External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

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External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect industry volume to grow by ~9% YoY in FY24</li><li>We expect fuel prices to further correct by at least ~INR 100 per MT QoQ each in Q2/Q3FY24</li><li>So, we expect realisation to fall 1-2% YoY in FY24, as the industry would partially pass on the cost savings</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect industry volume to grow by ~9% YoY in FY24We expect fuel prices to further correct by at least ~INR 100 per MT QoQ each in Q2/Q3FY24So, we expect realisation to fall 1-2% YoY in FY24, as the industry would partially pass on the cost savingsContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement: Demand stays strong; fuel costs cool off further

<ul><li>Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported Q4FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 583.4/68.3/39.9bn, in line/(missing) with our estimates by 0.1/(8.4)/(7.5)% respectively</li><li>EBITDA margin: 11.7% (-65/+78bps YoY/QoQ) vs our estimate of 12.8%</li><li>The margin was impacted largely by higher input prices in projects and manufacturing portfolio</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Larsen &amp; Toubro: Larsen &amp; Toubro (LT) reported Q4FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 583.4/68.3/39.9bn, in line/(missing) with our estimates by 0.1/(8.4)/(7.5)% respectivelyEBITDA margin: 11.7% (-65/+78bps YoY/QoQ) vs our estimate of 12.8%The margin was impacted largely by higher input prices in projects and manufacturing portfolioContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, SRF, Apollo Tyres, Kansai Nerolac

<ul><li>We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver strong 9/14% YoY/QoQ volume growth (four-year CAGR: 7%) in Q4FY23</li><li>We expect strong volume offtake by UltraTech Cement, Dalmia Bharat, Nuvoco Vistas, Birla Corp., JK Lakshmi and Star Cement QoQ</li><li>We expect volume decline QoQ by ACC and Ambuja (Himachal plant shutdown)</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver strong 9/14% YoY/QoQ volume growth (four-year CAGR: 7%) in Q4FY23We expect strong volume offtake by UltraTech Cement, Dalmia Bharat, Nuvoco Vistas, Birla Corp., JK Lakshmi and Star Cement QoQWe expect volume decline QoQ by ACC and Ambuja (Himachal plant shutdown)Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement - Strong Demand, Fuel Pressure Easing Out

<ul><li>LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings continued to remain sub-par with P&amp;L outcomes significantly below estimates</li><li>Credit costs shot up to ~120bps (annualised), as the company shored up its Stage-III provisions to 51% (Q2FY23: 44%) in order to maintain healthy provisioning levels</li><li>While there were low incremental impairments (no write-offs during Q3), the slow pace of resolutions, particularly in project loans (GS-III at ~46%), remains a concer.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

LIC Housing Finance: LICHF’s earnings continued to remain sub-par with P&amp;L outcomes significantly below estimatesCredit costs shot up to ~120bps (annualised), as the company shored up its Stage-III provisions to 51% (Q2FY23: 44%) in order to maintain healthy provisioning levelsWhile there were low incremental impairments (no write-offs during Q3), the slow pace of resolutions, particularly in project loans (GS-III at ~46%), remains a concer.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, Vinati Organics, The Ramco Cements

<ul><li>Healthy volumes; mixed pricing trend across regions: We estimate that our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver 10/8% YoY/QoQ volume growth (three-year CAGR: +6%) in Q3FY23</li><li>We expect average utilisation of ~77% vs 72/74% QoQ/YoY. Cement prices increased ~2% QoQ across India in Q3</li><li>Prices increased ~4-6% QoQ each in the east and south regions, there was 1-2% rise in the west, while the north was flattish and the central region witnessed a ~1% correction QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Healthy volumes; mixed pricing trend across regions: We estimate that our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver 10/8% YoY/QoQ volume growth (three-year CAGR: +6%) in Q3FY23We expect average utilisation of ~77% vs 72/74% QoQ/YoY. Cement prices increased ~2% QoQ across India in Q3Prices increased ~4-6% QoQ each in the east and south regions, there was 1-2% rise in the west, while the north was flattish and the central region witnessed a ~1% correction QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cement (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Decent volume offtake, recovery in profitability

India

Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited provides construction materials. The Company offers cement, ready mix concrete, and aggregates. Nuvoco Vistas serves customers in India.

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Nuvoco Vistas (NUVOCO IN)

Cement: Demand stays strong; fuel costs cool off further

We expect industry volume to grow by ~9% YoY in FY24. We expect fuel prices to further correct by at least ~INR 100 per MT QoQ each in Q2/Q3FY24

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: Larsen & Toubro, SRF, Apollo Tyres, Kansai Nerolac

Larsen & Toubro: Larsen & Toubro (LT) reported Q4FY23 revenue/EBITDA/APAT at INR 583.4/68.3/39.9bn, in line/(missing) with our estimates by 0.1...

HDFC Securities

Cement - Strong Demand, Fuel Pressure Easing Out

We estimate our coverage universe of 15 companies to deliver strong 9/14% YoY/QoQ volume growth (four-year CAGR: 7%) in Q4FY23

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: LIC Housing Finance, Vinati Organics, The Ramco Cements

Credit costs shot up to ~120bps (annualised), as the company shored up its Stage-III provisions to 51% (Q2FY23: 44%) in order to maintain healthy...

HDFC Securities

Cement (Q3FY23 Results Preview): Decent volume offtake, recovery in profitability

We estimate that our coverage universe of 15 companies will deliver 10/8% YoY/QoQ volume growth (three-year CAGR: +6%) in Q3FY23

HDFC Securities

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