Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Japan Post Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, there were two deals launched this week.</li>
<li>For placements, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>'s planned selldown by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> came earlier than expected.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, there were two deals launched this week.
For placements, Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)'s planned selldown by Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) came earlier than expected.


ECM Weekly (5th Mar 2023) - Japan Post Bank, Kansai, Vanke, Otsuka, SBI Sumishin, Lu DaoPei, NST, JF

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, one of the very large brokers in Japan (N_m_r_) has a block for sale of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/otsuka-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12292:1" rel="noopener">Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>It is only 2.4% of total shares out, and as such, it looks small. But it isn't that small. The shareholder structure is crowded with non-Real World Float holders.</li>
<li>The discount offered is large compared to absolute and sector-relative volatility. </li>
</ul>


Today after the close, one of the very large brokers in Japan (N_m_r_) has a block for sale of Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP). 
It is only 2.4% of total shares out, and as such, it looks small. But it isn't that small. The shareholder structure is crowded with non-Real World Float holders.
The discount offered is large compared to absolute and sector-relative volatility. 


Otsuka Holdings - Family Co Selldown for ¥56bn - Take It Vs Peers

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>Otsuka Estate is looking to raise US$389m via trimming its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/otsuka-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12292:1" rel="noopener">Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>The deal is a relatively large one on an ADV basis, at 14.6 days of three month ADV. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the firm’s track record and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Otsuka Estate is looking to raise US$389m via trimming its stake in Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP).
The deal is a relatively large one on an ADV basis, at 14.6 days of three month ADV. 
In this note, we will talk about the firm’s track record and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Otsuka Holdings Placement - While Enticing Discount, Management Selling Will Raise Eyebrows

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chugai-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4489:1" rel="noopener">Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP)</a> recorded double and triple-digit revenue growth from Hemlibra in domestic and export markets, respectively during 9M2022. Growth momentum is expected to continue.</li>
<li>Both Actembra and Ronapreve have limited revenue potential from COVID-related indications. Ronapreve reported revenue of ¥60.8 billion in 1Q22 in domestic market, with no reported revenue in two subsequent quarters.</li>
<li>Actemra will face biosimilar competition. This month China has approved first Actembra biosimilar, while a couple of others are under review of the FDA.  </li>
</ul>



Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) recorded double and triple-digit revenue growth from Hemlibra in domestic and export markets, respectively during 9M2022. Growth momentum is expected to continue.
Both Actembra and Ronapreve have limited revenue potential from COVID-related indications. Ronapreve reported revenue of ¥60.8 billion in 1Q22 in domestic market, with no reported revenue in two subsequent quarters.
Actemra will face biosimilar competition. This month China has approved first Actembra biosimilar, while a couple of others are under review of the FDA.  


Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Hemlibra Is the Only Saviour; Competition Bites Mainstay Drugs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:98:1" rel="noopener">Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN)</a> is acquiring the U.S.-based late-stage biotechnology company, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/concert-pharmaceuticals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9312:1" rel="noopener">Concert Pharmaceuticals (CNCE US)</a> for $576M in equity value. The transaction is expected to be completed in 1Q23.</li>
<li>Concert has completed the evaluation of the efficacy and safety of its lead candidate, deuruxolitinib in adult patients with moderate to severe Alopecia Areata in its phase 3 clinical program.</li>
<li>With the disease affecting up to ~1.5M people in the U.S., Alopecia represents potential blockbuster opportunity. Sun Pharma plans to file NDA for deuruxolitinib to the FDA in 1H23.</li>
</ul>



Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (SUNP IN) is acquiring the U.S.-based late-stage biotechnology company, Concert Pharmaceuticals (CNCE US) for $576M in equity value. The transaction is expected to be completed in 1Q23.
Concert has completed the evaluation of the efficacy and safety of its lead candidate, deuruxolitinib in adult patients with moderate to severe Alopecia Areata in its phase 3 clinical program.
With the disease affecting up to ~1.5M people in the U.S., Alopecia represents potential blockbuster opportunity. Sun Pharma plans to file NDA for deuruxolitinib to the FDA in 1H23.


Sun Pharmaceutical Ind (SUNP IN): Acquisition Adds Late-Stage Biopharma Product in Derma Franchise

Japan

Otsuka Holdings Co Ltd is a pharmaceutical company. The Company manufactures, sells, imports and exports pharmaceuticals, clinical testing, and medical equipment for intractable diseases.

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Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP)

ECM Weekly (5th Mar 2023) - Japan Post Bank, Kansai, Vanke, Otsuka, SBI Sumishin, Lu DaoPei, NST, JF

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Otsuka Holdings - Family Co Selldown for ¥56bn - Take It Vs Peers

One of the Otsuka family entities is selling a 2.4% stake in Otsuka Holdings (4578) in an accelerated Block Offering. I'd take it.

Travis Lundy

Otsuka Holdings Placement - While Enticing Discount, Management Selling Will Raise Eyebrows

Otsuka Estate is looking to raise US$389m via trimming its stake in Otsuka Holdings (4578 JP). In this note, we will talk about the firm’s track...

Clarence Chu

Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Hemlibra Is the Only Saviour; Competition Bites Mainstay Drugs

Fast growth from Chugai’s new products falls short of compensating the revenue loss from the mainstay products. Chugai may not be able to meet 2022...

Tina Banerjee

Sun Pharmaceutical Ind (SUNP IN): Acquisition Adds Late-Stage Biopharma Product in Derma Franchise

Sun Pharma is acquiring US-based Concert Pharmaceuticals for $576M. Post-acquisition, the priority will be to materialize Concert’s plan to submit...

Tina Banerjee

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