Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 is headed next. We also highlight several attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&amp;P 500 is headed next. We also highlight several attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.

U.S. Equities: Upside Momentum Lost, But Not Breaking Down

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Covid 19 is an accelerator of secular shifts in consumer and corporate preferences that is magnifying (or will magnify) those business models most equipped to benefit from them. Key Point: Secular Accelerator beneficiaries are different than the “work from home” beneficiaries, however secular accelerator beneficiaries may also be work from home beneficiaries.<div class="content-highlight">Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.</div>

Covid 19 is an accelerator of secular shifts in consumer and corporate preferences that is magnifying (or will magnify) those business models most equipped to benefit from them. Key Point: Secular Accelerator beneficiaries are different than the “work from home” beneficiaries, however secular accelerator beneficiaries may also be work from home beneficiaries.Obex’s fundamental research process is focused on secular change in the TMT and Consumer sectors. We seek to differentiate between fundamental business analysis and security analysis. Before deciding if a security’s pricing and positioning merit a long or short position, we analyze the four pillars of business fundamentals (Secular Factors, TAM, Competitive Advantage, Business Model) in order to determine if this is a “good” or “not so good” opportunity.

Coronavirus as Secular Accelerator III: Fintech / Software Edition

We believe U.S. equities remain bullish but if they are to continue their ascent we would prefer that those areas also associated with economic expansion could also grab some of the upward momentum. This includes; Energy, Materials, Industrial Manufacturing and the Transportation Sector and even Small-caps. A narrowing of breadth as we have all seen in the past does not typically end well.  Open the attached file to read our complete U.S. Strategy document, and to find links to detailed comments and recommendations for each of our 12 Sectors.

We believe U.S. equities remain bullish but if they are to continue their ascent we would prefer that those areas also associated with economic expansion could also grab some of the upward momentum. This includes; Energy, Materials, Industrial Manufacturing and the Transportation Sector and even Small-caps. A narrowing of breadth as we have all seen in the past does not typically end well.  Open the attached file to read our complete U.S. Strategy document, and to find links to detailed comments and recommendations for each of our 12 Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish, but Extended

After months of price and RS consolidation, several payment processor/mobile payment stocks are starting to break out topside bases or exhibit bullish price and RS reversals. When bullish price action combines with bullish RS reversals at long-term RS uptrend support, it dramatically increases our confidence that the Group is headed for greener pastures. In today’s report we highlight our favorite technical setups, all offering compelling and timely opportunities to add exposure to at current levels. Buy: MA, V, EEFT, and PYPL

After months of price and RS consolidation, several payment processor/mobile payment stocks are starting to break out topside bases or exhibit bullish price and RS reversals. When bullish price action combines with bullish RS reversals at long-term RS uptrend support, it dramatically increases our confidence that the Group is headed for greener pastures. In today’s report we highlight our favorite technical setups, all offering compelling and timely opportunities to add exposure to at current levels. Buy: MA, V, EEFT, and PYPL

Payment Processors Enjoying the Holidays -- Buy MA, V, EEFT, and PYPL

The S&amp;P 500 continues its march higher, however the troops have been unable to keep up with the generals and with this is an ounce of concern. Sending the generals into battle often ends up with no more leaders. Our view of the markets is to deploy a barbell approach of growth and safety. While growth continues to outperform, it does so without the small-caps. Meanwhile utilities and staples continue to march just behind the growth areas of the market, and have been unable to reach new RS highs since the December decline. In this report we detail our investment thesis and outlook for U.S. equities, highlighting our favorite sectors and bottoms up ideas.

The S&amp;P 500 continues its march higher, however the troops have been unable to keep up with the generals and with this is an ounce of concern. Sending the generals into battle often ends up with no more leaders. Our view of the markets is to deploy a barbell approach of growth and safety. While growth continues to outperform, it does so without the small-caps. Meanwhile utilities and staples continue to march just behind the growth areas of the market, and have been unable to reach new RS highs since the December decline. In this report we detail our investment thesis and outlook for U.S. equities, highlighting our favorite sectors and bottoms up ideas.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth And Safety Are The Plays To Stay With

United States

PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology platform company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants. The Company offers online payment solutions. PayPal Holdings serves customers worldwide.

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Paypal Holdings (PYPL US)

U.S. Equities: Upside Momentum Lost, But Not Breaking Down

In today's report we highlight key levels and several metrics we are watching that will provide us clues as to where the S&P 500 is headed...

Vermilion Research

Coronavirus as Secular Accelerator III: Fintech / Software Edition

Covid 19 is an accelerator of secular shifts in consumer and corporate preferences that is magnifying (or will magnify) those business models most...

Aaron Gabin

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish, but Extended

We believe U.S. equities remain bullish but if they are to continue their ascent we would prefer that those areas also associated with economic...

Vermilion Research

Payment Processors Enjoying the Holidays -- Buy MA, V, EEFT, and PYPL

After months of price and RS consolidation, several payment processor/mobile payment stocks are starting to break out topside bases or exhibit...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth And Safety Are The Plays To Stay With

The S&P 500 continues its march higher, however the troops have been unable to keep up with the generals and with this is an ounce of concern....

Vermilion Research

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