IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brainbees-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36115:1" rel="noopener">BrainBees Solutions (0172540D IN)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10803:1" rel="noopener">Sun Corp (6736 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-metals-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3439:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Metals (5541 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments: Ola Electric (1700674D IN) and BrainBees Solutions (0172540D IN) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments: A8 New Media (800 HK), Asia Cement China (743 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Sun Corp (6736 JP), Pacific Metals (5541 JP). 


Weekly Deals Digest (04 Aug) - Ola, Brainbees, A8, Asia Cement, CPMC, Fancl, Sun Corp, Heiwa

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li style="text-align: left;">Quiet week - no new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma ....</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-gold-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36552:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Gold (SXG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandala-multifinance-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12756:1" rel="noopener">Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl (4921 JP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Quiet week - no new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma ....
Key updates took place on Ansarada Group (AND AU), Southern Cross Gold (SXG AU), A8 New Media (800 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ), and Fancl (4921 JP).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:Ansarada, Southern Cross Gold, A8 New Media, CPMC, Mandala Multifinance, Fancl

<ul>
<li>For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

<ul>
<li>Changping Industrial’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> opens at an unchanged HK$6.87, 4.7% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s competing HK$7.21 offer. </li>
<li>Changping Industrial thinks deal fatigue may tip the balance in its favour. However, minorities will call Changping's bluff, as the offer at current terms has a low chance of success. </li>
<li>Despite the current posturing, Changping Industrial will likely need to bump above ORG’s offer marginally to succeed. Expect more twists and turns in this contested battle. </li>
</ul>


Changping Industrial’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) opens at an unchanged HK$6.87, 4.7% below ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s competing HK$7.21 offer. 
Changping Industrial thinks deal fatigue may tip the balance in its favour. However, minorities will call Changping's bluff, as the offer at current terms has a low chance of success. 
Despite the current posturing, Changping Industrial will likely need to bump above ORG’s offer marginally to succeed. Expect more twists and turns in this contested battle. 


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Poker Face off as Changping Industrial Launches Offer at Unchanged Terms

<ul>
<li>Back on the 6th December 2023, packaging play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional Offer of $6.87/share, in cash, from SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0730/2024073000041.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Offer Document</a> is now out. This is not a Composite Document. A "Response Document" is expected in two weeks, which will include the IFA opinion. </li>
<li>All the above is moot. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>'s superior HK$7.21/share Offer is currently navigating the necessary regulatory approvals. With irrevocables, ORG has 46.44% in the bag.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 6th December 2023, packaging play CPMC Holdings (906 HK) announced a pre-conditional Offer of $6.87/share, in cash, from SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion.
The Offer Document is now out. This is not a Composite Document. A "Response Document" is expected in two weeks, which will include the IFA opinion. 
All the above is moot. ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)'s superior HK$7.21/share Offer is currently navigating the necessary regulatory approvals. With irrevocables, ORG has 46.44% in the bag.


CPMC (906 HK): Champion's Offer Now Open. But All Eyes On ORG's Tilt

China

ORG Technology Co., Ltd. develops, designs, manufactures and sells food and beverages metal packaging products. The Company's main products include food and beverage cans.

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ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)

Weekly Deals Digest (04 Aug) - Ola, Brainbees, A8, Asia Cement, CPMC, Fancl, Sun Corp, Heiwa

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (A8, Asia Cement China, CPMC, Fancl, Sun Corp, Heiwa Real Estate, Pacific Metals) and ECM...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:Ansarada, Southern Cross Gold, A8 New Media, CPMC, Mandala Multifinance, Fancl

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.

David Blennerhassett

CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Poker Face off as Changping Industrial Launches Offer at Unchanged Terms

Despite the current posturing, Changping Industrial will likely need to bump above ORG’s offer marginally, to succeed. Expect more twists and turns...

Arun George

CPMC (906 HK): Champion's Offer Now Open. But All Eyes On ORG's Tilt

Assuming mid-Jan 2025 payment, this is trading way too tight. Especially when second-guessing the timeline for securing reg approvals involving a...

David Blennerhassett

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