Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zijin Gold International / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 9 additions for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> in June. Plus, one listing switch and a whole bunch of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.2% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$3.4bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-gold-international-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45448:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Gold International (2259 HK)</a> has been added following an increase in free float, and the passive buying could provide short-term support for the stock.</li>
</ul>


There are 9 additions for the VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) in June. Plus, one listing switch and a whole bunch of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.2% and that leads to a round-trip trade of US$3.4bn. There are many stocks with multiple days of ADV to trade from passive trackers.

Zijin Gold International (2259 HK) has been added following an increase in free float, and the passive buying could provide short-term support for the stock.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) June Rebalance: 9 Adds and US$3.4bn Trade

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>There will be nine ADDs for the June 2026 rebal event. We predicted five correctly (we thought 6 ADDs) and the other four were very close to the border.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flow of US$1.4bn and a turnover of 5% in June 2026. We see each ADD having US$100mm+ to trade.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources (RRL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> will be index members during their expected merger in late August/early September.</li>
</ul>


There will be nine ADDs for the June 2026 rebal event. We predicted five correctly (we thought 6 ADDs) and the other four were very close to the border.
We expect one-way flow of US$1.4bn and a turnover of 5% in June 2026. We see each ADD having US$100mm+ to trade.

Regis Resources (RRL AU) and Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) will be index members during their expected merger in late August/early September.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Jun26 Rebal Results: Nine ADDs; US$1.4bn One-Way

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vault-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46317:1" rel="noopener">Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/regis-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20106:1" rel="noopener">Regis Resources (RRL AU)</a> entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.</li>
<li>The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genesis-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4650:1" rel="noopener">Genesis Minerals (GMD AU)</a>, the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. </li>
<li>The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.</li>
</ul>



Vault Minerals Ltd (VAU AU) and Regis Resources (RRL AU) entered into a merger through a scheme of arrangement. The consideration is 0.6937 RRL shares per VAU share.
The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. Genesis Minerals (GMD AU), the long-rumoured suitor for Vault, is unlikely to get involved. 
The key condition is Vault shareholder approval. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio and benign shareholder structure.


Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

Materials, IPO & Equity Analyst

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>Gold has had a great run in the last 15 years, beating almost all the other class. Is it the beginning of an another super cycle or is the current run going to peter out? </p><p>We analyse gold as an investment vehicle, inflation hedge and its status as “asset of last resort”. We also look at the current trends in demand and supply and try to answer the eternal question “is it the right time to invest in gold or gold stocks”.  </p>

Gold has had a great run in the last 15 years, beating almost all the other class. Is it the beginning of an another super cycle or is the current run going to peter out? We analyse gold as an investment vehicle, inflation hedge and its status as “asset of last resort”. We also look at the current trends in demand and supply and try to answer the eternal question “is it the right time to invest in gold or gold stocks”.  

Gold: Is It the Beginning of New Golden Era or End of the Bull Run?

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.</li>
<li>We expect three ADDs for March 2026, with a one-way flow of US$2.8bn.</li>
<li>Things are moving very quickly within the gold sector. That means the expected flows can turn on a dime because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index. </li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.
We expect three ADDs for March 2026, with a one-way flow of US$2.8bn.
Things are moving very quickly within the gold sector. That means the expected flows can turn on a dime because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index. 


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 3 ADDs Likely, US$2.8bn One-Way Flow

Australia

OceanaGold Corporation is a gold mining and exploration company. The Company currently owns interests in projects in New Zealand and the Philippines.

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OceanaGold Corp (OGC CN)

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) June Rebalance: 9 Adds and US$3.4bn Trade

9 adds, float and capping changes result in an estimated one-way turnover of 6.2% and to a round-trip trade of US$3.4bn. There are many stocks with...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Jun26 Rebal Results: Nine ADDs; US$1.4bn One-Way

MV Global Gold saw a lot more adds than we expected (we saw 6 but we're getting 9). Some of the names have significant flows to buy on an ADV basis.

Travis Lundy

Vault Minerals (VAU AU): Regis Resources’ Strategically Sensible Merger

The deal is largely about chasing scale rather than about operational synergies. The scheme vote is low risk due to a fair merger exchange ratio...

Arun George

Gold: Is It the Beginning of New Golden Era or End of the Bull Run?

Gold has had a great run in the last 15 years, beating almost all the other class. Is it the beginning of an another super cycle or is the current...

Venkat Ramana Nandyal

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Mar26: 3 ADDs Likely, US$2.8bn One-Way Flow

As of now, the Global Gold Miners index in March could see 3 ADDs. One name could also move into the "Large" category. Interestingly, if it self...

Travis Lundy

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