'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>• BEST &amp; WORST •</strong></p>
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/158/338/original/2020-09-11_06-10-01.png?1599772225" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="158338"></figure><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/158/339/original/2020-09-11_06-11-10.png?1599772281" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="158339"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source for all charts: Japan Analytics</div>
<strong>BEST &amp; WORST</strong> - As the pace of announcements for the January/April/July/October year-end cohort increases,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raksul-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27043:1" rel="noopener">Raksul (4384 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tokyo-dome-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6421:1" rel="noopener">Tokyo Dome (9681 JP)</a> were the best and worst-scoring of the larger companies that reported yesterday. The former is aiming to bring commercial printing int to the digital age but is yet t achieve sustainable profitability. The latter is another 'activist trap'  struggling with the fallout from COVID-19.<hr>
</div><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>DAILY STATS</strong></p></div><hr><div><p><strong>PERCENTAGES</strong> -<strong>53%</strong> of quarterly results, <strong>53%</strong> of annual forecasts/revisions and only <strong>29%</strong> of interim forecasts have negative Scores.<strong> 28%</strong> of companies reporting lost money for the quarter.</p></div><hr><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>32 Quarterly Results</strong></p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<strong>Results Score:</strong> 34% Positive / 13% Neutral / 53% Negative</li>
<li>
<strong>Average Results Score Change: </strong>-1.4 points</li>
<li>
<strong>Average % Change in Revenue:</strong> -14.9% Quarter YoY / -5.1% Rolling TTM YoY </li>
<li>
<strong>Average Operating Profit Margin Change:</strong> -2.6ppt</li>
<li>
<strong>Percentage Making Quarterly Losses</strong>: 28%</li>
</ul></div><hr><div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>17 Annual • 7 Interim Forecasts/Revisions</strong></p></div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<strong>Annual Forecast/Revision Score:</strong> 35% Positive / 12% Neutral / 53% Negative</li>
<li>
<strong>Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change:</strong> 71% Positive / 0% Neutral / 29% Negative</li>
<li>
<strong>Average Forecast/Revision Score Change:</strong> -1.3 points</li>
</ul></div>


• BEST &amp; WORST •
Source for all charts: Japan Analytics
BEST &amp; WORST - As the pace of announcements for the January/April/July/October year-end cohort increases,  Raksul (4384 JP) and Tokyo Dome (9681 JP) were the best and worst-scoring of the larger companies that reported yesterday. The former is aiming to bring commercial printing int to the digital age but is yet t achieve sustainable profitability. The latter is another 'activist trap'  struggling with the fallout from COVID-19.
DAILY STATSPERCENTAGES -53% of quarterly results, 53% of annual forecasts/revisions and only 29% of interim forecasts have negative Scores. 28% of companies reporting lost money for the quarter.32 Quarterly Results

Results Score: 34% Positive / 13% Neutral / 53% Negative

Average Results Score Change: -1.4 points

Average % Change in Revenue: -14.9% Quarter YoY / -5.1% Rolling TTM YoY 

Average Operating Profit Margin Change: -2.6ppt

Percentage Making Quarterly Losses: 28%
17 Annual • 7 Interim Forecasts/Revisions

Annual Forecast/Revision Score: 35% Positive / 12% Neutral / 53% Negative

Interim Forecast/Revision Score Change: 71% Positive / 0% Neutral / 29% Negative

Average Forecast/Revision Score Change: -1.3 points


🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​​10 - Sekisui House, Kobe Bussan, Japan Display, Kamakura Sh.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For March 2026, 5 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~33%, and a year-to-date average of 40%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For March 2026, 5 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$9bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in March was ~33%, and a year-to-date average of 40%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A, March 2026 Wrap: Rohm, Gunma Bank, Toyota Indust., Nippon Sheet Glass, Echo Marketing

<ul>
<li>I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emmerson-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18705:1" rel="noopener">Emmerson Resources (ERM AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener">Avarga Ltd (AVARGA SP)</a></strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avarga-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13105:1" rel="noopener"></a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-storage-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13762:1" rel="noopener">National Storage REIT (NSR AU)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfeng-motor-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:910:1" rel="noopener">Dongfeng Motor (489 HK)</a></strong>, and <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a></strong>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 34 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Emmerson Resources (ERM AU), ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP), and Avarga Ltd (AVARGA SP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Toyota Industries (6201 JP), National Storage REIT (NSR AU), Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), and Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK).


Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Toyota Inds, Emmerson Res, Avarga, National Storage, Dongfeng Motors, Ijm

<ul>
<li>You wouldn't short <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rohm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2953:1" rel="noopener">ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP)</a></strong>. Look to add on a big dip.</li>
<li>
<strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener"> (2688 HK)</a></strong> remains a challenging situation. But arguably there is upside potential here; but it's not a high conviction trade.</li>
<li>Large treasury share cancellations in vogue from the likes of <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:393:1" rel="noopener">SK Inc (034730 KS)</a></strong>, among a slew others.</li>
</ul>


You wouldn't short ROHM Co Ltd (6963 JP). Look to add on a big dip.

ENN Energy (2688 HK) remains a challenging situation. But arguably there is upside potential here; but it's not a high conviction trade.
Large treasury share cancellations in vogue from the likes of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Inc (034730 KS), among a slew others.


Last Week In Event SPACE: ROHM, ENN Energy, Samsung Electronics, SK Inc, JCNC/Astra

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow for the merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qoria-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30531:1" rel="noopener">Qoria (QOR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skyworth-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10941:1" rel="noopener">Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bluescope-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:207:1" rel="noopener">Bluescope Steel (BSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pepper-money-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24157:1" rel="noopener">Pepper Money (PPM AU)</a>. </em></strong>
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <strong><em><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-smart-securities-commodities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20511:1" rel="noopener">Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mcj-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14132:1" rel="noopener">MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itochu-shokuhin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14985:1" rel="noopener">Itochu Shokuhin (2692 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankei-real-estate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35239:1" rel="noopener">Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toho-titanium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12709:1" rel="noopener">Toho Titanium (5727 JP)</a>.</em></strong> </li>
</ul>


I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow for the merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Qoria (QOR AU), Skyworth Group Limited (751 HK), Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK), Bluescope Steel (BSL AU), ENN Energy (2688 HK), Pepper Money (PPM AU). 

Lowest spreads: Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK), MCJ Co Ltd (6670 JP), Itochu Shokuhin (2692 JP), Sankei Real Estate (2972 JP), Toho Titanium (5727 JP). 


Merger Arb Mondays (09 Mar) - ENN, Dongfeng, Skyworth, Qoria, Bluescope, Toyota Ind, Sankei

Japan

Raksul, Inc. provides Internet based services. The Company mainly offers net printing, net transportation, and other services. Raksul provides services in Japan.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Raksul Inc (4384 JP)

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/10 - Sekisui House, Kobe Bussan, Japan Display, Kamakura Sh.

DAILY STATS PERCENTAGES - 75% of quarterly results, 75% of annual forecasts/revisions and 50% of interim forecasts have negative Scores....

Campbell Gunn

Asia-Pac M&A, March 2026 Wrap: Rohm, Gunma Bank, Toyota Indust., Nippon Sheet Glass, Echo Marketing

For the month of March, 5 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Toyota Inds, Emmerson Res, Avarga, National Storage, Dongfeng Motors, Ijm

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: ROHM, ENN Energy, Samsung Electronics, SK Inc, JCNC/Astra

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (09 Mar) - ENN, Dongfeng, Skyworth, Qoria, Bluescope, Toyota Ind, Sankei

I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow for the merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, NZ, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia,...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/​​​​10 - Sekisui House, Kobe Bussan, Japan Display, Kamakura Sh.

DAILY STATS PERCENTAGES - 75% of quarterly results, 75% of annual forecasts/revisions and 50% of interim forecasts have negative Scores....

Campbell Gunn

Asia-Pac M&A, March 2026 Wrap: Rohm, Gunma Bank, Toyota Indust., Nippon Sheet Glass, Echo Marketing

For the month of March, 5 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$9bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac M&A Weekly Wrap: Toyota Inds, Emmerson Res, Avarga, National Storage, Dongfeng Motors, Ijm

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: ROHM, ENN Energy, Samsung Electronics, SK Inc, JCNC/Astra

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (09 Mar) - ENN, Dongfeng, Skyworth, Qoria, Bluescope, Toyota Ind, Sankei

I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow for the merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, NZ, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia,...

Arun George

🇯🇵 JAPAN • Results & Revisions 09/10 - Sekisui House, Kobe Bussan, Japan Display, Kamakura Sh.