Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Red Cat Holdings has added another strategic layer to its expanding defense robotics platform by closing the acquisition of Quaze Technologies, a Québec-based wireless power transfer specialist focused on drones, unmanned systems and autonomous machines.</li><li>The transaction comes shortly after Red Cat reported record Q1 2026 revenue of $15.5 million, up 849% year-over-year, while highlighting a growing opportunity pipeline across Black Widow drones, FlightWave TRICHON systems and the Blue Ops uncrewed surface vessel fleet.</li><li>Management also pointed to stronger defense funding tailwinds, international demand and a target annual revenue range of $150 million to $180 million.</li></ul>

Red Cat Holdings has added another strategic layer to its expanding defense robotics platform by closing the acquisition of Quaze Technologies, a Québec-based wireless power transfer specialist focused on drones, unmanned systems and autonomous machines.The transaction comes shortly after Red Cat reported record Q1 2026 revenue of $15.5 million, up 849% year-over-year, while highlighting a growing opportunity pipeline across Black Widow drones, FlightWave TRICHON systems and the Blue Ops uncrewed surface vessel fleet.Management also pointed to stronger defense funding tailwinds, international demand and a target annual revenue range of $150 million to $180 million.

Red Cat Buyout Buzz: Why Quaze Could Change Its Autonomy Story!

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Speculative Growth Themes Still Leading; Nuclear Stocks are Going... Nuclear. We highlight many speculative stocks to buy that we believe will continue to outperform into year-end</li>
<li>Software (IGV), semiconductors (XSD), (IPO), ARK (ARKK and ARKW), uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), A.I., nuclear, robotics, drones, autonomous driving, EV batteries, energy storage,bitcoin,data centers</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Speculative Growth Themes Still Leading; Nuclear Stocks are Going... Nuclear. We highlight many speculative stocks to buy that we believe will continue to outperform into year-end
Software (IGV), semiconductors (XSD), (IPO), ARK (ARKK and ARKW), uranium (URA), hydrogen (HYDR), quantum computing (IONQ, RGTI, QUBT, QBTS), A.I., nuclear, robotics, drones, autonomous driving, EV batteries, energy storage,bitcoin,data centers


Going Nuclear $LTBR $LEU $NNE $OKLO $SMR; Russell 2000 Breakout to All-Time Highs; Still Bullish

<ul>
<li>In our 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside. Also said one or two 8-10% pullbacks in a given year on the SPX is common</li>
<li>And said to not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670, where we would be buyers</li>
<li>The SPX had a -10.3% peak-to-trough decline, with support showing up at 5500; close enough to our 10% pullback and 5600 level. This has been a stellar buy area</li>
</ul>


In our 2/25/25 Compass, we discussed our expectation for near-term downside. Also said one or two 8-10% pullbacks in a given year on the SPX is common
And said to not be surprised if there is a test of the bottom of the range at either 5770-5850 or 5600-5670, where we would be buyers
The SPX had a -10.3% peak-to-trough decline, with support showing up at 5500; close enough to our 10% pullback and 5600 level. This has been a stellar buy area


Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.</li>
<li>There will be one ADD and two DELs for the MV Global Defense Index in September 2026. There will be small changes to the index otherwise.</li>
<li>The capping of PLTR US and RTX US is expected to drive the majority of the flows.  </li>
</ul>


The MV Global Defense Industry Index represents the performance of companies in national defense industries.
There will be one ADD and two DELs for the MV Global Defense Index in September 2026. There will be small changes to the index otherwise.
The capping of PLTR US and RTX US is expected to drive the majority of the flows.  


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Defense Sep26 Rebal Results: 1 ADD and 2 DELs; US$348mm One-Way Capping

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ducommun-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6622:1" rel="noopener">Ducommun</a> will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 18 September, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/droneshield-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30509:1" rel="noopener">DroneShield</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-cat-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37829:1" rel="noopener">Red Cat Holdings</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$695m.</li>
<li>Float and capping changes result in over 0.5x ADV to trade in some stocks and those could be interesting in the next week.</li>
</ul>



Ducommun will be added to the MarketVector Global Defense Industry Index at the close on 18 September, while DroneShield and Red Cat Holdings will be deleted.
The constituent changes, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$695m.
Float and capping changes result in over 0.5x ADV to trade in some stocks and those could be interesting in the next week.


MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 1 Add; 2 Deletes; US$695m Trade

United States

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides distributed data storage, analytics, and services for the drone industry. Red Cat Holdings offers black box drone flight recorder and distributed system with security and encryption.

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Red Cat Holdings (RCAT US)

Red Cat Buyout Buzz: Why Quaze Could Change Its Autonomy Story!

Red Cat Holdings has added another strategic layer to its expanding defense robotics platform by closing the acquisition of Quaze Technologies, a...

Baptista Research

Going Nuclear $LTBR $LEU $NNE $OKLO $SMR; Russell 2000 Breakout to All-Time Highs; Still Bullish

Going Nuclear $LTBR $LEU $OKLO $NNE $LEU; Russell 2000 Breakout to All-Time Highs; Still Bullish; Continue to Overweight Spec Growth Themes into...

Vermilion Research

Major Low Likely in Place on S&P 500; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600

Major Low Likely in Place on $SPX; Bullish Outlook Intact if Above 5500-5600. 5670-5718 is short-term gap support; Power in hands of bulls if...

Vermilion Research

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Defense Sep26 Rebal Results: 1 ADD and 2 DELs; US$348mm One-Way Capping

The MV Global Defense Index rebal sees 1 ADD and 2 DELETEs. Flows are limited, mostly capping. There is one name with 1x ADV to sell.

Travis Lundy

MV Global Defense Industry Index Rebalance: 1 Add; 2 Deletes; US$695m Trade

1 add, 2 deletes, float changes and capping changes will result in an estimated one-way turnover of 5% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$695m....

Brian Freitas

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