Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taishin-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:715:1" rel="noopener">Taishin Financial (2887 TT)</a> is cheap to peers. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-kong-financial-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15351:1" rel="noopener">Shin Kong Financial (2888 TT)</a> is cheap vs Taishin. Long Shin Kong. Long Taishin vs Peers. Long Shin Kong vs Taishin Peers.</li>
<li>Abu Dhabi makes a big, bold bet on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/santos-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:711:1" rel="noopener">Santos Ltd (STO AU)</a>. However FIRB will have the last word on whether the deal goes through. </li>
<li>If the results show NTT owns &gt;80% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data (9613 JP)</a>, buy a lot for a potential squeeze. If the results show NTT owns 68-70%, you can probably ignore. </li>
</ul>



Taishin Financial (2887 TT) is cheap to peers. Shin Kong Financial (2888 TT) is cheap vs Taishin. Long Shin Kong. Long Taishin vs Peers. Long Shin Kong vs Taishin Peers.
Abu Dhabi makes a big, bold bet on Santos Ltd (STO AU). However FIRB will have the last word on whether the deal goes through. 
If the results show NTT owns &gt;80% of NTT Data (9613 JP), buy a lot for a potential squeeze. If the results show NTT owns 68-70%, you can probably ignore. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, Santos, NTT Data, ENN Energy, Mitsui Matsushima

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a> Tender Offer closed today. Results will come out tomorrow. I expect it will have been successful. </li>
<li>That will mean some US$8bn+ of passive tracking flows to sell and $8bn+ to buy related to this event alone in the next 3 months. </li>
<li>And there are some very interesting dynamics to consider in the meantime. </li>
</ul>


The NTT Data Corp (9613 JP) Tender Offer closed today. Results will come out tomorrow. I expect it will have been successful. 
That will mean some US$8bn+ of passive tracking flows to sell and $8bn+ to buy related to this event alone in the next 3 months. 
And there are some very interesting dynamics to consider in the meantime. 


[Japan Event] Potentially Interesting Dynamics of Post-Tender NTT Data (9613) Trading. $8bn+ One Way

<ul>
<li>For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. </li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For May 2025, 13 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$27bn. 
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in May was ~28%, with a year-to-date average of 49%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

<ul>
<li>This morning, the <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/NTT-to-make-NTT-Data-wholly-owned-unit-via-tender-offer-worth-up-to-20bn" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei</a> says <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> has decided, 5 years after taking Docomo private, to buy out minorities in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>NTT owns 58%. The article suggests a "30-40% premium" (¥3,900-4,200) "is likely", with the parent spending ¥2-3trln (¥3,380-5,060) on the deal. The numbers are a bit all over the place.</li>
<li>It will go limit up today to ¥3,492. A deal should be announced today after the close when NTT Data reports earnings. There's a cool index event too.</li>
</ul>


This morning, the Nikkei says NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) has decided, 5 years after taking Docomo private, to buy out minorities in NTT Data Corp (9613 JP). 
NTT owns 58%. The article suggests a "30-40% premium" (¥3,900-4,200) "is likely", with the parent spending ¥2-3trln (¥3,380-5,060) on the deal. The numbers are a bit all over the place.
It will go limit up today to ¥3,492. A deal should be announced today after the close when NTT Data reports earnings. There's a cool index event too.


NTT (9432) To Overpay To Take Over NTT Data (9613) Subsidiary?

<ul>
<li>We have a deal in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-data-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11232:1" rel="noopener">NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)</a>. It's big, liquid, and a great place to hide for long-only investors who are bearish the market.</li>
<li>Li Shufu-backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> offers an ordinary 13.6% premium for 65.7-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">Zeekr (ZK US)</a>. Li/Geely have the necessary votes to force a privatisation.  But still might bump terms.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a> has now strongly overbid Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's strong overbid of Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's initial hostile offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shibaura-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12704:1" rel="noopener">Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We have a deal in NTT Data Corp (9613 JP). It's big, liquid, and a great place to hide for long-only investors who are bearish the market.
Li Shufu-backed Geely Auto (175 HK) offers an ordinary 13.6% premium for 65.7-held Zeekr (ZK US). Li/Geely have the necessary votes to force a privatisation.  But still might bump terms.

Yageo Corporation (2327 TT) has now strongly overbid Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's strong overbid of Minebea's weak overbid of Yageo's initial hostile offer for Shibaura Electronics (6957 JP).


Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT Data Corp, Zeekr, Shibaura Electronics, Swire Pacific/ThaiNamthip

Japan

NTT Data Corporation mainly provides large scale system integration and networking system services. System integration involves data transmission system design, sales, leasing, and services.  Network System Services include internet related and linked computer networks, and data provision and management of data. The Company is a subsidiary of Nippon Telegraph & Telephone Corporation.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

NTT Data Corp (9613 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Shin Kong/Taishin, Santos, NTT Data, ENN Energy, Mitsui Matsushima

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan Event] Potentially Interesting Dynamics of Post-Tender NTT Data (9613) Trading. $8bn+ One Way

The NTT Data TOB closed today. Results out tomorrow should trigger index downweights/deletions from next week to end-Sep, every 4 weeks. Depending...

Travis Lundy

(Mostly) Asia M&A, May 2025 Wrap: NTT Data, ZEEKR, MAC Copper, Torii, Mitsu. Shokuhin, SBI Sumishin

For the month of May, 13 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$27bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

NTT (9432) To Overpay To Take Over NTT Data (9613) Subsidiary?

It looks like NTT will take over NTT Data. That is big news, but not entirely unexpected. It will probably be too expensive. It will create an...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: NTT Data Corp, Zeekr, Shibaura Electronics, Swire Pacific/ThaiNamthip

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)