Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 35 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>No new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week - kinda surprising.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluescope-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:207:1" rel="noopener">Bluescope Steel (BSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iress-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15342:1" rel="noopener">Iress  (IRE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group (751 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raksul-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27043:1" rel="noopener">Raksul Inc (4384 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankei-real-estate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35239:1" rel="noopener">Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 35 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
No new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week - kinda surprising.
Key updates/news also took place on: Bluescope Steel (BSL AU), Iress  (IRE AU), Skyworth Group (751 HK), Toyota Industries (6201 JP), Raksul Inc (4384 JP), and Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP).



Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Bluescope Steel, Iress, Skyworth, Toyota Inds., Raksul, Sankei Real Estate

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

<ul>
<li>There are credible signs that the Dongwon Group is getting ready to bid for a controlling stake in HMM (011200 KS). </li>
<li>If the StarKist sale is completed, Dongwon Industries could gain an additional 2 trillion won in cash.</li>
<li>The increasing commercial feasibility of conducting container shipping through the new North Sea Arctic and Greenland seas could provide new long-term revenues/lower costs for HMM (011200 KS).</li>
</ul>


There are credible signs that the Dongwon Group is getting ready to bid for a controlling stake in HMM (011200 KS). 
If the StarKist sale is completed, Dongwon Industries could gain an additional 2 trillion won in cash.
The increasing commercial feasibility of conducting container shipping through the new North Sea Arctic and Greenland seas could provide new long-term revenues/lower costs for HMM (011200 KS).


Dongwon Group: Getting Ready to Bid for Controlling Stake in HMM + New Arctic/Greenland Sea Routes?

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jan 16th. The aggregated holding was USD1,025.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,519mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hanwha Ocean, kakaopay.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jan 16th. The aggregated holding was USD1,025.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD1,519mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hanwha Ocean, kakaopay.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 16th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hanwha Ocean

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.</li>
<li>We forecast constituent changes for the Battery, Bio, Internet and BBIG indices. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.</li>
<li>The largest flows are expected in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-sdi-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:503:1" rel="noopener">Samsung SDI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-innovation-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1268:1" rel="noopener">SK Innovation</a>, Samsung Epis Holdings, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ablbio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35621:1" rel="noopener">ABLBio</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-f-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14300:1" rel="noopener">L&amp;F</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance ends on 31 January, the changes will be announced first week of March and implemented at the close of trading on 13 March.
We forecast constituent changes for the Battery, Bio, Internet and BBIG indices. Plus there will be capping changes for all indices.
The largest flows are expected in Samsung SDI, SK Innovation, Samsung Epis Holdings, Samsung Biologics, ABLBio, Alteogen and L&amp;F.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Chunky Flows in Some Stocks

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Korea in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on SK Hynix, Samsung SDI, SK, Hyundai Motor, SKSQUARE, Samsung Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Korea in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on SK Hynix, Samsung SDI, SK, Hyundai Motor, SKSQUARE, Samsung Electronics.


MS-Korea Index Earning Revision (Dec): SK Hynix, Samsung SDI, SK, Hyundai Motor, SKSQUARE

South Korea

POSCO manufactures various types of steel products.  The Company produces hot rolled steel, cold rolled steel, stainless steel, and other forms of steel. The products are mainly used for automobile, construction, and shipbuilding industries.

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Posco ADR (PKX US)

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Bluescope Steel, Iress, Skyworth, Toyota Inds., Raksul, Sankei Real Estate

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Dongwon Group: Getting Ready to Bid for Controlling Stake in HMM + New Arctic/Greenland Sea Routes?

Dongwon Group may bid for controlling stake in HMM, potential cash boost from StarKist sale, and new shipping routes could benefit HMM's long-term...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 16th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hanwha Ocean

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Chunky Flows in Some Stocks

There will be multiple changes for the New Deal indices in March. The largest flows will be in Samsung SDI and SK Innovation.

Brian Freitas

MS-Korea Index Earning Revision (Dec): SK Hynix, Samsung SDI, SK, Hyundai Motor, SKSQUARE

We analyzed MS-Korea's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in SK Hynix, Samsung SDI, SK, Hyundai Motor, SKSQUARE, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Bluescope Steel, Iress, Skyworth, Toyota Inds., Raksul, Sankei Real Estate

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Dongwon Group: Getting Ready to Bid for Controlling Stake in HMM + New Arctic/Greenland Sea Routes?

​Dongwon Group may bid for controlling stake in HMM, potential cash boost from StarKist sale, and new shipping routes could benefit HMM's long-term...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jan 16th): Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor, Hanwha Ocean

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Hyundai Motor,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Chunky Flows in Some Stocks

There will be multiple changes for the New Deal indices in March. The largest flows will be in Samsung SDI and SK Innovation.

Brian Freitas

MS-Korea Index Earning Revision (Dec): SK Hynix, Samsung SDI, SK, Hyundai Motor, SKSQUARE

We analyzed MS-Korea's consensus for Dec 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in SK Hynix, Samsung SDI, SK, Hyundai Motor, SKSQUARE, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongwon Group may bid for controlling stake in HMM, potential cash boost from StarKist sale, and new shipping routes could benefit HMM's long-term...