Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> is a food service business in the midst of a so-far reasonably successful restructuring. The family had a partner in Unison and hoped to extend. </li>
<li>The founding family and Unison now have ~60% together, and they vote together. Unison wants out. The family wants <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> in. So Oisix has tendered.</li>
<li>But SHiDAX sees the conflict and minorities getting hosed. So they object. The "easy" solution is a full MBO with Oisix support. </li>
</ul>



Shidax Corp (4837 JP) is a food service business in the midst of a so-far reasonably successful restructuring. The family had a partner in Unison and hoped to extend. 
The founding family and Unison now have ~60% together, and they vote together. Unison wants out. The family wants Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) in. So Oisix has tendered.
But SHiDAX sees the conflict and minorities getting hosed. So they object. The "easy" solution is a full MBO with Oisix support. 


Oisix-Shida Stoush with SHiDAX Suggests Strong but Subtle Strategy

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Aeon has finally published numbers on its e-commerce growth and performance.</li>
<li>It has a ¥1 trillion target for FY2025 and while this is still a far off target, Aeon is making progress. </li>
<li>Digital sales have doubled in the past two years and Aeon is now well ahead of Seven &amp; I which continues to fail to present a coherent e-commerce plan.</li>
</ul>


Aeon has finally published numbers on its e-commerce growth and performance.
It has a ¥1 trillion target for FY2025 and while this is still a far off target, Aeon is making progress. 
Digital sales have doubled in the past two years and Aeon is now well ahead of Seven &amp; I which continues to fail to present a coherent e-commerce plan.


Aeon Shows up Seven & I in E-Commerce Growth and Strategy

<ul>
<li>Oisix Ra Daichi sees sales continue to rise, up 18% in the first half of the year and ARPU still remains 18% higher than 2019.</li>
<li>Additional promotional costs and the cost of expanding production and distribution capacity meant profits fell short of 2020. </li>
<li>But the online food firm is a leader in the online category with the biggest growth potential and we see no downside, especially given the recent decline in share price.</li>
</ul>


Oisix Ra Daichi sees sales continue to rise, up 18% in the first half of the year and ARPU still remains 18% higher than 2019.
Additional promotional costs and the cost of expanding production and distribution capacity meant profits fell short of 2020. 
But the online food firm is a leader in the online category with the biggest growth potential and we see no downside, especially given the recent decline in share price.


Oisix Fundamentals Strong Base for Future Premium Online Food Leadership

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Consensus of ¥7.0bn in OP for Oisix Ra Daichi this year looks excessively conservative as results are likely to be over ¥8bn, easily clearing even the consensus high. As the end of lockdowns approaches, however, it is important to examine exactly how much of recent stellar performance is sustainable.

Consensus of ¥7.0bn in OP for Oisix Ra Daichi this year looks excessively conservative as results are likely to be over ¥8bn, easily clearing even the consensus high. As the end of lockdowns approaches, however, it is important to examine exactly how much of recent stellar performance is sustainable.

Oisix Ra Daichi – Set For a Nice Beat But…

Tokushimaru started as a local mobile supermarket in Shikoku but, since being made a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> in 2016, has become a nationwide network of vans franchised by a growing number of supermarkets.Almost all of its customers are elderly – Japan's fastest growing population segment – and it takes pride in serving communities.Now, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings' (3382 JP)</a> Ito-Yokado planning to add most of its store network to the system, Tokushimaru will grow even faster.There are currently around 700 Tokushimaru vans in operation and it expects to hit 1,000 this Spring, with a long-term goal of 5,000.As reported <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mobile-shops-and-flexible-delivery" target="_blank" rel="noopener">before on Smartkarma</a>, shops-on-wheels is becoming a major new trend as retailers seek out customers where they are rather than waiting for them to come to their stores.

Tokushimaru started as a local mobile supermarket in Shikoku but, since being made a subsidiary of Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) in 2016, has become a nationwide network of vans franchised by a growing number of supermarkets.Almost all of its customers are elderly – Japan's fastest growing population segment – and it takes pride in serving communities.Now, with Seven &amp; I Holdings' (3382 JP) Ito-Yokado planning to add most of its store network to the system, Tokushimaru will grow even faster.There are currently around 700 Tokushimaru vans in operation and it expects to hit 1,000 this Spring, with a long-term goal of 5,000.As reported before on Smartkarma, shops-on-wheels is becoming a major new trend as retailers seek out customers where they are rather than waiting for them to come to their stores. 

Japan

Oisix ra daichi Inc. sells various food products online. Among other products, the company sells vegetables, fruits, fish, meat, milk, and ready-made food.

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Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)

Oisix-Shida Stoush with SHiDAX Suggests Strong but Subtle Strategy

SHiDax' founders wants Oisix to buy Unison's stake. SHiDAX thinks there is a conflict with minorities. There is. Unison has asked SHiDAX board...

Travis Lundy

Aeon Shows up Seven & I in E-Commerce Growth and Strategy

Aeon is now showing up Seven & I in e-commerce. While both retailers are behind specialty retailers in online share of sales, Aeon is now far ahead...

Michael Causton

Oisix Fundamentals Strong Base for Future Premium Online Food Leadership

Japan's online food market has less than 3% share but will grow fast in the next 3 years as both consumers and retailers adapt. Oisix is brilliant...

Michael Causton

Oisix Ra Daichi – Set For a Nice Beat But…

Consensus looks excessively conservative as results are likely to easily clear even the consensus high but how much of recent stellar performance...

Mio Kato

Tokushimaru: Oisix's Mobile Super Star

Shops-on-wheels is coming of age in Japan. Oisix is leading the charge through its Tokushimaru subsidiary which also happens to target Japan's...

Michael Causton

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