Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>13mos ago I wrote about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> which an interesting restructuring past and a refreshing governance outlook going forward in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shidax-outlook-may-change-better-governance-matters" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81697" rel="noopener">Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters</a>. </li>
<li>The stock was up 25% in that period to yesterday. Today, a Nikkei article mid-day suggests the Shida family will launch an MBO. Stock popped. Earnings out after the close.</li>
<li>The article suggests a take-private MBO with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> again supporting the deal. 30 minutes ago Shidax responded saying an offer was put forth at ¥800/share.</li>
</ul>


13mos ago I wrote about Shidax Corp (4837 JP) which an interesting restructuring past and a refreshing governance outlook going forward in Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters. 
The stock was up 25% in that period to yesterday. Today, a Nikkei article mid-day suggests the Shida family will launch an MBO. Stock popped. Earnings out after the close.
The article suggests a take-private MBO with Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) again supporting the deal. 30 minutes ago Shidax responded saying an offer was put forth at ¥800/share.


Shidax (4837) - Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Oisix Ra Daichi is by far Japan’s largest online food retailer, driven by the popularity of its fresh food and meal kit subscription services.</li>
<li>Despite some backend problems last year, the company expects its system of continual improvement and expansion of new lines of meal kits to bring strong growth in the medium term.</li>
<li>The development of the online food market should help boost the company's prospects. Operating margins have worsened considerably but the company hopes to match the previous peak this year.</li>
</ul>


Oisix Ra Daichi is by far Japan’s largest online food retailer, driven by the popularity of its fresh food and meal kit subscription services.
Despite some backend problems last year, the company expects its system of continual improvement and expansion of new lines of meal kits to bring strong growth in the medium term.
The development of the online food market should help boost the company's prospects. Operating margins have worsened considerably but the company hopes to match the previous peak this year.


<ul>
<li>Oisix is Japan’s largest online food retailer but sales were flat in 1Q-3Q2022 as people returned to work and cooked less, and profits suffered as inflation brought increases in costs. </li>
<li>The company’s US operation also shrank as fewer people bought food online now that many Japanese are back to normal working patterns again.</li>
<li>But other international subsidiaries and its expanded wholesale businesses at home all grew strongly.</li>
</ul>


Oisix is Japan’s largest online food retailer but sales were flat in 1Q-3Q2022 as people returned to work and cooked less, and profits suffered as inflation brought increases in costs. 
The company’s US operation also shrank as fewer people bought food online now that many Japanese are back to normal working patterns again.
But other international subsidiaries and its expanded wholesale businesses at home all grew strongly.


<ul>
<li>On 8 September, I went over the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> bid for the stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> held by Unison Capital. </li>
<li>The founding Shida family had a deal whereby when the company raised capital years ago, the family had ROFR to buy or nominate a buyer of the Unison stake.</li>
<li>The problem? Shidax' independent board said this was unfair to minorities. The back and forth has continued but there may now be hope for a better deal. </li>
</ul>


On 8 September, I went over the Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) bid for the stake in Shidax Corp (4837 JP) held by Unison Capital. 
The founding Shida family had a deal whereby when the company raised capital years ago, the family had ROFR to buy or nominate a buyer of the Unison stake.
The problem? Shidax' independent board said this was unfair to minorities. The back and forth has continued but there may now be hope for a better deal. 


Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> is under offer for a partial tender by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a>. Unison Capital is expected to tender their shares.  </li>
<li>Unison may not want to go against the board but a direct transfer (i.e. not tender offer) is still possible. </li>
<li>Some Independent Board Members have suggested the company buy Unison's shares back. This might work BUT the end game is still the same. </li>
</ul>



Shidax Corp (4837 JP) is under offer for a partial tender by Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP). Unison Capital is expected to tender their shares.  
Unison may not want to go against the board but a direct transfer (i.e. not tender offer) is still possible. 
Some Independent Board Members have suggested the company buy Unison's shares back. This might work BUT the end game is still the same. 


Japan

Oisix ra daichi Inc. sells various food products online. Among other products, the company sells vegetables, fruits, fish, meat, milk, and ready-made food.

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Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)

Shidax (4837) - Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low

The Nikkei wrote mid-day that the Shida family had proposed an MBO on Shidax with Oisix support. Shidax confirmed ¥800/share, deliberations today....

Travis Lundy

Oisix: Meal Kit Kaizen

Oisix continues to lead in trust, quality and reliability in online food but saw a collapse in operating margins last year. This was mostly an one...

Michael Causton

Oisix Hit as People Return to Work

Oisix is Japan's best known online food retailer. It boomed in the pandemic so a correction was inevitable. Now this is done, we can look forward...

Michael Causton

Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters

Shidax may get a deal with Oisix to defend the fair value of future deals in the food service business, with Oisix or with others. That's good...

Travis Lundy

SHiDAX Board-Oisix-Shida Family Scrap

Some independent board members want the Shida family to accept that the company would buy back Unison's shares. This makes some sense if Unison...

Travis Lundy

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