. Basu

India is revamping its GST system with dual-slab rates to simplify taxes, reduce prices, and boost consumption, potentially driving GDP growth by...

India's trade relationship with the US faces scrutiny with the Reciprocal Tariff Plan, but India's moderate risk due to trade surplus is analyzed...

High real policy rates are hindering the economy. But with core inflation low and the bountiful winter harvest, food inflation should ease...