Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
 Macro data points: Chinese GDP growth and inflation, South African GDP growth</li>
<li>
 Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yum-china-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23677:1" rel="noopener">Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

 Macro data points: Chinese GDP growth and inflation, South African GDP growth

 Companies mentioned:Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), Swiggy (1255298D IN), Naver Corp (035420 KS), Kakao Corp (035720 KS), Yum China Holdings, Inc (YUMC US)



GEM Weekly (11 Mar 2022): Chinese Macro Data; Samsung Electronics, Swiggy, Naver, Yum China

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> shares have nose-dived in light of its exposure to Russia via its classified ads business Avito, and social media operator, VK Group. This move appears overdone.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Prosus, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. </li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Prosus (PRX NA) shares have nose-dived in light of its exposure to Russia via its classified ads business Avito, and social media operator, VK Group. This move appears overdone.
Preceding my comments on Prosus, are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos. 
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Prosus' Move On Russian Exposure Overdone

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>This morning, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a> shares. </li>
<li>The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...</li>
<li>...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.</li>
</ul>


This morning, Tencent (700 HK) declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) / JD.com Inc. (9618 HK) shares. 
The distribution is 457,326,671 Tencent-held (86.4% of holdings) Class A Ordinary shares of JD.com - 1 share per 21 Tencent shares held - to Qualifying Shareholders on the record...
...date which is 25 January 2022, with 'delivery' on or about 25 March 2022. Non-Qualifying Shareholders will get cash. The details matter.


Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

<ul>
<li>This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>Macro data points: Manufacturing PMI for China, South Korea, Taiwan, and ASEAN. Indian and Brazilian GDP. South Korean CPI.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a>
</li>
</ul>


This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.
Macro data points: Manufacturing PMI for China, South Korea, Taiwan, and ASEAN. Indian and Brazilian GDP. South Korean CPI.
Companies mentioned: Naver Corp (035420 KS), Kakao Corp (035720 KS), Tencent (700 HK), Prosus (PRX NA), DiDi Global (DIDI US)



Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 3 December 2021

This summer saw the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> complete in early August, with Prosus now owning just under 50% of Naspers and Naspers owning ~38% of Prosus in what <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/david-blennerhassett" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:840" rel="noopener">David Blennerhassett</a> called the new <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/naspers-prosus-south-african-keswicks" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51401" rel="noopener">South African "Keswicks"</a> (a reference to the circular relationship of the Jardines complex, recently unwound, where for years/decades it just went on as the Keswick family thought was in their own interests.
Pre-Offer results, I reco'd going long the Naspers-Prosus spread where it was trading ex-Offer at 670bp or so in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/naspers-deal-done-flex-participation-and-pro-ration-misunderstandings-and-index-changes-galore" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56011" rel="noopener">Naspers Deal Done - Flex Participation and Pro-Ration, Misunderstandings, and INDEX CHANGES GALORE!</a> 
Just after the offer results were out and the initial index changes were made, the spread between Naspers and Prosus widened significantly to near (and briefly above) 20% against Offer Terms. I recommended unwinding the spread-widening trade and putting on a spread-narrowing trade in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/naspers-prosus-initial-index-changes-done-now-to-reverse-the-trade" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:56256" rel="noopener">Naspers/Prosus Initial Index Changes Done, Now To Reverse the Trade</a>.
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So what next?

This summer saw the Prosus (PRX NA) Offer for Naspers (NPN SJ) complete in early August, with Prosus now owning just under 50% of Naspers and Naspers owning ~38% of Prosus in what David Blennerhassett called the new South African "Keswicks" (a reference to the circular relationship of the Jardines complex, recently unwound, where for years/decades it just went on as the Keswick family thought was in their own interests.
Pre-Offer results, I reco'd going long the Naspers-Prosus spread where it was trading ex-Offer at 670bp or so in Naspers Deal Done - Flex Participation and Pro-Ration, Misunderstandings, and INDEX CHANGES GALORE! 
Just after the offer results were out and the initial index changes were made, the spread between Naspers and Prosus widened significantly to near (and briefly above) 20% against Offer Terms. I recommended unwinding the spread-widening trade and putting on a spread-narrowing trade in Naspers/Prosus Initial Index Changes Done, Now To Reverse the Trade.






So what next? 

China

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

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Prosus NV (PRX NA)

GEM Weekly (11 Mar 2022): Chinese Macro Data; Samsung Electronics, Swiggy, Naver, Yum China

The Global Emerging Markets weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

StubWorld: Prosus' Move On Russian Exposure Overdone

Even if OLX and VK Group are written down to zero, the implied stub has overshot the mark. I'd set up a long Prosus, short Tencent here.

David Blennerhassett

Tencent's Big In-Specie Dividend of JD.com Shares

Tencent has decided to distribute the vast majority of the JD.com shares it holds. JD.com got sold off and Tencent got a bump. The Tencent bump is...

Travis Lundy

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 3 December 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

Naspers/Prosus Spread - What Next?

The Naspers/Prosus reorg/Offer/Crossholding Structure was completed in early August. Index changes in mid-August, buyback program on Prosus started...

Travis Lundy

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