External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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<ul><li>Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters</li><li>While demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivals</li><li>Thus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Growth tapers after six consecutive quarters of robust show: We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quartersWhile demand remained strong in Oct, it slipped off in Nov/Dec—attributable to multiple reasons: elections in four states, flooding in the southern region, sand issues in certain states, and festivalsThus, as against general expectations of demand firming up post-monsoon by ~10-15% QoQ, cement sales recovered a modest 4% QoQ, leading to demand tapering.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

<ul><li>Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debt</li><li>IOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimate</li><li>Earnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segment</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Indian Oil Corporation: Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially offset by muted petchem earnings and elevated debtIOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimateEarnings were supported by strong performance from the refining segmentContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail, ACC, CDSL

<ul><li>Demand momentum remains robust: We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver strong 12% YoY volume growth (four-year CAGR: 9%) in Q2FY24</li><li>On a QoQ basis, we estimate sales volume will reduce 11% on seasonal demand weakness</li><li>Aggregate utilisation should expand ~350bps YoY to 76%, in our view</li><li>We expect industry-leading volume offtake (13% and more) by UltraTech, Birla Corp, JK Cement, Ramco Cements, and Sagar Cement.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Demand momentum remains robust: We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver strong 12% YoY volume growth (four-year CAGR: 9%) in Q2FY24On a QoQ basis, we estimate sales volume will reduce 11% on seasonal demand weaknessAggregate utilisation should expand ~350bps YoY to 76%, in our viewWe expect industry-leading volume offtake (13% and more) by UltraTech, Birla Corp, JK Cement, Ramco Cements, and Sagar Cement.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Robust demand for sixth consecutive quarter

<ul><li>ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%</li><li>However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT levels</li><li>This was mainly on the back of a higher EBITDA margin, which was at an all-time quarterly high of 13.9% (+42/+207bps YoY/QoQ)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT levelsThis was mainly on the back of a higher EBITDA margin, which was at an all-time quarterly high of 13.9% (+42/+207bps YoY/QoQ)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Hero Motocorp, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation

India

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited provides construction materials. The Company offers cement, ready mix concrete, and aggregates. Nuvoco Vistas serves customers in India.

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Nuvoco Vistas (NUVOCO IN)

Cement (Q3FY24 Results Preview): Industry Margin Surges to a Nine-Quarter High

We estimate cement demand cooled off to ~7% YoY in Q3FY24, after delivering ~9-16% growth rate (average 12%) in the preceding six quarters

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail

Our ADD rating on Indian Oil Corporation (IOCL), with a target price of INR 100, is premised on robust refining and marketing margins, partially...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Indian Oil Corporation, Godrej Consumers, Ambuja Cement, Gail, ACC, CDSL

IOCL reported EBITDA of INR 213bn (+11x YoY, -4% QoQ), which was broadly in line, while APAT came in at INR 130bn, marginally below estimate

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q2FY24 Results Preview): Robust demand for sixth consecutive quarter

Demand momentum remains robust: We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver strong 12% YoY volume growth (four-year CAGR: 9%) in...

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: ABB India, Hero Motocorp, Nuvoco Vistas Corporation

ABB India: ABB Q2CY23 revenue at INR 25bn (+22%/+4% YoY/QoQ) missed our estimates by 3%. However, it was a beat of 14% and 22% at EBITDA and PAT...

HDFC Securities

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