Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 16th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 16th (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD18.0bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 16th): Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of December 2023, 16 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in December was 44.7%. The average YTD is 39% (117 deals).</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of December 2023, 16 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in December was 44.7%. The average YTD is 39% (117 deals).
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2023: Vinda, Adbri, Perpetual, CPMC, Sigma Health, Shinko Electric

<ul>
<li>On the 22 September, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a> backed Paine Schwartz Partners' (PSP) revised (and reduced) A$3.20/share best and final Offer. </li>
<li>Costa's Scheme Meeting has now been tabled for the 30 December, with implementation expected on the 26 February. The IE is supportive and Costa's board unanimously recommends the transaction.</li>
<li>This appears  done. Key conditions are Costa's shareholder vote and SAMR approval. I can't see SAMR getting into a bind over berries. </li>
</ul>


On the 22 September, Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU) backed Paine Schwartz Partners' (PSP) revised (and reduced) A$3.20/share best and final Offer. 
Costa's Scheme Meeting has now been tabled for the 30 December, with implementation expected on the 26 February. The IE is supportive and Costa's board unanimously recommends the transaction.
This appears  done. Key conditions are Costa's shareholder vote and SAMR approval. I can't see SAMR getting into a bind over berries. 


Costa Group's Shareholder Vote Set. Get Involved

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-ichi-life-insurance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1109:1" rel="noopener">Dai Ichi Life (8750 JP)</a>'s proposal suggests more upside to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One (2412 JP)</a>'s minorities than originally thought, and less upside (but still a chunk) to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pasona-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15778:1" rel="noopener">Pasona Group (2168 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>It's all over for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a>, as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic Plc (MDT US)</a> folds it tent. </li>
<li>Cho Hyun-Sik (eldest son of Cho Yang-Rae, Chairman of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankook-company-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19369:1" rel="noopener">Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS)</a> has joined MBK Partners in making a partial Tender Offer for Hankook &amp; Co.</li>
</ul>



Dai Ichi Life (8750 JP)'s proposal suggests more upside to Benefit One (2412 JP)'s minorities than originally thought, and less upside (but still a chunk) to Pasona Group (2168 JP).
It's all over for EOFlow (294090 KS), as Medtronic Plc (MDT US) folds it tent. 
Cho Hyun-Sik (eldest son of Cho Yang-Rae, Chairman of Hankook &amp; Company (000240 KS) has joined MBK Partners in making a partial Tender Offer for Hankook &amp; Co.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Pasona/Benefit One, EOFlow, Swire Pacific, Hankook & Co, Toyo Construction

<ul>
<li>I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Four new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/washington-h-soul-pattinson-and-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6054:1" rel="noopener">WashSoul</a>'s tilt for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/perpetual-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:599:1" rel="noopener">Perpetual (PPT AU)</a>; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC (906 HK)</a>'s SASAC Offer; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile  (2698 HK)</a>'s Offer; and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-rakutenchi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2078:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Four new deals discussed this week: WashSoul's tilt for Perpetual (PPT AU); CPMC (906 HK)'s SASAC Offer; Weiqiao Textile  (2698 HK)'s Offer; and Tokyo Rakutenchi (8842 JP)'s Tender Offer.
Key updates took place on: Origin Energy (ORG AU), Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Eoflow (294090 KS), and Chindata Group (CD US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Perpetual, Weiqiao Textile,Tokyo Rakutenchi,Toyo, Chindata

Australia

Origin Energy Limited is an integrated energy company. The Company is an energy retailer in Australia across electricity, gas and LPG. Origin Energy also holds a generation portfolio and fuel position and a renewable energy portfolio, as well as unconventional gas and LNG interests.

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Origin Energy (ORG AU)

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 16th): Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas Airways

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Seek, Origin Energy, Woodside Energy, ANZ, Qantas...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Dec 2023: Vinda, Adbri, Perpetual, CPMC, Sigma Health, Shinko Electric

For the month of December, 16 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$10bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Costa Group's Shareholder Vote Set. Get Involved

This appears done. Key conditions are Costa's shareholder vote and SAMR approval. I can't see SAMR getting into a bind over berries.

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Pasona/Benefit One, EOFlow, Swire Pacific, Hankook & Co, Toyo Construction

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Perpetual, Weiqiao Textile,Tokyo Rakutenchi,Toyo, Chindata

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

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