Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Supun Walpola

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul class="">
<li>Bitcoin saw a correction during the first week of June but has recovered quickly. Bitcoin's leading indicators remain positive, giving a bullish outlook for the market.  </li>
<li>A number of public companies, including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visa-inc-class-a-shares" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8707:1">Visa Inc (V US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ubisoft-entertainment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21564:1">UBISOFT Entertainment (UBI FP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legal-general-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22029:1">Legal &amp; General (LGEN LN)</a>,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/general-motors-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18811:1">General Motors Co (GM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/target-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20359:1">Target Corp (TGT US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/panalpina-welttransport-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22460:1">Panalpina Welttransport Holding (PWTN SW)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/facebook-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1">Facebook Inc A (FB US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> revealed their blockchain plans/initiatives during the past two weeks. </li>
<li>In other news, <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/justinsuntron" target="_blank">Justin Sun</a>, the founder of the cryptocurrency company Tron, was the winner of this year's "Power Lunch" with Warren Buffet, while major Korean banks show an appetite for blockchain based solutions.</li>
</ul>


Bitcoin saw a correction during the first week of June but has recovered quickly. Bitcoin's leading indicators remain positive, giving a bullish outlook for the market.  
A number of public companies, including Visa Inc (V US), UBISOFT Entertainment (UBI FP), Legal &amp; General (LGEN LN),  General Motors Co (GM US), Target Corp (TGT US), Panalpina Welttransport Holding (PWTN SW), Facebook Inc A (FB US) and Apple Inc (AAPL US) revealed their blockchain plans/initiatives during the past two weeks. 
In other news, Justin Sun, the founder of the cryptocurrency company Tron, was the winner of this year's "Power Lunch" with Warren Buffet, while major Korean banks show an appetite for blockchain based solutions.


This Week in Blockchain & Cryptos: Visa, Ubisoft, GM, Target, FB & Apple Reveal Blockchain Plans

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Market activity, both bonds and stocks, has been all about realigning expectations. Wednesday’s Fed announcement was more dovish than expected, and the market is now pricing in roughly 25bps of cuts by the end of 2019. Stocks reacted positively on Thursday, but then reversed (and then some) on Friday as global growth concerns became a little more serious. We continue to maintain our positive outlook. In today’s report we recap our bullish investment thesis and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples, Materials, and Services.

Market activity, both bonds and stocks, has been all about realigning expectations. Wednesday’s Fed announcement was more dovish than expected, and the market is now pricing in roughly 25bps of cuts by the end of 2019. Stocks reacted positively on Thursday, but then reversed (and then some) on Friday as global growth concerns became a little more serious. We continue to maintain our positive outlook. In today’s report we recap our bullish investment thesis and highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Consumer Staples, Materials, and Services.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Accelerating Tomorrow’s Independent Research

Boost Research

Boost Research Ltd is an appointed representative of Messels Ltd which is authorised and regulated by the FCA of the UK. 

This document is issued by Boost Research Limited solely for its clients. It may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed to any other person in whole or in part for any purpose without written consent of Boost Research. The material in this document is not intended for distribution or use outside the United Kingdom. This material is not directed at you if Boost Research is prohibited or restricted by any legislation or regulation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you.

This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer, solicitation, invitation, inducement or recommendation relating to the subscription, purchase or sale of any security or other financial instrument.  This document does not constitute, and should not be interpreted as, investment advice.  It is accordingly recommended that you should seek independent advice from a suitably qualified professional advisor before taking any decisions in relation to the investments detailed herein. All expressions of opinions and estimates constitute a judgement and, unless otherwise stated, are those of the author and the research department of Boost Research only, and are subject to change without notice. Boost Research is under no obligation to update the information contained herein. Whilst Boost Research has taken all reasonable care to ensure that the information contained in this document is not untrue or misleading at the time of publication, Boost Research cannot guarantee its accuracy or completeness, and you should not act on it without first independently verifying its contents. This document is not guaranteed to be a complete statement or summary of any securities, markets, reports or developments referred to herein. No representation or warranty either expressed or implied is made, nor responsibility of any kind is accepted, by Boost Research or any of its respective directors, officers, employees or analysts either as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this document nor should it be relied on as such. No liability whatsoever is accepted by Boost Research or any of its respective directors, officers, employees or analysts for any loss, whether direct or consequential, arising whether directly or indirectly as a result of the recipient acting on the content of this document, including, without limitation, lost profits arising from the use of this document or any of its contents.

This document is provided with the understanding that Boost Research is not acting in a fiduciary capacity and it is not a personal recommendation to you. Investing in securities entails risks. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of and the income produced by products may fluctuate, so that an investor may get back less than he invested. Investments in the entities and/or the securities or other financial instruments referred to are not suitable for all investors and this document should not be relied upon in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment in relation to any such investment. The stated price of any securities mentioned herein will generally be the closing price at the end of any of the three business days immediately prior to the publication date on this document. This stated price is not a representation that any transaction can be effected at this price.

Boost Research and its respective analysts are remunerated for providing investment research to professional investors, corporations, other research institutions and consultancy houses. Boost Research, or its respective directors, officers, employees and clients may have or take positions in the securities or entities mentioned in this document.  Any of these circumstances could create, or be perceived as creating, conflicts of interest. Boost Research’ analysts are not censored in any way and are free to express their personal opinions. As a result, Boost Research may have issued other documents that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusions from, the information contained in this document. Those documents reflect the different assumptions, views and analytical methods of their authors. No director, officer or employee of Boost Research is on the board of directors of any company referenced herein and no one at any such referenced company is on the board of directors of Boost Research.

Messels is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Conduct Authority for the provision of investment advice. Residents of the United Kingdom should seek specific professional financial and investment advice from a stockbroker, banker, solicitor, accountant or other independent professional adviser authorised pursuant to the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000. This report is intended only for investors who are 'professional clients' as defined by the FCA, and may not, therefore, be redistributed to other classes of investors.

The content of this report is covered by our Policy of Independence which may be viewed at www.messels.com.

 

Analysts’ Certification

The analysts involved in the production of this document hereby certify that the views expressed in this document accurately reflect their personal views about the securities mentioned herein. The analysts point out that they may buy, sell or already have taken positions in the securities, and related financial instruments, mentioned in this document

<ul class="">
<li>The non-cash payments market continues to grow at a double-digit rate in Brazil, driven primarily by growing usage of credit and debit cards</li>
<li>De-regulation and new entrants have brought challenges for the incumbents, especially for the largest player <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/24750" target="_blank">Cielo SA (CIEL3 BZ)</a>, with the challengers taking market share, squeezing margins and promoting better service for SME merchants in particular</li>
<li>Competitive pressures continue in the Brazil payments market, reflected in the declining merchant discount rate (MDR), lower rental rates and sale prices for POS terminals, as well as pressure on the commissions for early payment of merchant receivables; the near-term prospects for Cielo remain challenging in our view</li>
<li>Due to the ongoing headwinds, we expect Cielo to show negative earnings growth to 2021; management has announced that Cielo will defend its market share against the challengers; we see further downside risk to consensus earnings and the real risk of a greater than consensus 2019 DPS cut</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27564" target="_blank">StoneCo Ltd (STNE US)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/27939" target="_blank">Pagseguro Digital Ltd (PAGS US)</a> are two of the payment challengers in this de-regulated market, growing faster than the Brazilian non-cash transactions market and taking incumbents' market share; we see StoneCo to be the preferred entity to PagSeguro, based on StoneCo’s higher revenue yielding SME segment of focus and on its more attractive PEG ratio valuation</li>
</ul>


The non-cash payments market continues to grow at a double-digit rate in Brazil, driven primarily by growing usage of credit and debit cards
De-regulation and new entrants have brought challenges for the incumbents, especially for the largest player Cielo SA (CIEL3 BZ), with the challengers taking market share, squeezing margins and promoting better service for SME merchants in particular
Competitive pressures continue in the Brazil payments market, reflected in the declining merchant discount rate (MDR), lower rental rates and sale prices for POS terminals, as well as pressure on the commissions for early payment of merchant receivables; the near-term prospects for Cielo remain challenging in our view
Due to the ongoing headwinds, we expect Cielo to show negative earnings growth to 2021; management has announced that Cielo will defend its market share against the challengers; we see further downside risk to consensus earnings and the real risk of a greater than consensus 2019 DPS cut

StoneCo Ltd (STNE US)and Pagseguro Digital Ltd (PAGS US) are two of the payment challengers in this de-regulated market, growing faster than the Brazilian non-cash transactions market and taking incumbents' market share; we see StoneCo to be the preferred entity to PagSeguro, based on StoneCo’s higher revenue yielding SME segment of focus and on its more attractive PEG ratio valuation


Brazilian Payments Report: Cielo on the Defensive Against Disruptive Challengers

Turmoil in Turkey and a collapsing lira has led to a breakout in the USD and global equity market weakness. Emerging and developed markets outside the U.S. are getting hit considerably harder than the U.S. given concerns over European bank exposure and EM contagion. The absence of international equity market strength remains a top concern for near-term performance of U.S. markets.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary and Data Processing &amp; Outsourcing Services areas.

Turmoil in Turkey and a collapsing lira has led to a breakout in the USD and global equity market weakness. Emerging and developed markets outside the U.S. are getting hit considerably harder than the U.S. given concerns over European bank exposure and EM contagion. The absence of international equity market strength remains a top concern for near-term performance of U.S. markets.  In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups within the U.S. Consumer Discretionary and Data Processing &amp; Outsourcing Services areas.

Asia Ex-J Consumer/ Transport analyst

Valerie Law, CFA

In part 4 of this series, I will evaluate the mobile/ e-payment providers on 10 metrics and total their score. Based on their total score, I hope to unveil the region's payment Goliath. This is a continuation of the first three articles featuring six well-known payment providers: Grab, Go-Pay, AirPay, PayPal, Alipay and Wechat Pay. For background reading, please refer to the fork on the right hand side of this article.

In part 4 of this series, I will evaluate the mobile/ e-payment providers on 10 metrics and total their score. Based on their total score, I hope to unveil the region's payment Goliath. This is a continuation of the first three articles featuring six well-known payment providers: Grab, Go-Pay, AirPay, PayPal, Alipay and Wechat Pay. For background reading, please refer to the fork on the right hand side of this article.

Grab, Go-Jek, Alipay, WeChat Pay; Who Will Be the Payment Goliath in Southeast Asia? - Part 4

United States

PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a technology platform company that enables digital and mobile payments on behalf of consumers and merchants. The Company offers online payment solutions. PayPal Holdings serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Paypal Holdings (PYPL US)

This Week in Blockchain & Cryptos: Visa, Ubisoft, GM, Target, FB & Apple Reveal Blockchain Plans

Bitcoin saw a correction during the first week of June but has recovered quickly. Bitcoin's leading indicators remain positive, giving a bullish...

Supun Walpola

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bullish Outlook Intact

Market activity, both bonds and stocks, has been all about realigning expectations. Wednesday’s Fed announcement was more dovish than expected, and...

Vermilion Research

Brazilian Payments Report: Cielo on the Defensive Against Disruptive Challengers

The non-cash payments market continues to grow at a double-digit rate in Brazil, driven primarily by growing usage of credit and debit...

Boost Research

USD Breakout; Foreign Markets Reeling

Turmoil in Turkey and a collapsing lira has led to a breakout in the USD and global equity market weakness. Emerging and developed markets outside...

Vermilion Research

Grab, Go-Jek, Alipay, WeChat Pay; Who Will Be the Payment Goliath in Southeast Asia? - Part 4

In part 4 of this series, I will evaluate the mobile/ e-payment providers on 10 metrics and total their score. Based on their total score, I hope...

Valerie Law, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)