Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are many stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn).</li>
<li>The adds have been floundering versus the deletes over the last few months and there could be some outperformance heading into implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are many stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn).
The adds have been floundering versus the deletes over the last few months and there could be some outperformance heading into implementation of the changes.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: 45 Adds; 39 Deletes; US$9bn Trade

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Japanese Internet companies are testing lows from the 2020 tech selloff whilst Rakuten stands out for reaching levels last seen in 2010</li>
<li>Z Holdings is at a two-year low but has fallen the same distance from its recent high (-53%) </li>
<li>Both face robust competition from Amazon, which has doubled its eCommerce GMV in Japan over the last four years (Rakuten +60%, core Z Holdings +47%)</li>
</ul>


Japanese Internet companies are testing lows from the 2020 tech selloff whilst Rakuten stands out for reaching levels last seen in 2010
Z Holdings is at a two-year low but has fallen the same distance from its recent high (-53%) 
Both face robust competition from Amazon, which has doubled its eCommerce GMV in Japan over the last four years (Rakuten +60%, core Z Holdings +47%)


Japan Internet - Fresh Lows for Many with Rakuten the Lowest Since 2010

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/k-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36073:1" rel="noopener">K Bank (279570 KS)</a> raised around US$340m in its South Korean IPO in March 2026. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



K Bank (279570 KS) raised around US$340m in its South Korean IPO in March 2026. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
K Bank is one of three Internet-only banks in Korea. It provides a full range of commercial banking products and services.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Kbank Lockup Expiry - Smaller Release Now, with Larger Ones to Follow Soon

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Mizuho Financial Group / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mizuho-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:219:1" rel="noopener">Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)</a> has been discussed on Smartkarma's platform lately because of its planned investment in Rakuten Bank.</li>
<li>The stock has tripled in value since early 2025. Last week the stock increased nearly 8% in value, in 1 single week.</li>
<li>The stock's rally look stretched from our WEEKLY model perspective... but it could continue. <strong>The key question is: buy this pullback now, or wait for lower prices?</strong>
</li>
</ul>



Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) has been discussed on Smartkarma's platform lately because of its planned investment in Rakuten Bank.
The stock has tripled in value since early 2025. Last week the stock increased nearly 8% in value, in 1 single week.
The stock's rally look stretched from our WEEKLY model perspective... but it could continue. The key question is: buy this pullback now, or wait for lower prices?



Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) Tactical View: Buy The Dip Now?

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, most of the listings this week didn't do much.</li>
<li>On the placement front, given the market volatility, there weren't any large deals. We did look at some of the upcoming lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, most of the listings this week didn't do much.
On the placement front, given the market volatility, there weren't any large deals. We did look at some of the upcoming lockup expiries.


Aequitas ECM Weekly (16 March 2026)- Past A/H Trends, Delton, Raajmarg, Ringpai, FS.com, Everdisplay

Japan

Rakuten Bank, Ltd. operates as an Internet based bank. The Company provides banking services including deposits, loans, exchange transactions, and other services. Rakuten Bank also provides financial services including investment trusts, securities, credit and cash cards, lottery tickets, and others.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: 45 Adds; 39 Deletes; US$9bn Trade

There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn)....

Brian Freitas

Japan Internet - Fresh Lows for Many with Rakuten the Lowest Since 2010

Tech sector weakness amplifies concerns on competition for Rakuten and Z Holdings. Both are down 50%+ from recent highs with Rakuten at levels last...

Kirk Boodry

Aequitas: Kbank Lockup Expiry - Smaller Release Now, with Larger Ones to Follow Soon

K Bank (279570 KS) raised around US$340m in its South Korean IPO in March 2026. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) Tactical View: Buy The Dip Now?

Mizuho Financial Group's rallied hard recently. Should you buy this week's pullback? Or wait for lower prices? Our model analysis reveals a few...

Nico Rosti

Aequitas ECM Weekly (16 March 2026)- Past A/H Trends, Delton, Raajmarg, Ringpai, FS.com, Everdisplay

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: 45 Adds; 39 Deletes; US$9bn Trade

There are 45 adds/39 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 8.1% and a round-trip trade of JPY 1,424bn (US$9bn)....

Brian Freitas

Japan Internet - Fresh Lows for Many with Rakuten the Lowest Since 2010

Tech sector weakness amplifies concerns on competition for Rakuten and Z Holdings. Both are down 50%+ from recent highs with Rakuten at levels last...

Kirk Boodry

Aequitas: Kbank Lockup Expiry - Smaller Release Now, with Larger Ones to Follow Soon

K Bank (279570 KS) raised around US$340m in its South Korean IPO in March 2026. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP) Tactical View: Buy The Dip Now?

​Mizuho Financial Group's rallied hard recently. Should you buy this week's pullback? Or wait for lower prices? Our model analysis reveals a few...

Nico Rosti

Aequitas ECM Weekly (16 March 2026)- Past A/H Trends, Delton, Raajmarg, Ringpai, FS.com, Everdisplay

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Mizuho Financial Group's rallied hard recently. Should you buy this week's pullback? Or wait for lower prices? Our model analysis reveals a few...