Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>EQT/DG lifted their Offer Price for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com (2371 JP)</a> to ¥3,450/share. This "obstructs" the Bain/LY deal, slightly, temporarily, but there are nuances within. Expect Bain/LY to come over the top.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> is cheap"  vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> "rich" to Prosus. Look to long Prosus here, short Tencent here. Or long Prosus, short Naspers</li>
<li>Be comfortable medium-long-term with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-matsushima-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13569:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)</a>'s super-cheap asset. And they have niche businesses in semiconductor/tech to spruce things up if people decide they want to run with it.</li>
</ul>


EQT/DG lifted their Offer Price for Kakaku.com (2371 JP) to ¥3,450/share. This "obstructs" the Bain/LY deal, slightly, temporarily, but there are nuances within. Expect Bain/LY to come over the top.

Prosus NV (PRX NA) is cheap"  vs. Tencent (700 HK). And Naspers (NPN SJ) "rich" to Prosus. Look to long Prosus here, short Tencent here. Or long Prosus, short Naspers
Be comfortable medium-long-term with Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)'s super-cheap asset. And they have niche businesses in semiconductor/tech to spruce things up if people decide they want to run with it.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, Prosus/Tencent/Naspers, Legend/Lenovo

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> is coming up "cheap" on my monitor versus <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> "rich" to Prosus.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Prosus/Tencent/Naspers are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Prosus NV (PRX NA) is coming up "cheap" on my monitor versus Tencent (700 HK). And Naspers (NPN SJ) "rich" to Prosus.
Preceding my comments on Prosus/Tencent/Naspers are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


<ul>
<li>Despite trading up from its multi-year low implied stub and simple ratio (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a>), SoftBank remains "cheap".</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on SoftBank - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ytl-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8553:1" rel="noopener">YTL Corp (YTL MK)</a>- are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Despite trading up from its multi-year low implied stub and simple ratio (Softbank Group (9984 JP)/ARM Holdings (ARM US)), SoftBank remains "cheap".
Preceding my comments on SoftBank - and YTL Corp (YTL MK)- are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: A SoftBank Set-Up Hinges Off Its All-In OpenAI Bet

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2025 has seen a sharp turnaround in HK placements, with 36 US$100m+ deals so far. This compares to only 14 in 2022, 13 in 2023, and 15 in 2024.</li>
<li>Most of the 2025 placements have been primary raising and have come from a handful of sectors/backdrops.</li>
<li>In this note, we try to identify the possible primary placements that could take place over the rest of the year.</li>
</ul>


2025 has seen a sharp turnaround in HK placements, with 36 US$100m+ deals so far. This compares to only 14 in 2022, 13 in 2023, and 15 in 2024.
Most of the 2025 placements have been primary raising and have come from a handful of sectors/backdrops.
In this note, we try to identify the possible primary placements that could take place over the rest of the year.


Hong Kong 2025 Placements - Year so Far and Trends for Potential Primary Placements

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The removal of their cross-holding structure has had a negligible effect on the respective discounts to NAV for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus NV (PRX NA)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>.</li>
<li>We have seen a remarkable turnaround in Prosus’s operating performance during FY2024 and the market will focus on whether the new CEO can achieve his ambitions for “profitable growth”.</li>
<li>The open-ended share repurchase program will continue as long as the discount remains “elevated”.</li>
</ul>


The removal of their cross-holding structure has had a negligible effect on the respective discounts to NAV for Prosus NV (PRX NA) and Naspers (NPN SJ).
We have seen a remarkable turnaround in Prosus’s operating performance during FY2024 and the market will focus on whether the new CEO can achieve his ambitions for “profitable growth”.
The open-ended share repurchase program will continue as long as the discount remains “elevated”.


Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

China

Prosus N.V. provides internet based services. The Company focuses on investments in internet, digital media, e-commerce retailing, and consumer internet companies. Prosus serves customers worldwide.

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Prosus NV (PRX NA)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, Prosus/Tencent/Naspers, Legend/Lenovo

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Prosus Is A Buy Here

Current NAV levels for Prosus are depressed. To a lesser extent, so is the implied stub. I might look to long Prosus here, short Tencent here. Or...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: A SoftBank Set-Up Hinges Off Its All-In OpenAI Bet

From an implied stub angle, and IF you have a strong opinion on OpenAI, I might be inclined to set up the stub here. The simple ratio - SoftBank...

David Blennerhassett

Hong Kong 2025 Placements - Year so Far and Trends for Potential Primary Placements

1H25 saw a sharp turnaround in HK placements, with 36 US$100m+ deals so far. This compares to only 14 in 2022, 13 in 2023, and 15 in 2024. In this...

Sumeet Singh

Prosus (PRX-NA): Profitable Growth, Elevated Discount

In this insight, we analyse Prosus’s discount to NAV, the performance of its underlying consolidated operations, cash flow generation, capital...

Wium Malan, CFA

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