Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names on the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV index for the June 2026 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As of the latest data, we expect 5 ADDs and 4 DELs and one-way flows of ~US$2.94bn, including capping effects. There are 5-7 other companies which could become ADDs. </li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names on the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV index for the June 2026 index rebal event.
As of the latest data, we expect 5 ADDs and 4 DELs and one-way flows of ~US$2.94bn, including capping effects. There are 5-7 other companies which could become ADDs. 


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun26: Many Borderline Potential ADDs in the Race

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see four ADDs and four DELs for the December 2025 rebal.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.2bn with many flow names having multiple days of volume to trade.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see four ADDs and four DELs for the December 2025 rebal.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.2bn with many flow names having multiple days of volume to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Final Expectations: Many Changes to Rankings; Final Expectations

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect at least six index changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.
We expect at least six index changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: ~US$3bn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Tung Ho Steel Enterprise / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>There were some key methodology changes announced for this index yesterday.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
There were some key methodology changes announced for this index yesterday.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Key Methodology Changes; High-Impact Flows; US$3.6bn One-Way

Taiwan

Nuvoton Technology Corp. manudfactures a wide range of semiconductor products. The Company's products lines are Consumer Electronics integrated Circuits (IC) and Computer IC.

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Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun26: Many Borderline Potential ADDs in the Race

There are many potential ADDs close to the cut-off rank of 35. The ranks have an inverse relationship with price in the TDIV selection process...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Final Expectations: Many Changes to Rankings; Final Expectations

The top 5 inflow names have more than 9x ADV to trade and top 5 outflow names have more the 2x ADV to trade. The official index changes will be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: ~US$3bn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Based on our latest estimates, many names have very high-impact flow expectations. There have been some changes to our expected ADDs/DELs list...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Key Methodology Changes; High-Impact Flows; US$3.6bn One-Way

We expect 6 ADDs and 6 DELs based on the latest index methodology. We expect US$3.6bn in one-way flows in December 2025 which is around 21%...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Jun26: Many Borderline Potential ADDs in the Race

There are many potential ADDs close to the cut-off rank of 35. The ranks have an inverse relationship with price in the TDIV selection process...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Final Expectations: Many Changes to Rankings; Final Expectations

The top 5 inflow names have more than 9x ADV to trade and top 5 outflow names have more the 2x ADV to trade. The official index changes will be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: ~US$3bn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Based on our latest estimates, many names have very high-impact flow expectations. There have been some changes to our expected ADDs/DELs list...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Key Methodology Changes; High-Impact Flows; US$3.6bn One-Way

We expect 6 ADDs and 6 DELs based on the latest index methodology. We expect US$3.6bn in one-way flows in December 2025 which is around 21%...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...