Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> will change benchmark from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index at the close on 19 September.</li>
<li>The differences in the constituents between the two indices should result in 8 adds and 25 deletes. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$10.2bn.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have underperformed the forecast deletes since the last Insight that highlighted the big valuation gap that had opened up since the announcement of the benchmark switch.</li>
</ul>


The VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) will change benchmark from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index at the close on 19 September.
The differences in the constituents between the two indices should result in 8 adds and 25 deletes. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$10.2bn.
The forecast adds have underperformed the forecast deletes since the last Insight that highlighted the big valuation gap that had opened up since the announcement of the benchmark switch.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Capping Pushes Trade to Over US$10bn

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
</ul>


The MV J-Gold Miners index represents the performance small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
This index is reviewed semi-annually in March and September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index.
In this insight, we take a look at the latest lists of potential ADDs and DELs for the index rebal event in September 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard MV Jr Gold Miners Sep 24:  Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

Dundee Precious Metals  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> transitioned from the tracking the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index in September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dundee-precious-metals-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42245:1" rel="noopener">Dundee Precious Metals (DPM CN)</a>'s stock price has continued to move higher and is likely to be added to the index in December.</li>
<li>Stock moves over the last month have shrunk the capping trade massively. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.8% and the round trip trade is US$1.75bn.</li>
</ul>


The VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) transitioned from the tracking the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index in September.

Dundee Precious Metals (DPM CN)'s stock price has continued to move higher and is likely to be added to the index in December.
Stock moves over the last month have shrunk the capping trade massively. Estimated one-way turnover is 1.8% and the round trip trade is US$1.75bn.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) Dec Rebalance Preview: Stock Price Moves Shrink Capping Trade

<ul>
<li>The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. </li>
<li>This index is reviewed semiannually in March/September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index. </li>
<li>
<strong>There will be no index changes for the December 2025 rebal event.</strong> However, we expect a one-way flow of US$175mm for December 2025.</li>
</ul>


The MV Junior Gold Miners index represents the performance of small-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. 
This index is reviewed semiannually in March/September. During these reviews, names can be added or deleted from the index. 

There will be no index changes for the December 2025 rebal event. However, we expect a one-way flow of US$175mm for December 2025.


[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Dec25: Limited Flow Expectations

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.</li>
<li>The index changes for the December 2025 review will be based on the data on the close of 28th November 2025 and announced after the close of 12th December 2025.</li>
<li>We expect 2 ADDs for December 2025 review, with one-way flow of US$1.9bn.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world.
The index changes for the December 2025 review will be based on the data on the close of 28th November 2025 and announced after the close of 12th December 2025.
We expect 2 ADDs for December 2025 review, with one-way flow of US$1.9bn.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Dec25: Still 2 ADDs Expected; Closing in on Base Date

Canada

Pan American Silver Corporation is a primary silver producer.   The Company has seven operating mines in Mexico,  Peru, Argentina and Bolivia and several development projects in USA,  Mexico, Peru and Argentina.

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Pan American Silver (PAAS CN)

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Capping Pushes Trade to Over US$10bn

The change in benchmark for GDX should result in 8 adds and 25 deletes in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.9% resulting in a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard MV Jr Gold Miners Sep 24: Mergers Mean Possible Up-And-Out DELETEs

The MV Junior Gold Miners Index is up for rebalance in September. There are no LARGE changes expected. There are two obvious smallcap deletes. Some...

Travis Lundy

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US) Dec Rebalance Preview: Stock Price Moves Shrink Capping Trade

DPM Metals could be added in Dec, while Zijin Gold should miss inclusion. Recent stock moves over have shrunk the capping trade. Estimated 1-way...

Brian Freitas

[Quiddity Index] MV Junior Gold Miners Index Dec25: Limited Flow Expectations

There are minimal flow expectations for the December rebalance of the Junior Gold Miners Index. We wait for spring. Directional volatility is more...

Travis Lundy

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Dec25: Still 2 ADDs Expected; Closing in on Base Date

We see US$3.8bn of flows for the December rebalance with two ADDs. The impact will be somewhat limited across the ADDs but a couple of names will...

Travis Lundy

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