Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Debt Capital Markets

iShares MSCI Thailand / Debt Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We sample blue-chip and household Thai corporations and plot the 12-month probability of default (PD) using iRAP</li>
<li>The median 12-month PD of the above samples was 11.15 basis points (bps), up from 5bps last November, with a trend showing continuing deterioration in the next 12 months</li>
<li>We expect more political upheaval and economic adjustment from the military conflict with Cambodia and the19% tariff on exports to the US to be quite detrimental to the Thai economy.</li>
</ul>


We sample blue-chip and household Thai corporations and plot the 12-month probability of default (PD) using iRAP
The median 12-month PD of the above samples was 11.15 basis points (bps), up from 5bps last November, with a trend showing continuing deterioration in the next 12 months
We expect more political upheaval and economic adjustment from the military conflict with Cambodia and the19% tariff on exports to the US to be quite detrimental to the Thai economy.


Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 13th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Bangkok Dusit.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 13th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Bangkok Dusit.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 13th): TMBThanachart Bank, Bangkok Dusit

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 25th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Delta Electronics, Krung Thai Bank, Ptt E&amp;P, Kasikornbank, Scc, Gulf Energy Development.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 25th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Delta Electronics, Krung Thai Bank, Ptt E&amp;P, Kasikornbank, Scc, Gulf Energy Development.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 25th): Delta Electronics, Krung Thai Bank, Ptt E&P, Kasikornbank

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,344/1,338 points and the resistance at 1,364/1,370 points.</li><li>Investment strategy: Sell on rallies and wait to buy back when a new breakout signal occurs.</li><li>Maintain a Buy recommendation for the banking sector, focusing on TTB and KKP, due to their strong potential to outperform in a high bond yield environment.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,344/1,338 points and the resistance at 1,364/1,370 points.Investment strategy: Sell on rallies and wait to buy back when a new breakout signal occurs.Maintain a Buy recommendation for the banking sector, focusing on TTB and KKP, due to their strong potential to outperform in a high bond yield environment.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. January 27, 2025

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 6th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Carabao, Delta Electronics, SCC, SCG Packaging.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Dec 6th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Carabao, Delta Electronics, SCC, SCG Packaging.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Carabao, Delta Electronics, SCC, SCG Packaging

Thailand

Ratch Group is a leading investment holding company primarily focused on electricity generation and energy businesses. The company's portfolio includes fossil-fuel-based, renewable energy, and battery energy storage projects across Thailand, ASEAN, and Australia. It also invests in infrastructure and electricity-related businesses, such as maintenance and operation services, fuel supply, and energy innovation. Headquartered in Nonthaburi, Thailand, the company was established on March 7, 2000.

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Ratch Group (RATCH TB)

Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...

Bondcritic

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 13th): TMBThanachart Bank, Bangkok Dusit

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Bangkok Dusit.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 25th): Delta Electronics, Krung Thai Bank, Ptt E&P, Kasikornbank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Delta Electronics, Krung Thai Bank, Ptt E&P,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. January 27, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,344/1,338 points and the resistance at 1,364/1,370...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Carabao, Delta Electronics, SCC, SCG Packaging

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Carabao, Delta Electronics, SCC, SCG Packaging.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

​12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...

Bondcritic

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 13th): TMBThanachart Bank, Bangkok Dusit

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in TMBThanachart Bank, Bangkok Dusit.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 25th): Delta Electronics, Krung Thai Bank, Ptt E&P, Kasikornbank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Delta Electronics, Krung Thai Bank, Ptt E&P,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. January 27, 2025

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,344/1,338 points and the resistance at 1,364/1,370...

Krungthai XSpring

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Dec 6th): Carabao, Delta Electronics, SCC, SCG Packaging

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Carabao, Delta Electronics, SCC, SCG Packaging.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...